It's about to get harder to buy a home

Getting a mortgage will become trickier and more costly in 2014. Here are the reasons it's happening.

By MSN Smart Spending editor Sep 11, 2013 5:46PM
This post comes from AnnaMaria Andriotis at partner site MarketWatch.

MarketWatch logoConsumers shopping for a home might want to pick up the pace: Getting a mortgage will likely become more challenging and costly next year.

Toy house sitting on money © Vstock, Tetra Images, CorbisLoan limits for popular mortgages are scheduled to drop in January, according to a Wall Street Journal report this week.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency is planning to slash the maximum size of mortgages eligible to be backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which currently run as high as $417,000 in most parts of the country and up to $625,500 in pricier cities, including New York and San Francisco. That same month, new mortgage rules by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau go into effect, which restrict the types of mortgages lenders can provide.

The changes could leave next year’s mortgage applicants with fewer and more expensive financing options to choose from than what’s currently available, experts say. "If you’re comfortable with what you can get this year, lock it in," says John Vogel, adjunct professor of real estate at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College. "Most rules that will come are in fact going to be less favorable to borrowers."

This all comes as the government tries to reduce its role in the mortgage market. During the second quarter, two out of three mortgages were funded by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, a trade publication. By lowering the loan sizes backed by these agencies, regulators are hoping that lenders will step in to pick up the mortgage applicants who are impacted and that a private market for purchasing these loans -- which basically disappeared in 2008 -- will reopen.

There has been some growth in private mortgage financing recently, though it remains small compared with pre-recession advances in the space. Just 2.1% of mortgages originated in April were sold to private investors, while roughly 90% were purchased by government agencies, according to Lender Processing Services, a mortgage-data tracking firm.

But lower loan sizes could shut some applicants out. The FHFA hasn’t announced how much Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s cap will drop, but their larger-size mortgages are commonly used by home buyers in cities with expensive real estate. These buyers often have relatively small down payments and few assets.

In contrast, most private mortgages are currently being given to wealthy borrowers who have hefty down payments for multi-million-dollar homes. It’s unclear whether the market will open up to lower net worth borrowers who suddenly fall below government-backed loan thresholds, and if it does, what rates they’ll be charged. Complicating matters, new CFPB mortgage rules set to go into effect in January could limit the kinds of loans available in the private mortgage market.

Would-be homebuyers who are planning to get a mortgage that’s close to the Fannie and Freddie caps might want to consider getting the loan before the year ends. An FHFA spokesperson says that the agency will announce any changes "with adequate advance notice."

Once these changes take effect, borrowers who no longer qualify for Fannie and Freddie mortgages could face the following setbacks.

1. Harder to find a mortgage
Most applicants who get shut out of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans will have to turn to the private market. Private lenders, include many banks, credit unions and independent mortgage lenders, originate mortgages under their own terms and in most cases hold the loans on their books. Most are very selective, seeking out affluent borrowers who present little risk of default. “The concern will now be for less well-qualified borrowers who [will] fall above the loan size limitations," says Stuart Gabriel, director of the Ziman Center for Real Estate at the University of California, Los Angeles.

Borrowers could also have a difficult time qualifying for a private mortgage since many lenders require at least 25% to 30% down. With Fannie and Freddie mortgages, borrowers can put down 20%; smaller down payments are accepted, but borrowers must pay mortgage insurance.
2. Adjustable rates as the only option

Applicants who qualify for private mortgages could find that adjustable-rate home loans are their only option.

Tom Wind, executive vice president of residential and consumer lending at national lender EverBank, says many lenders who keep these loans on their books are more interested in offering ARMs than fixed-rate mortgages. When the Federal Reserve raises rates, banks will have to increase the rates they pay out on deposit accounts, but they’ll receive larger interest payments from ARM borrowers whose rates reset at that time and will likely then go higher.

With ARMs, borrowers have a fixed rate for a set period of time -- often five years -- before rates become variable. ARM origination in the private market is already on the rise: They accounted for 27.3% of mortgages originated and sold to private investors in June, up from 23.2% in the beginning of the year, according to LPS.

Federal officials are preparing to reduce the maximum size of home-mortgage loans eligible for backing by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a move that is likely to face resistance from some lawmakers and the real estate industry.

3. Higher interest rates
Private mortgages tend to charge higher interest rates than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac-backed loans. But increased lender appetite for private mortgages has helped lower their rates, which are hovering near and in some cases lower than rates on government-backed mortgages. (Historically, private mortgages had higher rates.)

It’s unclear whether rates will rise if more borrowers enter this market. While an increase in demand could cause rates to move higher, the opposite could occur if the secondary mortgage market takes off, says Stu Feldstein, president at mortgage-research firm SMR Research.

4. Fewer choices in the private market
Though small in number, some lenders have been offering low-income documentation mortgages and interest-only mortgages to affluent borrowers and holding those loans on their books. The CFPB’s new mortgage rules that kick in next year will offer more protection from lawsuits to lenders who avoid these mortgages.

Lenders who want this legal protection also won’t be able to approve borrowers for mortgages if their total monthly debt is over 43% of their monthly pre-tax income. These changes could result in fewer loan options at the same time that more borrowers enter this space.

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24Comments
Sep 16, 2013 12:51PM
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90% purchased by government agencies! WTF does that mean. The government needs to get out of everything except upholding the constitution and protecting OUR OWN BORDERS!

Sep 19, 2013 1:36PM
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You mean, people are actually going to have to qualify for a loan ?  Have a real job ?  Income ?  Credit history ?  What a concept.
Sep 16, 2013 12:07PM
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The problem is that there are too many irresponsible people out there who are poor loan risks.  For some it is just too difficult to pay their bills on time and meet the obligations which they created for themselves. It should not be the responsibility of others, through the government, to guarantee loans or make it easy for irresponsible people to evade their responsibilities.  They should stand on their own feet and not expect others to do everything for them.  We need to return to the times when there was a stigma attached to those who would not organize their lives in such a way that they could pay theor bills.

 

Another point of view is that there is a pretty hefty under body of folks who will never be able to do something as simple as owning a home.  We could learn to live with that fact, or continue to bail the irresponsible ones out at the expense to others who are responsible.  I say live with that fact and stop catering to morons!

Sep 12, 2013 8:52AM
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Banks in my area want 25% down minimum and solid job and 5 years tax returns before they even look at you. Most bank loan offices are empty now.
Sep 12, 2013 8:53AM
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Same time, there are much fewer people who want to buy seeing the prices falling with the rising rates. Many are waiting on the sidelines for prices to correct downwards as mortgage rates increase back to normal of 7-8%.
Sep 19, 2013 2:13PM
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I can't seem to get a bank to cooperate. I have A+ credit, a steady job with a decent income, and have paid 1/3 of my house value (purchased on contract...before the big crash). It is either they don't like the "comps" for appraisal in my area, or they want me to borrow $$ to make a "down payment" on a house I"ve been paying on for eight years now. One thing the banks don't have a problem with is collecting their fees and running... Meanwhile, I watch my co-workers with low credit scores re-fi under these low rates, or qualify for pretty hefty mortgages. Grrrrr. So frustrating. 
Sep 11, 2013 6:25PM
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I plan on retiring at the end of next year. Start collecting a pension, and with the wife still working, I can possibly have the luxury of waiting day to day to see when I should start collecting my SS  benefits!
Sep 19, 2013 6:50PM
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America, Wake Up! All this is just a grain of sand in the New World Order that is just around the corner. You are going to suffer financially like you can't imagine! Pay down your debt and hunker down, the pain is coming!
Sep 19, 2013 5:15PM
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If the buyers credit scores aren't at least 700--

 

NO LOAN!!!!

Sep 19, 2013 5:09PM
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My sister in law is a loan officer for a bank, lives in a 1.2 million dollar home, and they stopped paying on loans several months ago without punishment?  They still buy, still get credit, still live high off the hog and they just walk away from there responsibilities and nothing happens.  Can someone explain how they get away with this?  On top of it she is talking about building a new home even though they are up side down on there current one?
Sep 19, 2013 2:31PM
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The move will only serve to slow the economy and the recovery, something the GOP has been doing now for years so they can say , " see Obama really is bad for the country " !
...and when Boehner says he is doing it for the american people he is only speaking for an average 15% of the people, because the vast majority of the AMERICAN people, do NOT agree with the house majority on ANYTHING!!! 
Sep 17, 2013 12:10AM
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I can afford to borrow 200,000. But loan me 500,000 please sir. This should not be an issue because all the greed in this country from people with 70 million in the bank who want more money are struggling. A man can't make it or put food on the table with 70 million socked away, he needs closer too 120 million in the bank. These folks with millions just can't survive on this. We should succumb to this. I know the wealthy are struggling, so i will do my part. Wake up americans with common sense, this country is overrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.
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