Car sales expected to rise 12% for 2012

The US auto industry continues to recover from the 2008 recession, with more gains anticipated in 2013.

By TheStreet Staff Nov 23, 2012 12:23PM

Car salesman showing couple new silver hatchback in car showroom copyright Juice Images, Cultura, Getty Imagesthestreet logo

By Ted Reed

 

The strong pace of U.S. auto industry sales this year is continuing this month, with November light-vehicle sales likely to show a 12% increase.

 

Experts said Hurricane Sandy reduced October sales, pushing some demand into later months, and also created a need for replacement vehicles.

 

"Sales have strengthened each week in November, which bodes well for a strong finish to the month and the year," said J.D Power analyst John Humphrey, in a prepared statement. "We expect healthy sales in December, as the industry continues to recover from Sandy and leads into its year-end sales events."

 

LMC Automotive, an affiliate of J.D. Power, forecast November volume of 1.1 vehicles, with retail sales accounting for 83%. November is expected to reflect the highest retail selling rate since January 2008. Retail transactions are considered the most accurate measurement of consumer demand for new vehicles, with the remaining sales to fleet customers influenced by various factors.

 

LMC Automotive projected full-year 2012 light vehicle sales of 14.4 million, a 12.5% increase over last year. During its third-quarter earnings call, Ford (F) also projected 2012 light-vehicle sales of 14.4 million. Edmunds.com also said it expects full-year light-vehicle sales of 14.4 million. U.S. light-vehicle sales totaled 12.8 million in 2011, up from 11.6 million in 2010. LMC projected 2013 sales of 15 million.

 

"The irrepressible need and willingness of consumers to replace aging vehicles is stronger than the effects of natural disasters and fiscal turmoil both here and abroad," said LMC Automotive analyst Jeff Schuster, in a prepared statement. "A sustained recovery pace in auto sales is expected over the next six months, barring any fiscal cliff hangover, but the medium-term forecast is still dependent on more pronounced economic activity and growth."

 

On a recent conference call with reporters, Edmunds.com economist Lacey Plache said that Hurricane Sandy resulted in lost sales of about 30,000 units in October. This month, she said, first-half sales in the Northeast were slower than expected, but a second-half pickup is expected. "By December, most of the delayed sales will have come back, plus sizable replacement sales come in" she said. "Insurance money starts coming in by then."

 

Edmunds.com estimated that 200,000 to 250,000 vehicles were destroyed or damaged by Hurricane Sandy, of which about 65,000 to 80,000 will be replaced in the new car market.

 

More from TheStreet.com

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

1Comment
Nov 23, 2012 3:51PM
avatar

Not to mention the collection calls, and repos, especially when the country drives right over the financial cliff....

 

In all fairness, it's nice to see that this lefty writer is trying to stoke up some "hope and change" that

the re-elected failure in office has yet to do.

 

Just saying...

 

Sincerely,

 

A dis-satisfied customer and voter...

 

Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.

MARKET UPDATE

NAMELASTCHANGE% CHANGE
There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.
NAMELASTCHANGE% CHANGE
There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.
Market index data delayed by 15 minutes

[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market punctuated July with a broad-based retreat that sent the S&P 500 lower by 2.0% with all ten sectors ending in the red. The benchmark index posted a monthly decline of 1.5%, while the Russell 2000 (-2.3%) underperformed to end the month lower by 6.1%.

To get a better feel for what led to today's retreat, we'd like to look back to Wednesday, when the market had ample reason to rally, but did not. Instead, it ended basically flat after a sloppy day of ... More


Currencies

NAMELASTCHANGE% CHANGE
There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.