Dow slumps 313 after Obama's re-election

Investors fear failure to fix the fiscal cliff will lead to recession. European stocks slump after ECB President Draghi says even Germany is weakening. Apple has fallen 20% since September. Bank and energy stocks fall. Oil and gold slip.

By Charley Blaine Nov 7, 2012 1:45PM
Charley BlaineUpdated: 8:32 p.m. ET

A day after President Barack Obama won a second term, stocks suffered their worst beating in nearly a year.

Late selling caused to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) to finish down more than 300 points, its largest loss since Nov. 9, 2011. The blue-chip index ended the day below 13,000 for the first time since Aug. 2, and the major U.S. averages were all down at least 2.4%.

Bank stocks were the weakest sector in part because it's likely the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill will remain largely intact. In addition, Elizabeth Warren, a critic of many U.S. banking practices, won a seat in the U.S. Senate. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), a critic of bank regulation, was down $2.32 to $40.56. Health insurance stocks were lower because the  Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Reform Act -- aka Obamacare -- is likely to stay in place.

Meanwhile, oil prices fell back sharply in part because of worries about global demand. Europe became a worry after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said he expected no change to the weak eurozone economy in the near future. Worse, he said, the weakness has begun to affect Germany. European stocks immediately sold off -- and sharply, too. The dollar rose against the euro and British pound.

The Dow closed down 313 points to 12,933, its lowest close since July 26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) slumped 34 points to 1,395, its first close below 1,400 since Aug. 6. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) dropped 75 points to 2,946, its biggest loss since Nov. 9, 2011.

Article continues below.
The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) had fallen 68 points to 2,613.

And that brings us to Apple (AAPL), which represents some 17% of the Nasdaq 100's market capitalization and roughly 4% of the value of the S&P 500. The stock is off $22.20 to $558. That's down 20.9% from its intraday peak of $705.07. Selling in the shares accelerated this morning when the stock hit $564 -- 20% below that intraday high.

After the close, however, Qualcomm (QCOM), the big maker of chips used on mobile phones, forecast fiscal first-quarter sales and profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates as it increases production of its most expensive chips. Shares were up $4.78, or 8.2%, to $62.90 after hours after falling $2.25 to $58.12 in regular trading.

Crude oil takes a dive
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled down $4.27 to $84.44 a barrel. Brent crude was off $4.36 to $106.71. One reason for the decline was the decline in coal prices and coal stocks, a reaction to the election.

The national average retail price of gasoline fell to $3.462 a gallon from Tuesday's $3.463, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report.

Gold (-GC) settled down $1 to $1,714 an ounce. Silver (-SI) fell 37 cents to $31.66 an ounce. Copper (-HG) fell 6.5 cents to $3.441 a pound.

Interest rates fell as the dollar moved higher. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 1.632% from Tuesday's 1.742%.
Energy prices -- New York close



Wed.     Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil (-CL)

$84.44

$88.71

-2.09%

-14.56%
(per barrel)











Heating oil (-HO)

$2.9621

$3.0529

-3.27%

1.64%
(per gallon)











Natural gas (-NG)

$3.5780

$3.6170

-3.09%

19.71%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline (-RB)

$2.5889

$2.6989

-1.57%

-2.58%
(per gallon)











Brent crude 

$106.82

$111.07

1.08%

-0.52%
(per barrel)











Retail gasoline

$3.4620

$3.4630

-1.68%

5.68%
(per gallon; AAA)












A tough road ahead for Obama, Congress
Today's slump is reminiscent of what happened the day after Obama won the 2008 election. The Dow fell 486 points that day and 443 points the next.

The bottom line on the sell-off is Obama will get no honeymoon from his re-election. He and Congress face the potential that doing nothing about the fiscal cliff -- the witch's brew of tax increases and spending cuts due to kick in after the New Year -- will cause the economy to slide back into recession, as many economists claim.

Ratings agency Fitch Investors warned today that the U.S. probably would lose its AAA credit rating if the administration and Congress don't address the problem.


"The economic policy challenge facing the president is to put in place a credible deficit-reduction plan necessary to underpin economic recovery and confidence in the full faith and credit of the U.S.," a company statement said today. 


Is a rally forming?

Maybe. It's true that the Dow and the Nasdaq closed the day below their simple moving averages. That's a signal that the market is headed lower, and there was lots of chatter to that end today.


At the same time, the relative strength indexes for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all under 30. When these indicators drop below 30, that suggest the market overall is oversold and could be ripe for a rebound relatively soon.


In late May, the the RSI for the three indexes fell below 10. The market bottomed on June 4, with the Dow jumping about 12.5% up through Oct. 5.


That is, admittedly, is a technical view. What won't help markets are the riots today in Greece at the end of a two-day general strike called to oppose a €13.5bn ($17.2 billion) package of cuts demanded by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in return for a financial lifeline to prevent the government running out of money.


Thursday brings the weekly report on jobless claims and the September report on the nation's trade balance. The key earnings report comes after the close from entertainment and media giant Walt Disney (DIS). Also reporting: Wendy's (WEN), Kohl's (KSS), Zipcar (ZIP) and Boingo Wireless (WIFI).

There may be a bounceback rally. Futures suggests the Dow will open 50 points higher, with the S&P 500 up 5 points and the Nasdaq-100 up 9 points.


A big, bad loss

This was a day when stocks that might have done well under a Romney administration were clobbered: defense, coal, oil and gas, health insurers, steel, banks and broker. And everything else seemed to run over with them.

One group that did remarkably well: gun makers as investors speculated an Obama administration attempt to regulate gun selling more closely. Sturm Ruger (RGR) jumped $3.04 to $47.68. Smith & Wesson Holding (SWHC) surged 91 cents to $10.37.

All 30 Dow stocks were lower, but 109 points of the index's loss was concentrated in five stocks: Caterpillar (CAT), IBM (IBM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and JPMorgan Chase. 

The best Dow performers, relatively speaking: Walt Disney (DIS), Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The biggest percentage losers were Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).

Only 28 S&P 500 stocks were higher, led by Tenet Healthcare (THC), JDS Uniphase (JDSU) and Time Warner (TWX). Coal-producer Peabody Energy (BTU), investment bank  Morgan Stanley (MS) and health insurer Humana (HUM) were the laggards.

Only six Nasdaq-100 stocks were higher, led by Netflix (NFLX) , News Corp. (NWSA) and medical-equipment wholesaler Henry Schein (HSICResearch In Motion (RIMM) and for-profit education company Apollo Group (APOL) were the laggards.

Research In Motion fell 82 cents to $8.24 after Pacific Crest Securities analyst James Faucette wrote that the company's BlackBerry 10 operating system would be 'dead on arrival" when it comes to market early 2013.

Short hits from the markets -- New York close



Wed.

Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Treasury yields











13-week Treasury bill

0.0900%

0.090%

-18.18%

800.00%
5-year Treasury note 

0.662%

0.744%

-7.41%

-20.24%
10-year Treasury note

1.632%

1.742%

-3.20%

-12.77%
30-year Treasury bond

2.821%

2.916%

-1.05%

-2.35%
Currencies











U.S. Dollar Index

80.867

80.843

1.10%

0.43%
British pound

1.5995

1.6000

-0.88%

2.94%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in pounds

£0.625

£0.625

0.89%

-2.86%
Euro in dollars

$1.28

$1.28

-1.48%

-1.44%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in euros

€ 0.783

€ 0.780

1.50%

1.46%
U.S. $ in yen 

80.13

80.39

0.41%

3.93%
U.S. $ in Chinese

6.27

6.24

0.52%

-0.95%
yuan











Canada dollar

$1.004

$1.008

0.40%

2.37%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. dollar 

$0.996

$0.992

-0.33%

-2.32%
(in Canadian $)

 








Commodities

 

 

 

 
Gold (-GC)

$1,714.00

$1,715.000

-0.30%

9.39%
(per troy ounce)

 








Copper (-HG)

$3.4415

$3.506

-2.16%

0.16%
(per pound)

 








Silver (-SI)

$31.661

$32.034

-2.03%

13.42%
(per troy ounce)

 








Wheat (-ZW)

$8.940

$8.770

3.41%

36.96%
(per bushel)

 








Corn (-ZC)

$7.4425

$7.410

-1.52%

15.12%
(per bushel)

 








Cotton 

$0.6983

$0.701

-0.34%

-23.83%
(per pound)

 








Coffee

$1.5120

$1.506

-2.23%

-34.16%
(per pound)

 








Crude oil (-CL)

$84.44

$88.710

-2.09%

-14.56%
(per barrel)










 

1653Comments
Feb 22, 2013 3:09PM
avatar
This article has been on the net now for over three months. Why isn't news of the great stock market crashes in the fall of 1988, during Reagen's administration, and in the fall of 2008, during Bush's administration still on the net? 
Feb 18, 2013 11:36AM
avatar

One month after Obama took office in 2009, the Dow was at a 20-year low (6,627).  4 years later, the Dow more than doubled (14,000).  Some of the bloggers blame Obama as history's most business-unfriendly president?  If Fox News fans want to make this connection, I have some swampland to sell. 

Feb 9, 2013 11:57PM
avatar
Don't go acting surprised that the most anti-business, anti-USA prresident ever caused this problem!
Jan 27, 2013 2:06PM
avatar
Don't you think we can take this post off the my msn page now?  It's been on it seems forever.  Get something current.  This is suppose to be update business info.
Jan 24, 2013 1:36PM
avatar
Bunch of whining crybabies.  The American people voted Obama in as YOUR PRESIDENT. Get over  it.
Jan 22, 2013 8:14PM
avatar
FLASH:  S&P just hit 5 year high today.   Atta way, Obama!!!!
Jan 3, 2013 6:30AM
avatar
Obama popularity at all time high......MSN still LEADING with stale story on their homepage.
Jan 3, 2013 6:28AM
avatar

Here is current story:

 

 

 

You still suck because you report a story that is 2 months old and irrelevant.   Fox News called....they think you suck too.

Jan 3, 2013 6:25AM
avatar
Keep removing my posts.....won't change the fact that you keep leading with a dead story
Jan 3, 2013 6:25AM
avatar
Market was up another 308 yesterday this story is from November........you are a pathetic joke!
Jan 2, 2013 5:02PM
avatar
Time to re-check your numbers there, factmaster.  LOL
Jan 2, 2013 2:03PM
avatar
Market is up yet again....keep leading with this story and keep deleting my posts............
Jan 1, 2013 3:38PM
avatar
The election was 2 months ago.....market went back up.....continuing to lead with this story is a disgrace.....go work for Fox...they love this stuff.
Jan 1, 2013 3:37PM
avatar
How long you plan on leading with this?
Jan 1, 2013 3:22AM
avatar

How long does MSN plan on publishing this a top item on the home page......the market came back ....it must pain you to admit it....Obama won Hillary 2016!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

 

Grow up and be a professional

Dec 29, 2012 12:34PM
avatar
History will say that Obama was the greatest President the United States of America has ever had.
Dec 29, 2012 12:31PM
avatar

During the last four years, I have made more money than ever in the Stock Market.

The stock was at it highest level recently.

Tell Obama to keep doing what he is doing.

He's OK with me

Dec 10, 2012 3:57PM
avatar

The most intelligent statement by a Tea Party blogger in this whole article was the one who exclaimed, "The loser won!"  Isn't that the typical mindset of the Tea Party, who believes down is up, the economy growing is a bad thing, and killing the government will decrease the debt, while killing millions of jobs?

 

Even John Boehner is firing Tea Party members, who refuse to be logical. Maybe self-deportation would be a wise decision for the Tea Party, to give them a fresh view of the world they seek to corrupt.

Maybe a few years in a third world country might bring them some sense of propriety!

It's obvious the Tea Party is bat crazy in America, so why do they stay, unless they like the torture George Bush made legal and the Tea Party is now unleashing upon our economy!

 

Of course the stock market is in flux, while the Tea Party refuses to raise the taxes necessary to run this country!

 

Personally, I think we ought to raise taxes back to 90% on the top 2%, in order to pay our national debt off quicker! I would also like to see a law that makes the Cayman Islands LLC's illegal, as they are diverting all the taxable money from being collected in taxes our nation needs and could be used to fund the basic needs of our nation!

Dec 10, 2012 3:43PM
avatar
Of course the Tea wackos will blame everything on the liberals, while the majority of Americans supported the liberal mandate! The lack of leadership and control within the Republican Party that hols our economy hostage refuses to evolve, even when they lost seats in the House, the Senate, and lost the Presidency, while the great majority of Americans, who support increasing taxes upon the rich, who refuse to raise wages, improve working conditions, or support the rights of employees to have a voice!
Dec 7, 2012 9:31PM
avatar
America voted for a homecoming queen and you known like wow that's like what they got.
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