Dow slumps 313 after Obama's re-election
Investors fear failure to fix the fiscal cliff will lead to recession. European stocks slump after ECB President Draghi says even Germany is weakening. Apple has fallen 20% since September. Bank and energy stocks fall. Oil and gold slip.
A day after President Barack Obama won a second term, stocks suffered their worst beating in nearly a year.
Late selling caused to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) to finish down more than 300 points, its largest loss since Nov. 9, 2011. The blue-chip index ended the day below 13,000 for the first time since Aug. 2, and the major U.S. averages were all down at least 2.4%.
Bank stocks were the weakest sector in part because it's likely the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill will remain largely intact. In addition, Elizabeth Warren, a critic of many U.S. banking practices, won a seat in the U.S. Senate. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), a critic of bank regulation, was down $2.32 to $40.56. Health insurance stocks were lower because the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Reform Act -- aka Obamacare -- is likely to stay in place.
Meanwhile, oil prices fell back sharply in part because of worries about global demand. Europe became a worry after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said he expected no change to the weak eurozone economy in the near future. Worse, he said, the weakness has begun to affect Germany. European stocks immediately sold off -- and sharply, too. The dollar rose against the euro and British pound.
The Dow closed down 313 points to 12,933, its lowest close since July 26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) slumped 34 points to 1,395, its first close below 1,400 since Aug. 6. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) dropped 75 points to 2,946, its biggest loss since Nov. 9, 2011.
Article continues below.The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) had fallen 68 points to 2,613.
And that brings us to Apple (AAPL), which represents some 17% of the Nasdaq 100's market capitalization and roughly 4% of the value of the S&P 500. The stock is off $22.20 to $558. That's down 20.9% from its intraday peak of $705.07. Selling in the shares accelerated this morning when the stock hit $564 -- 20% below that intraday high.
After the close, however, Qualcomm (QCOM), the big maker of chips used on mobile phones, forecast fiscal first-quarter sales and profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates as it increases production of its most expensive chips. Shares were up $4.78, or 8.2%, to $62.90 after hours after falling $2.25 to $58.12 in regular trading.
Crude oil takes a dive
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled down $4.27 to $84.44 a barrel. Brent crude was off $4.36 to $106.71. One reason for the decline was the decline in coal prices and coal stocks, a reaction to the election.
The national average retail price of gasoline fell to $3.462 a gallon from Tuesday's $3.463, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report.
Gold (-GC) settled down $1 to $1,714 an ounce. Silver (-SI) fell 37 cents to $31.66 an ounce. Copper (-HG) fell 6.5 cents to $3.441 a pound.
Interest rates fell as the dollar moved higher. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 1.632% from Tuesday's 1.742%.
|Energy prices -- New York close|
|Wed.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.44||$88.71||-2.09%||-14.56%|
|Heating oil (-HO)||$2.9621||$3.0529||-3.27%||1.64%|
|Natural gas (-NG)||$3.5780||$3.6170||-3.09%||19.71%|
|(per mil. BTU)|
|Unleaded gasoline (-RB)||$2.5889||$2.6989||-1.57%||-2.58%|
|(per gallon; AAA)|
A tough road ahead for Obama, Congress
Today's slump is reminiscent of what happened the day after Obama won the 2008 election. The Dow fell 486 points that day and 443 points the next.
The bottom line on the sell-off is Obama will get no honeymoon from his re-election. He and Congress face the potential that doing nothing about the fiscal cliff -- the witch's brew of tax increases and spending cuts due to kick in after the New Year -- will cause the economy to slide back into recession, as many economists claim.
Ratings agency Fitch Investors warned today that the U.S. probably would lose its AAA credit rating if the administration and Congress don't address the problem.
"The economic policy challenge facing the president is to put in place a credible deficit-reduction plan necessary to underpin economic recovery and confidence in the full faith and credit of the U.S.," a company statement said today.
Is a rally forming?
Maybe. It's true that the Dow and the Nasdaq closed the day below their simple moving averages. That's a signal that the market is headed lower, and there was lots of chatter to that end today.
At the same time, the relative strength indexes for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all under 30. When these indicators drop below 30, that suggest the market overall is oversold and could be ripe for a rebound relatively soon.
In late May, the the RSI for the three indexes fell below 10. The market bottomed on June 4, with the Dow jumping about 12.5% up through Oct. 5.
That is, admittedly, is a technical view. What won't help markets are the riots today in Greece at the end of a two-day general strike called to oppose a €13.5bn ($17.2 billion) package of cuts demanded by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in return for a financial lifeline to prevent the government running out of money.
Thursday brings the weekly report on jobless claims and the September report on the nation's trade balance. The key earnings report comes after the close from entertainment and media giant Walt Disney (DIS). Also reporting: Wendy's (WEN), Kohl's (KSS), Zipcar (ZIP) and Boingo Wireless (WIFI).
There may be a bounceback rally. Futures suggests the Dow will open 50 points higher, with the S&P 500 up 5 points and the Nasdaq-100 up 9 points.
A big, bad lossThis was a day when stocks that might have done well under a Romney administration were clobbered: defense, coal, oil and gas, health insurers, steel, banks and broker. And everything else seemed to run over with them.
One group that did remarkably well: gun makers as investors speculated an Obama administration attempt to regulate gun selling more closely. Sturm Ruger (RGR) jumped $3.04 to $47.68. Smith & Wesson Holding (SWHC) surged 91 cents to $10.37.
All 30 Dow stocks were lower, but 109 points of the index's loss was concentrated in five stocks: Caterpillar (CAT), IBM (IBM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and JPMorgan Chase.
The best Dow performers, relatively speaking: Walt Disney (DIS), Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The biggest percentage losers were Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).
Only 28 S&P 500 stocks were higher, led by Tenet Healthcare (THC), JDS Uniphase (JDSU) and Time Warner (TWX). Coal-producer Peabody Energy (BTU), investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS) and health insurer Humana (HUM) were the laggards.
Only six Nasdaq-100 stocks were higher, led by Netflix (NFLX) , News Corp. (NWSA) and medical-equipment wholesaler Henry Schein (HSIC) Research In Motion (RIMM) and for-profit education company Apollo Group (APOL) were the laggards.
Research In Motion fell 82 cents to $8.24 after Pacific Crest Securities analyst James Faucette wrote that the company's BlackBerry 10 operating system would be 'dead on arrival" when it comes to market early 2013.
|Short hits from the markets -- New York close|
|Wed.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|13-week Treasury bill||0.0900%||0.090%||-18.18%||800.00%|
|5-year Treasury note||0.662%||0.744%||-7.41%||-20.24%|
|10-year Treasury note||1.632%||1.742%||-3.20%||-12.77%|
|30-year Treasury bond||2.821%||2.916%||-1.05%||-2.35%|
|U.S. Dollar Index||80.867||80.843||1.10%||0.43%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in pounds||£0.625||£0.625||0.89%||-2.86%|
|Euro in dollars||$1.28||$1.28||-1.48%||-1.44%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in euros||€ 0.783||€ 0.780||1.50%||1.46%|
|U.S. $ in yen||80.13||80.39||0.41%||3.93%|
|U.S. $ in Chinese||6.27||6.24||0.52%||-0.95%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|(in Canadian $)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.44||$88.710||-2.09%||-14.56%|
Well, if that Bourgeois Pig Market crashes, at least it might take a few basis points off of the relevant GINI Coefficients!!!
Hey robot you speak like a Obummer program but the Bailouts were caused by Clinton.
He is the one that put the fair housing clause out there you and your schooling taught lunicy
Well explain how when the republicans were in office I was making 65k more than four years after
your ?ucking retarded hero took office.
why was a gallon of gas 1.80 instaead of 3.80 and my 401 made money not lost half
like right after your stupid retard took office
The fact that that was repeated by a majority of voting Americans at the exit polls and by the President of the United States while on the campaign trail shows just how much a failure the education system of this country is, as well as it's president.
This scenario ought to make Jimmy Carter look like a genius before it's over with.
You'll get what you deserve, only problem is most of you won't even see it coming.
As much as I disagree with our current selection in leadership my strength in the one we serve keeps me going. Even when we don't see eye to eye on matter of importance my church and state are intertwined PRAYER, FASTING and REPENT. Feels like Sodom and Gomorra when Abraham pleaded with God for just 50 righteous to save his nephews city from ruin. All it takes is a small handful to make change. Let them hear WE ARE NOT going to back down from the things that are important as a whole .WE the PEOPLE have a voice when it gets used. Our Governors, Senators and Congressmen are working for WE THE PEOPLE. Get those calls, letters, and emails HEARD.
The Republicans pulled their money out to make Obama look bad. Think about it
I asked my students today, comprised of young adults ages 19-25, who ALL voted for Obama, how they felt about the impending fiscal cliff. Each one of them responded "What's that?"
I'm so glad that this country allows the uninformed to vote!!!!
Hey Windy City Guy, if Obama is a loser, what was George Bush Jr? Do you really think Bush Jr was Presidential material? The only reason the stocks didn't plunge when Jr was reelected was because he was white. You people can't stand to have a black man in charge can you? That's why the Market plunged; why Congress won't agree on anything; there are a lack of jobs....run by white men who want to continue control and refuse to share the reigns. This is your "I'll show you who is in charge reaction. So, you choose to hurt the whole country. You think its Obama who caused the market to plunge or is it just the ego of White Men who realize "they don't have control." I look forward to seeing all of your reactions when the next President is Latino. You people will probably kill yourselves.
I said it. Someone had to say it. I said it.
OK, first time we didn't know, but now, AGAIN!!!! FOUR MORE!!!!!!!! COME ON!!!!!!1
@ , I suppose you're implying that Obama voters are all poor. A quick look at the electoral map will tell you otherwise. I live in northern Virginia, which is one of the most affluent areas in the country. Fairfax, Loudoun, and Arlinton counties, along with the cities of Falls Church and Alexandria, all went heavily for Obama.
The stocks were being propped up by forces of whom would support Obama's second term. Now that their job is done, they're exiting with their cash as fast as they can.
How can there be a jobless recovery? If there are no jobs, no public faith in government, and a very narrow win by the Obama camp.....just how is that a victory? It isn't a victory; not for America. Or as Barrack would say, "Mmurka."
You've all been lied to. And now is the time to pay the price for your naivete.
One of the stock analyst newsletters I suscribe to stated things would NOT have been better if Romney had been elected: that basically no one can pull the country out of the ditch we're in. But I still think the devil you know is better than the devil you don't.
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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.
Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More
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