
Dow slumps 313 after Obama's re-election
Investors fear failure to fix the fiscal cliff will lead to recession. European stocks slump after ECB President Draghi says even Germany is weakening. Apple has fallen 20% since September. Bank and energy stocks fall. Oil and gold slip.
Updated: 8:32 p.m. ETA day after President Barack Obama won a second term, stocks suffered their worst beating in nearly a year.
Late selling caused to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) to finish down more than 300 points, its largest loss since Nov. 9, 2011. The blue-chip index ended the day below 13,000 for the first time since Aug. 2, and the major U.S. averages were all down at least 2.4%.
Bank stocks were the weakest sector in part because it's likely the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill will remain largely intact. In addition, Elizabeth Warren, a critic of many U.S. banking practices, won a seat in the U.S. Senate. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), a critic of bank regulation, was down $2.32 to $40.56. Health insurance stocks were lower because the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Reform Act -- aka Obamacare -- is likely to stay in place.
Meanwhile, oil prices fell back sharply in part because of worries about global demand. Europe became a worry after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said he expected no change to the weak eurozone economy in the near future. Worse, he said, the weakness has begun to affect Germany. European stocks immediately sold off -- and sharply, too. The dollar rose against the euro and British pound.
The Dow closed down 313 points to 12,933, its lowest close since July 26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) slumped 34 points to 1,395, its first close below 1,400 since Aug. 6. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) dropped 75 points to 2,946, its biggest loss since Nov. 9, 2011.
Article continues below.The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) had fallen 68 points to 2,613.
And that brings us to Apple (AAPL), which represents some 17% of the Nasdaq 100's market capitalization and roughly 4% of the value of the S&P 500. The stock is off $22.20 to $558. That's down 20.9% from its intraday peak of $705.07. Selling in the shares accelerated this morning when the stock hit $564 -- 20% below that intraday high.
After the close, however, Qualcomm (QCOM), the big maker of chips used on mobile phones, forecast fiscal first-quarter sales and profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates as it increases production of its most expensive chips. Shares were up $4.78, or 8.2%, to $62.90 after hours after falling $2.25 to $58.12 in regular trading.
Crude oil takes a dive
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled down $4.27 to $84.44 a barrel. Brent crude was off $4.36 to $106.71. One reason for the decline was the decline in coal prices and coal stocks, a reaction to the election.
The national average retail price of gasoline fell to $3.462 a gallon from Tuesday's $3.463, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report.
Gold (-GC) settled down $1 to $1,714 an ounce. Silver (-SI) fell 37 cents to $31.66 an ounce. Copper (-HG) fell 6.5 cents to $3.441 a pound.
Interest rates fell as the dollar moved higher. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 1.632% from Tuesday's 1.742%.
| Energy prices -- New York close | ||||||||||||
| Wed. | Thur. | Month chg. | YTD chg. | |||||||||
| Crude oil (-CL) | $84.44 | $88.71 | -2.09% | -14.56% | ||||||||
| (per barrel) | ||||||||||||
| Heating oil (-HO) | $2.9621 | $3.0529 | -3.27% | 1.64% | ||||||||
| (per gallon) | ||||||||||||
| Natural gas (-NG) | $3.5780 | $3.6170 | -3.09% | 19.71% | ||||||||
| (per mil. BTU) | ||||||||||||
| Unleaded gasoline (-RB) | $2.5889 | $2.6989 | -1.57% | -2.58% | ||||||||
| (per gallon) | ||||||||||||
| Brent crude | $106.82 | $111.07 | 1.08% | -0.52% | ||||||||
| (per barrel) | ||||||||||||
| Retail gasoline | $3.4620 | $3.4630 | -1.68% | 5.68% | ||||||||
| (per gallon; AAA) | ||||||||||||
A tough road ahead for Obama, Congress
Today's slump is reminiscent of what happened the day after Obama won the 2008 election. The Dow fell 486 points that day and 443 points the next.
The bottom line on the sell-off is Obama will get no honeymoon from his re-election. He and Congress face the potential that doing nothing about the fiscal cliff -- the witch's brew of tax increases and spending cuts due to kick in after the New Year -- will cause the economy to slide back into recession, as many economists claim.
Ratings agency Fitch Investors warned today that the U.S. probably would lose its AAA credit rating if the administration and Congress don't address the problem.
"The economic policy challenge facing the president is to put in place a credible deficit-reduction plan necessary to underpin economic recovery and confidence in the full faith and credit of the U.S.," a company statement said today.
Is a rally forming?
Maybe. It's true that the Dow and the Nasdaq closed the day below their simple moving averages. That's a signal that the market is headed lower, and there was lots of chatter to that end today.
At the same time, the relative strength indexes for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all under 30. When these indicators drop below 30, that suggest the market overall is oversold and could be ripe for a rebound relatively soon.
In late May, the the RSI for the three indexes fell below 10. The market bottomed on June 4, with the Dow jumping about 12.5% up through Oct. 5.
That is, admittedly, is a technical view. What won't help markets are the riots today in Greece at the end of a two-day general strike called to oppose a €13.5bn ($17.2 billion) package of cuts demanded by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in return for a financial lifeline to prevent the government running out of money.
Thursday brings the weekly report on jobless claims and the September report on the nation's trade balance. The key earnings report comes after the close from entertainment and media giant Walt Disney (DIS). Also reporting: Wendy's (WEN), Kohl's (KSS), Zipcar (ZIP) and Boingo Wireless (WIFI).
There may be a bounceback rally. Futures suggests the Dow will open 50 points higher, with the S&P 500 up 5 points and the Nasdaq-100 up 9 points.
A big, bad loss
This was a day when stocks that might have done well under a Romney administration were clobbered: defense, coal, oil and gas, health insurers, steel, banks and broker. And everything else seemed to run over with them.One group that did remarkably well: gun makers as investors speculated an Obama administration attempt to regulate gun selling more closely. Sturm Ruger (RGR) jumped $3.04 to $47.68. Smith & Wesson Holding (SWHC) surged 91 cents to $10.37.
All 30 Dow stocks were lower, but 109 points of the index's loss was concentrated in five stocks: Caterpillar (CAT), IBM (IBM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and JPMorgan Chase.
The best Dow performers, relatively speaking: Walt Disney (DIS), Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The biggest percentage losers were Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).
Only 28 S&P 500 stocks were higher, led by Tenet Healthcare (THC), JDS Uniphase (JDSU) and Time Warner (TWX). Coal-producer Peabody Energy (BTU), investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS) and health insurer Humana (HUM) were the laggards.
Only six Nasdaq-100 stocks were higher, led by Netflix (NFLX) , News Corp. (NWSA) and medical-equipment wholesaler Henry Schein (HSIC) Research In Motion (RIMM) and for-profit education company Apollo Group (APOL) were the laggards.
Research In Motion fell 82 cents to $8.24 after Pacific Crest Securities analyst James Faucette wrote that the company's BlackBerry 10 operating system would be 'dead on arrival" when it comes to market early 2013.
| Short hits from the markets -- New York close | ||||||||||||
| Wed. | Thur. | Month chg. | YTD chg. | |||||||||
| Treasury yields | ||||||||||||
| 13-week Treasury bill | 0.0900% | 0.090% | -18.18% | 800.00% | ||||||||
| 5-year Treasury note | 0.662% | 0.744% | -7.41% | -20.24% | ||||||||
| 10-year Treasury note | 1.632% | 1.742% | -3.20% | -12.77% | ||||||||
| 30-year Treasury bond | 2.821% | 2.916% | -1.05% | -2.35% | ||||||||
| Currencies | ||||||||||||
| U.S. Dollar Index | 80.867 | 80.843 | 1.10% | 0.43% | ||||||||
| British pound | 1.5995 | 1.6000 | -0.88% | 2.94% | ||||||||
| (in U.S. $) | ||||||||||||
| U.S. $ in pounds | £0.625 | £0.625 | 0.89% | -2.86% | ||||||||
| Euro in dollars | $1.28 | $1.28 | -1.48% | -1.44% | ||||||||
| (in U.S. $) | ||||||||||||
| U.S. $ in euros | € 0.783 | € 0.780 | 1.50% | 1.46% | ||||||||
| U.S. $ in yen | 80.13 | 80.39 | 0.41% | 3.93% | ||||||||
| U.S. $ in Chinese | 6.27 | 6.24 | 0.52% | -0.95% | ||||||||
| yuan | ||||||||||||
| Canada dollar | $1.004 | $1.008 | 0.40% | 2.37% | ||||||||
| (in U.S. $) | ||||||||||||
| U.S. dollar | $0.996 | $0.992 | -0.33% | -2.32% | ||||||||
| (in Canadian $) | ||||||||||||
| Commodities | ||||||||||||
| Gold (-GC) | $1,714.00 | $1,715.000 | -0.30% | 9.39% | ||||||||
| (per troy ounce) | ||||||||||||
| Copper (-HG) | $3.4415 | $3.506 | -2.16% | 0.16% | ||||||||
| (per pound) | ||||||||||||
| Silver (-SI) | $31.661 | $32.034 | -2.03% | 13.42% | ||||||||
| (per troy ounce) | ||||||||||||
| Wheat (-ZW) | $8.940 | $8.770 | 3.41% | 36.96% | ||||||||
| (per bushel) | ||||||||||||
| Corn (-ZC) | $7.4425 | $7.410 | -1.52% | 15.12% | ||||||||
| (per bushel) | ||||||||||||
| Cotton | $0.6983 | $0.701 | -0.34% | -23.83% | ||||||||
| (per pound) | ||||||||||||
| Coffee | $1.5120 | $1.506 | -2.23% | -34.16% | ||||||||
| (per pound) | ||||||||||||
| Crude oil (-CL) | $84.44 | $88.710 | -2.09% | -14.56% | ||||||||
| (per barrel) | ||||||||||||
I'll begin AND there is nothing you can do about it.
How many boys has that sorry dancing clown and his family in the whitehouse raped?
It appears we have another Flori- DUH moment in Miami/ Dade county.
Even though I live in Volusia county, I would like to offer my apologies on behalf of all Floridian voters to the rest of the country for the Idiots running those polls. (WHAT'S WRONG WITH YOU GUY'S IN MIAMI/ DADE ?)
If New Jersey & NYC can have smooth polling stations amidst the storm troubles- You have no excuses!!
Reading these comments, appears Trump isn't the only idiot lashing out. Do they forget the market was melting down to Dow 6500 by March 2009 from prior admin? Now after stopping the free fall and getting the economy going again and 32 months of growth, one bad day in the market, probably other frustrated GOPs creating a buying opporunity for the rest of us
The next move is easy.
Tomorrow I meet with my team one at a time.And we go over pay adjustments.
Who want's to be adjusted,and who needs to look for other work.If I wait,it will be too late.
Anyone who waited today to sell was too late.The sell day was monday.No matter who won,
you needed to be out yesterday.There will be much money (saved) if you play this one rig
Change your thinking.The recession will be here if it's not already.Fuel the great tax on the poor,
will rise,as will food prices.Another tax on the poor.And any tax growth on business will be passed
on to ....the consumer..and it will hurt the poorest.We picked the wrong guy at the wrong time.
Be smart let that mstake work for you..
Bob Sugar
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