Dow slumps 313 after Obama's re-election

Investors fear failure to fix the fiscal cliff will lead to recession. European stocks slump after ECB President Draghi says even Germany is weakening. Apple has fallen 20% since September. Bank and energy stocks fall. Oil and gold slip.

By Charley Blaine Nov 7, 2012 1:45PM
Charley BlaineUpdated: 8:32 p.m. ET

A day after President Barack Obama won a second term, stocks suffered their worst beating in nearly a year.

Late selling caused to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) to finish down more than 300 points, its largest loss since Nov. 9, 2011. The blue-chip index ended the day below 13,000 for the first time since Aug. 2, and the major U.S. averages were all down at least 2.4%.

Bank stocks were the weakest sector in part because it's likely the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill will remain largely intact. In addition, Elizabeth Warren, a critic of many U.S. banking practices, won a seat in the U.S. Senate. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), a critic of bank regulation, was down $2.32 to $40.56. Health insurance stocks were lower because the  Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Reform Act -- aka Obamacare -- is likely to stay in place.

Meanwhile, oil prices fell back sharply in part because of worries about global demand. Europe became a worry after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said he expected no change to the weak eurozone economy in the near future. Worse, he said, the weakness has begun to affect Germany. European stocks immediately sold off -- and sharply, too. The dollar rose against the euro and British pound.

The Dow closed down 313 points to 12,933, its lowest close since July 26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) slumped 34 points to 1,395, its first close below 1,400 since Aug. 6. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) dropped 75 points to 2,946, its biggest loss since Nov. 9, 2011.

Article continues below.
The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) had fallen 68 points to 2,613.

And that brings us to Apple (AAPL), which represents some 17% of the Nasdaq 100's market capitalization and roughly 4% of the value of the S&P 500. The stock is off $22.20 to $558. That's down 20.9% from its intraday peak of $705.07. Selling in the shares accelerated this morning when the stock hit $564 -- 20% below that intraday high.

After the close, however, Qualcomm (QCOM), the big maker of chips used on mobile phones, forecast fiscal first-quarter sales and profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates as it increases production of its most expensive chips. Shares were up $4.78, or 8.2%, to $62.90 after hours after falling $2.25 to $58.12 in regular trading.

Crude oil takes a dive
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled down $4.27 to $84.44 a barrel. Brent crude was off $4.36 to $106.71. One reason for the decline was the decline in coal prices and coal stocks, a reaction to the election.

The national average retail price of gasoline fell to $3.462 a gallon from Tuesday's $3.463, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report.

Gold (-GC) settled down $1 to $1,714 an ounce. Silver (-SI) fell 37 cents to $31.66 an ounce. Copper (-HG) fell 6.5 cents to $3.441 a pound.

Interest rates fell as the dollar moved higher. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 1.632% from Tuesday's 1.742%.
Energy prices -- New York close



Wed.     Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil (-CL)

$84.44

$88.71

-2.09%

-14.56%
(per barrel)











Heating oil (-HO)

$2.9621

$3.0529

-3.27%

1.64%
(per gallon)











Natural gas (-NG)

$3.5780

$3.6170

-3.09%

19.71%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline (-RB)

$2.5889

$2.6989

-1.57%

-2.58%
(per gallon)











Brent crude 

$106.82

$111.07

1.08%

-0.52%
(per barrel)











Retail gasoline

$3.4620

$3.4630

-1.68%

5.68%
(per gallon; AAA)












A tough road ahead for Obama, Congress
Today's slump is reminiscent of what happened the day after Obama won the 2008 election. The Dow fell 486 points that day and 443 points the next.

The bottom line on the sell-off is Obama will get no honeymoon from his re-election. He and Congress face the potential that doing nothing about the fiscal cliff -- the witch's brew of tax increases and spending cuts due to kick in after the New Year -- will cause the economy to slide back into recession, as many economists claim.

Ratings agency Fitch Investors warned today that the U.S. probably would lose its AAA credit rating if the administration and Congress don't address the problem.


"The economic policy challenge facing the president is to put in place a credible deficit-reduction plan necessary to underpin economic recovery and confidence in the full faith and credit of the U.S.," a company statement said today. 


Is a rally forming?

Maybe. It's true that the Dow and the Nasdaq closed the day below their simple moving averages. That's a signal that the market is headed lower, and there was lots of chatter to that end today.


At the same time, the relative strength indexes for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all under 30. When these indicators drop below 30, that suggest the market overall is oversold and could be ripe for a rebound relatively soon.


In late May, the the RSI for the three indexes fell below 10. The market bottomed on June 4, with the Dow jumping about 12.5% up through Oct. 5.


That is, admittedly, is a technical view. What won't help markets are the riots today in Greece at the end of a two-day general strike called to oppose a €13.5bn ($17.2 billion) package of cuts demanded by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in return for a financial lifeline to prevent the government running out of money.


Thursday brings the weekly report on jobless claims and the September report on the nation's trade balance. The key earnings report comes after the close from entertainment and media giant Walt Disney (DIS). Also reporting: Wendy's (WEN), Kohl's (KSS), Zipcar (ZIP) and Boingo Wireless (WIFI).

There may be a bounceback rally. Futures suggests the Dow will open 50 points higher, with the S&P 500 up 5 points and the Nasdaq-100 up 9 points.


A big, bad loss

This was a day when stocks that might have done well under a Romney administration were clobbered: defense, coal, oil and gas, health insurers, steel, banks and broker. And everything else seemed to run over with them.

One group that did remarkably well: gun makers as investors speculated an Obama administration attempt to regulate gun selling more closely. Sturm Ruger (RGR) jumped $3.04 to $47.68. Smith & Wesson Holding (SWHC) surged 91 cents to $10.37.

All 30 Dow stocks were lower, but 109 points of the index's loss was concentrated in five stocks: Caterpillar (CAT), IBM (IBM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and JPMorgan Chase. 

The best Dow performers, relatively speaking: Walt Disney (DIS), Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The biggest percentage losers were Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).

Only 28 S&P 500 stocks were higher, led by Tenet Healthcare (THC), JDS Uniphase (JDSU) and Time Warner (TWX). Coal-producer Peabody Energy (BTU), investment bank  Morgan Stanley (MS) and health insurer Humana (HUM) were the laggards.

Only six Nasdaq-100 stocks were higher, led by Netflix (NFLX) , News Corp. (NWSA) and medical-equipment wholesaler Henry Schein (HSICResearch In Motion (RIMM) and for-profit education company Apollo Group (APOL) were the laggards.

Research In Motion fell 82 cents to $8.24 after Pacific Crest Securities analyst James Faucette wrote that the company's BlackBerry 10 operating system would be 'dead on arrival" when it comes to market early 2013.

Short hits from the markets -- New York close



Wed.

Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Treasury yields











13-week Treasury bill

0.0900%

0.090%

-18.18%

800.00%
5-year Treasury note 

0.662%

0.744%

-7.41%

-20.24%
10-year Treasury note

1.632%

1.742%

-3.20%

-12.77%
30-year Treasury bond

2.821%

2.916%

-1.05%

-2.35%
Currencies











U.S. Dollar Index

80.867

80.843

1.10%

0.43%
British pound

1.5995

1.6000

-0.88%

2.94%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in pounds

£0.625

£0.625

0.89%

-2.86%
Euro in dollars

$1.28

$1.28

-1.48%

-1.44%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in euros

€ 0.783

€ 0.780

1.50%

1.46%
U.S. $ in yen 

80.13

80.39

0.41%

3.93%
U.S. $ in Chinese

6.27

6.24

0.52%

-0.95%
yuan











Canada dollar

$1.004

$1.008

0.40%

2.37%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. dollar 

$0.996

$0.992

-0.33%

-2.32%
(in Canadian $)

 








Commodities

 

 

 

 
Gold (-GC)

$1,714.00

$1,715.000

-0.30%

9.39%
(per troy ounce)

 








Copper (-HG)

$3.4415

$3.506

-2.16%

0.16%
(per pound)

 








Silver (-SI)

$31.661

$32.034

-2.03%

13.42%
(per troy ounce)

 








Wheat (-ZW)

$8.940

$8.770

3.41%

36.96%
(per bushel)

 








Corn (-ZC)

$7.4425

$7.410

-1.52%

15.12%
(per bushel)

 








Cotton 

$0.6983

$0.701

-0.34%

-23.83%
(per pound)

 








Coffee

$1.5120

$1.506

-2.23%

-34.16%
(per pound)

 








Crude oil (-CL)

$84.44

$88.710

-2.09%

-14.56%
(per barrel)










 

1626Comments
Nov 7, 2012 5:20PM
avatar
We warned you folks...You knew exactly what was going to happen if Obummer got reelected and what was going to happen if Romney got elected....Over a long run who the President is doesn't move markets on a dally basis....Over the short run (hopefully), it does, and today it did...We are here, we saw it, we talked to the culprits.....Thank you mr Obummer...Wall Street has no faith at all on this socialist ****; he couldn't do a thing right on his first term, why would we believe he will do anything positive on his second term....You people know the definition of insanity...And volume was high today....Obama is the worst thing that could have happened to our great country. Now we have become an entitlement society with a clueless president...Like we said before, never ever underestimate the stupidity of the people...We saw and heard that loud and clear yesterday...Sad.
Nov 7, 2012 5:20PM
avatar
What did you expect, the anointed  one would save the day? Those Obama stash bucks are only gonna last so long, then you'll be his slaves, regardless of color, won't matter, with his guidance  we and our children will be worked to death. How else can you pay for his "vision". Only question I have is, if you want to re-distribute all the wealth, how do you do it, by the time he's done, my $1000.00 per month is gone even though I served for 20 years. I'm quite sure there is a lot of people that will milk the system even more now. Who's gonna pay for it, why my retirement of course, the only thing I can say is at least I earned what little I have, now someone else that BS's the system will get what I had to work for, only they don't have to lift  finger or try to pay the way I paid. What's the friggin use?
Nov 7, 2012 5:19PM
avatar

The Republicans pulled their money out to make Obama look bad. Think about it

 

Nov 7, 2012 5:19PM
avatar

I asked my students today, comprised of young adults ages 19-25, who ALL voted for Obama, how they felt about the impending fiscal cliff. Each one of them responded "What's that?"

 

I'm so glad that this country allows the uninformed to vote!!!!

 

 

Nov 7, 2012 5:18PM
avatar

Hey Windy City Guy, if Obama is a loser, what was George Bush Jr?  Do you really think Bush Jr was Presidential material?   The only reason the stocks didn't plunge when Jr was reelected was because he was white.  You people can't stand to have a black man in charge can you?   That's why the Market plunged; why Congress won't agree on anything; there are a lack of jobs....run by white men who want to continue control and refuse to share the reigns.  This is your "I'll show you who is in charge reaction.  So, you choose to hurt the whole country.  You think its Obama who caused the market to plunge or is it just the ego of White Men who realize "they don't have control."  I look forward to seeing all of your reactions when the next President is Latino.  You people will probably kill yourselves. 

 

I said it.  Someone had to say it.  I said it.

Nov 7, 2012 5:18PM
avatar
"You didn't build that". But I'll tax it and take it anyway.  Investors, keep you stock portfolio in check every day.
Nov 7, 2012 5:18PM
avatar

OK, first time we didn't know, but now, AGAIN!!!! FOUR MORE!!!!!!!! COME ON!!!!!!1

Nov 7, 2012 5:18PM
avatar

@ , I suppose you're implying that Obama voters are all poor. A quick look at the electoral map will tell you otherwise. I live in northern Virginia, which is one of the most affluent areas in the country. Fairfax, Loudoun, and Arlinton counties, along with the cities of Falls Church and Alexandria, all went heavily for Obama.

Nov 7, 2012 5:18PM
avatar

The stocks were being propped up by forces of whom would support Obama's second term. Now that their job is done, they're exiting with their cash as fast as they can.

 

How can there be a jobless recovery? If there are no jobs, no public faith in government, and a very narrow win by the Obama camp.....just how is that a victory? It isn't a victory; not for America. Or as Barrack would say, "Mmurka."

 

You've all been lied to. And now is the time to pay the price for your naivete.

Nov 7, 2012 5:17PM
avatar

One of the stock analyst newsletters I suscribe to stated things would NOT have been better if Romney had been elected: that basically no one can pull the country out of the ditch we're in. But I still think the devil you know is better than the devil you don't.

Nov 7, 2012 5:17PM
avatar
Welcome to the new welfare communist country of the USA.  Hope all you morons who voted for Obama are happy when your taxes skyrocket to pay for Obamacare.  Your great grandchildren will be paying off the national debt, which is now over 16 trillions dollars......
Nov 7, 2012 5:17PM
avatar
I dont think it takes a rocket scientist to fig out that alot of this is due to a Republican loss. Not so much Europe.
Nov 7, 2012 5:17PM
avatar
Early sign, ROMNEY SHOULD HAVE WON!!!!
Nov 7, 2012 5:13PM
avatar
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505123_162-37744468/stocks---bush-vs-obama/

Check out the link above.  Stocks went down 3.6% a year under  Bush, and they went up 20.1% a year under Obama.  But hey, why let little things like facts get in the way of your personal opinions.
Nothing worse than sore losers.

Nov 7, 2012 5:12PM
avatar
It's all G. Bush's fault! OH!! He wasn't running was he??
Nov 7, 2012 5:12PM
avatar
No big surprise when a bunch of people  wanting a handout vote for a Retard  that  is what happens!!!
Nov 7, 2012 5:11PM
avatar
We know longer work for ourselves, we are the slaves to this administration. Yesterdays voter turnout was a good example of how many people get free s#&t from the Obama machine, while the rest of us work like slaves to pay for it all. Rumor has it they're building a Mosque next to the white house so he can attend daily prayer outside of his closet now.
Nov 7, 2012 5:08PM
avatar

When everyone is done with their little hissy fits they'll realize that the government in nearly identical to what it was yesterday and everyone can calm down.  The market did great under Obama and it will go back up.  The cliff was always there, a last minute deal will get done, it always does. 

Nov 7, 2012 5:08PM
avatar

Does anybody look forward to December 21, 2012???  I do;  I am a Christian, not a Financial Advisor...but I can read the Bible, especially "Revelation" and can see the smoke on the horizon;  this whole World is gonna burn :(

  Don't wanna give you Atheists more bad news...but ya better "get ready"

Pray to the LORD and repent from your Sins; Love Jesus who died for you...GOD BLESS THE USA

Nov 7, 2012 5:08PM
avatar
so, hurricaine sandy shuts these greedy suckers down and when they open back up they were not so scared of the recession but soon as hurricaine obama hit the country oh my god! no mitt romney? there must be a recession, fiscal cliff, or should we have spent all that corporation money on the debt instead of romney? hmmm.... 
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