Dow falls 139 despite improved jobs picture
A rising dollar, weak Chevron earnings and stress on Apple shares slam stocks. The national unemployment rate ticks up to 7.9% as more people look for work. Oil and gold sag. Starbucks jumps nearly 10%. Restoration Hardware soars after its IPO.
Employers added 171,000 jobs in October, but the unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 7.9%, the Labor Department announced today.
While the jobs report was basically good, stocks slumped this afternoon on weakness in Chevron (CVX), Apple (AAPL) and IBM (IBM) and a host of property-casualty companies that face big claims from Superstorm Sandy.
In addition, the dollar moved higher on the jobs report, as traders worried that the Federal Reserve might pull back on its low-interest rate policy. Energy and materials stocks were lower. Gold (-GC) fell below $1,700 for the first time since early September.
The losses wiped out weekly gains for the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX).
The Dow closed down 139 points to 13,093. The blue chips had been up as many as 57 points early in the session. Today's decline more than undid Thursday's 136-point gain. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was off 13 points to 1,414. The Nasdaq dropped 38 points to 2,982.
Article continues below.The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) was off 31 points to 2,656.
Apple was off $19.74 to $576.80. The new iPad Mini went on sale today. The selling in the shares accelerated after they fell below $588, their 200-day moving average. Apple is down 18% since peaking in mid-September at $702.10, though it is still up 42.4% for the year.
About 77 points of the Dow's loss was concentrated in four stocks: IBM, Chevron, Caterpillar (CAT) and Exxon Mobil (XOM). Only four of the 30 Dow stock were higher: Bank of America (BAC), Walt Disney (DIS), Merck (MRK) and McDonald's (MCD).
In addition, Verizon Communications (VZ) fell 62 cents to $44.52 after it said in a regulatory filing that it expects the costs of restoring service and making extensive repairs to its land and mobile networks after Superstorm Sandy will have a "significant" impact on fourth-quarter results.
For the week, the Dow was off 0.1%, its third loss in the last four weeks. The S&P 500 added 0.2%. The Nasdaq dropped 0.2%, its fourth straight weekly decline. For the year, the Dow is up 7.1%, with the S&P 500 up 9.6% and the Nasdaq up 14.5%.
|Markets for the week|
|11/2/2012||10/26/2012||% chg.||YTD chg.|
|U.S. Dollar Index||80.68||80.16||0.66%||0.20%|
A solid jobs report
The jobs report was solid, if not spectacular. It is the last big economic report before Tuesday's presidential election.
Most pollsters say the result is too close to call, although Intrade, the online betting site, put the odds of a win for President Barack Obama at roughly 66.8%, up slightly from Thursday. Mitt Romney's odds were 33.3%, down from 34% on Thursday.
In addition to the 171,000 overall gain in jobs, the Labor Department revised estimates for overall job gains in August and September higher by 84,000.
The payroll gains came from the private sector, which added 184,000 jobs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. That was the biggest gain since February. Government employment fell by 13,000.
The unemployment rate ticked up to 7.9% from September's 7.8% because more people were looking for work.
Private service providing jobs were up 163,000, with retail trade adding 36,400 jobs.
Temporary-help services, often a harbinger of future full-time hiring, added 13,600 jobs, more than reversing the previous month's decline.
The construction sector saw an increase of 17,000 jobs, the largest rise since January. But residential construction fell back by 2,000 jobs to 560,000. That reflects the struggles of the housing industry.
Despite the current uptick in job creation, the U.S. economy faces a real threat of a renewed recession next year.
Without action by lawmakers, existing legislation will raise taxes and cut spending to the tune of about $600 billion in 2013. That scenario -- known in Washington as the fiscal cliff -- could easily cause the economy to contract.
Crude oil, gold take a tumble
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled down $2.23 to $84.86 a barrel, the lowest close since July 10. Wholesale gasoline futures (-RB) were down 2.3% to $2.5736 a gallon. Brent crude dropped $2.49 to $105.68. .
The national average price of gasoline was at $3.496 a gallon, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report, down from Thursday's $3.507. That's the lowest average price since July 30, when it was $3.486.
Gold tumbled $1,675.20 an ounce in New York, down $40.30. It was the biggest one-day drop for the metal since June 21 and the lowest close since Aug. 30.
|Energy prices -- New York close|
|Fri.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.86||$87.09||-1.60%||-14.14%|
|Heating oil (-HO)||$2.9474||$3.0332||-3.75%||1.14%|
|Natural gas (-NG)||$3.5540||$3.6990||-3.74%||18.90%|
|(per mil. BTU)|
|Unleaded gasoline (-RB)||$2.5736||$2.6336||-2.16%||-3.15%|
|(per gallon; AAA)|
Restoration Hardware has a strong IPO
Despite the slump, home-furnishings retailer Restoration Hardware (RH) went public at $24 late Thursday and closed at $31.10, up $7.10. It reached as high as $33.15.
Starbucks (SBUX) shares jumped $4.22 to $50.84 after reporting strong earnings late Thursday and boosting its dividend to 21 cents a share, up from 17 cents.
The market's response today was a disappointment after Thursday's rally, which saw the Dow jump 136 points in the market's best performance since September.
Why Chevron missed
The oil giant missed Street estimates on earnings and revenues, blaming lower crude prices and a heavy period of planned oilfield maintenance. Shares were down $3.09 to $108.37.
Worldwide daily production was 2.52 million barrels of oil equivalent, down from 2. 6 million a day a year ago. Plus, the average sales price of crude oil and natural gas liquids was $91 vs. $97 a year ago.
Downstream operations earned $456 million, down from $704 million a year ago.
Starbucks' strong report
Starbucks shares jumped because global comparable-store sales rose 6%, with a 5% increase in traffic and a 1% increase in average ticket contributing.
The company saw 10% growth in its China/Asia Pacific business. Europe lagged. The company grew its operating margin by 210 basis points (one basis is one one-hundredth of a percentage point) to 21.4% from 21.19%.
|Short hits from the markets -- New York close|
|Fri.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|13-week Treasury bill||0.0900%||0.090%||-18.18%||800.00%|
|5-year Treasury note||0.728%||0.728%||1.82%||-12.29%|
|10-year Treasury note||1.726%||1.715%||2.37%||-7.75%|
|30-year Treasury bond||2.917%||2.897%||2.31%||0.97%|
|U.S. Dollar Index||80.683||80.136||0.87%||0.20%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in pounds||£0.624||£0.620||0.68%||-3.06%|
|Euro in dollars||$1.28||$1.29||-0.98%||-0.94%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in euros||€ 0.779||€ 0.773||0.99%||0.95%|
|U.S. $ in yen||80.58||80.15||0.98%||4.51%|
|U.S. $ in Chinese||6.27||6.24||0.52%||-0.95%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|(in Canadian $)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.86||$87.090||-1.60%||-14.14%|
voters in swing states on touchscreen machines say they vote for Romney but the vote goes to OH'bummer........REALLY WHO WOULD OF THUNK THAT; THATS HOW HE WON '08...........people refuse the truth and look at what they get......OH'bummers!
ROMNEY/ RYAN 2012 RESTORE OR DESTROY AMERICA
SECURITY OVER IMPEACHMENT
These "new" jobs are minimum wage, holiday, temp, part-time. It is better than nothing if your unemployment has run out, but it won't last. Very few of these positions turn into something after Christmas, and those that do, are still minimum wage, part-time slots.================
So this is what's been going on the last 36 months, ROTFLMNAOAY.
The MSM will only remember all the lost temp seasonal jobs in January if Romney wins. Then it will be BIG news that we are going back into recession. If O wins, it will be just a seasonal blip - nothing to see - move along.
These "new" jobs are minimum wage, holiday, temp, part-time. It is better than nothing if your unemployment has run out, but it won't last. Very few of these positions turn into something after Christmas, and those that do, are still minimum wage, part-time slots.
Obama needs to be a TEMP and lose his job after Christmas too. And besides, with as many vacations and golf outings as he's had, his position is part-time too.
Kick him to the curb !
"Really? A net increase of 1,000 jobs is an improvement?"
A change for the better; progress in development
Another: If Romney is elected (11/06), things start changing 11/7.
I don't know about you... but those two statements sound like TERRORISM to me. First, if the Party of NO blockades us any longer, you can expect WAR. Second... the new President isn't sworn in for several weeks. He can only "act" 11/7 if he is- Obama.
Romney is a FAILURE. He was never qualified to run and continually trips over his tongue. Can we REALLY afford a massive IDIOT like that? NO. VOTE NO PARTY OF NO and NO ROMNEY.
Mitt tells the world during the Republican debates that the top 1% WILL ABSOLUTELY GET A TAX CUT.
Then a few weeks later at the Presidential Debate he says the top 1% WILL NOT GET A TAX CUT. Which is it? This is only one example. Yet we blame the mainstream media for our losses.
In my post from yesterday, I explained that the Dow had made a 47% retracement, well today it extended the retracement to 50%, on the nose, and turned around and fell, initiating the first day of Wave 5 downward (-174 points, Mini Dec Daily Chart). The projected target is the 12,700-12,500 area. The Dow is in a classic Elliott Wave formation performing to a T, and Wave 5 is the final leg. Expect Monday to retrace upward somewhat because of the large drop, but it will eventually fall again.
Crude Oil remains a SELL; the front month, Dec Daily Chart fell 2.28 today as I pointed out in an earlier post.
"36 straight months of job growth"
And 36 stright month of the rightwing whacks claiming it's a leftwing conspiracy.
If they're right well I say lets have 36 more months of that there conspiracy.
It's just amazing the stupidity of the whacks.
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