Market DispatchesMarket Dispatches

Dow off 50 as slowing economy hits retail sales

Retail sales fall for the third straight month, with weakness in building materials, sporting goods and furniture sales. Citigroup's earnings cheer. Intel and GE estimates are cut. Google's Marissa Mayer is Yahoo's next CEO.

By Charley Blaine Jul 16, 2012 12:53PM
Charley BlaineUpdated: 7:51 p.m. ET

Stocks drooped today after the government reported the third straight monthly decline in U.S. retail sales.

But the market finished off its lows in part because of a better-than-expected report on manufacturing in the New York area and reasonably good earnings from Citigroup (C), whose shares were up 16 cents to $26.81.

Retail sales fell 0.5% in June, said the Commerce Department, which revised its estimates for April and May retail sales lower as well. Some of the sales declines were good news -- retail gasoline sales were off 1.8% thanks to falling prices. But there were more disturbing declines in retail electronics (down 0.8%), building materials (1.6%), sporting goods  (1.6%), furniture sales (0.8%) and department stores (0.2%).

The report was disappointing enough that many economists trimmed their estimates for second-quarter growth to an annualized 1%, compared with 2.5% in the first quarter. It may give Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke the opportunity to suggest what the Fed might do to stimulate the economy in the months ahead when he testifies before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday.

The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) closed down 50 points to 12,727; the blue chips had been down as many as 87 points. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was off 3 points to 1,354, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was down 12 points to 2,897.
The Nasdaq-100 Index ($INX) was off 8 points to 2,577. Apple (AAPL), the biggest influence on the index, closed up $1.94 to $606.61. The shares had been as high as $611.62.

Article continues below.
The Dow and S&P 500 finished last week with small gains, helped by Friday's rally that saw the Dow shoot up 204 points.

Bernanke's testimony on Tuesday and Wednesday will offer more opportunities for traders to divine if and when the Federal Reserve may start up another stimulus program.

The market slumped last Wednesday when minutes of the Fed's June meeting offered no hints a program was coming. In fact, there was enough ambiguity in the minutes that those want another stimulus plan and those who oppose the idea could argue their side would prevail.

Futures trading suggested a flat open for U.S. stocks.

Yahoo hires Google's Marissa Mayer
As the market closed, The New York Times and CNBC reported that Yahoo (YHOO) was naming Marissa Mayer as its new CEO. Mayer, who has been head of Google's local services operations, had been one of the company's most visible executives and was Google's 20th hire.

Her taking the job makes her instantly one of the most powerful women in technology along with Hewlett-Packard CEO (HPQ) Meg Whitman and Sheryl Sandberg, chief operating officer of Facebook (FB).

The decision was a shock. Most Yahoo watchers had expected interim CEO Ross Levinsohn to get the job. His status with the company was not clear. Moreover, Mayer will be taking over the job while pregnant. She and and her husband, Zachary Bogue, a financier, are expecting a boy in October.

Yahoo was up 36 cents after hours to $16.01 after falling 9 cents to $15.65 in regular trading. Google was off $2.82 to $572.10 after hours. It had closed down $1.60 to $574.92.

Crude oil moves higher
Crude oil (-CL) in New York settled up $1.33 to $88.43 a barrel. Brent crude added $1.18 to $103.58 a barrel.

The national average price of gasoline was $3.396 a gallon today, unchanged from Sunday and up 1.3% this month, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report.

Gold (-GC) settled down 40 cents to $1,591.60 an ounce. Interest rates were higher, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 1.461% from 1.499% on Friday. The dollar was lower against the British pound and yen but higher against the euro.

Corn (-ZC) and wheat (-ZW) prices jumped again on worries about drought in the Midwest and elsewhere. Corn settled at $7.72 a bushel, up 32.25 cents from Friday. Wheat was up 36.75 cents a bushel to $8.85.

Corn is up 19.5% this year -- 21.7% just this month. Wheat is up 35.5% for the year and 16.8% this year.

Energy prices -- New York close



Mon.

Fri.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil (-CL)

$88.43

$87.10

4.08%

-10.52%
(per barrel)











Heating oil (-HO)

$2.8277

$2.7882

4.35%

-2.97%
(per gallon)











Natural gas (-NG)

$2.8010

$2.8740

-0.81%

-6.29%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline (-RB)

$2.8547

$2.8161

8.47%

7.42%
(per gallon)











Brent crude 

$103.37

$101.42

5.70%

-3.73%
(per barrel)











Retail gasoline

$3.3960

$3.3960

1.28%

3.66%
(per gallon; AAA)












Citigroup is slowly mending
The Citigroup report was encouraging. The bank said it earned $2.946 billion, or 95 cents a share, in the second quarter, down $3.34 billion, or $1.04 a share, from a year ago.

The results included a $424 million loss from the sale of a 10.1% stake in Akbank TAS of Turkey and a $219 million gain from changes in the market value of its own debt and that of some of its trading partners.


Excluding the debt accounting adjustments and the Turkish bank stake sale, earnings were $1 a share, and net income was 1% lower than a year earlier.


Citigroup is still feeling pain from Citi Holdings, a unit set up in 2009 to house assets and businesses it was looking to shed as the 2007-08 credit crunch forced multiple U.S. government rescues.


Citi Holdings' losses widened to $920 million in the second quarter from $661 million in the same period a year earlier.


What cheered investors was that the company is able to cut a lot of expenses. At its investment bank, profit grew to $1.28 billion in part because its costs were trimmed by $322 million. 


A big week for earnings

Citigroup's results are part of a big week in earnings, particularly financial earnings.


Among reports due this week: 

  • Tuesday: Goldman Sachs (GS), Intel (INTC) and Coca-Cola (KO).
  • Wednesday: Bank of America (BAC), IBM (IBM), Northern Trust (NTRC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB).
  • Thursday: Morgan Stanley (MS), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX)
  • Friday: General Electric (GE) and Schlumberger (SLB).

The reports may disappoint investors. Sanford C. Bernstein and Williams Financial Group cut their estimates for Intel today, based on reports of weak personal-computer sales.


And FBR Capital Markets and Evercore Partners also cut their estimates for semiconductor earnings generally. 


General Electric fell 18 cents to $19.59 after Morgan Stanley reduced its recommendation on the stock.


Coal-producer Alpha Natural Resources (ANR) declined 78 cents to $6.85 after Bank of Montreal cut its rating, citing potential financing issues.


Some leaders on the day

Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) gained 61 cents to $14.19 on news that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) will buy the company for $14.25 a share, or about $3.6 billion, including cash and debt.


Par Pharmaceutical (PRX) jumped $13.42 to $50. The company agreed to be bought out by private-equity firm TPG Capital for $1.84 billion.

MasterCard (MA) rose $7.29 to $436.89 and Visa (V) advanced $3.06 to $127.15 after the credit-card companies and some large banks settled a long-running lawsuit by agreeing to pay a number of retailers more than $6 billion. The settlement is under some fire because it will enable retailers to try to charge a few for using debit cards.


Microsoft (MSFT) was up 5 cents to $29.44 after it introduced its new version of its Office suite of programs. The new version of the company's most profitable product is cloud-based and works best on Windows 8, due out this fall. The new Office is designed to work with touch, stylus, mouse or keyboard across new Windows devices, including tablets. (Microsoft is the publisher of MSN Money.)


Not a lot of winners

Only seven of the 30 Dow stocks were higher today, led by Pfizer (PFE) and American Express (AXP). JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Home Depot (HD) were the laggards.


Fifty-three S&P 500 stocks were higher, led by First Solar (FSLR) and Avon Products (AVP). Alpha Natural Resources and Dean Foods (DF) were the laggards.


Sears Holdings (SHL) and Cognizant Technology (CTSH) were the Nasdaq-100 leaders.  Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) and Research In Motion (RIMM) were the laggards. Twenty-nine stocks in the index showed gains.


Short hits from the markets -- New York close



Mon.

Fri.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Treasury yields











13-week Treasury bill

0.0900%

0.090%

12.50%

800.00%
5-year Treasury note 

0.595%

0.630%

-18.38%

-28.31%
10-year Treasury note

1.464%

1.499%

-11.75%

-21.75%
30-year Treasury bond

2.548%

2.584%

-7.78%

-11.80%
Currencies











U.S. Dollar Index

83.218

83.474

1.79%

3.35%
British pound

1.5605

1.5588

-0.62%

0.44%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in pounds

£0.641

£0.641

0.63%

-0.44%
Euro in dollars

$1.22

$1.23

-3.15%

-5.65%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in euros

€ 0.818

€ 0.816

3.26%

5.99%
U.S. $ in yen 

78.93

79.23

-1.03%

2.37%
U.S. $ in Chinese

6.40

6.38

0.47%

1.21%
yuan











Canada dollar

$0.984

$0.987

0.14%

0.28%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. dollar 

$1.017

$1.013

-0.13%

-0.28%
(in Canadian $)

 








Commodities

 

 

 

 
Gold (-GC)

$1,591.60

$1,592.00

-0.79%

1.58%
(per troy ounce)

 








Copper (-HG)

$3.485

$3.504

-0.33%

1.43%
(per pound)

 








Silver (-SI)

$27.3210

$27.3690

-1.05%

-2.13%
(per troy ounce)

 








Wheat (-ZW)

$8.8450

$8.4775

16.80%

35.50%
(per bushel)

 








Corn (-ZC)

$7.7250

$7.403

21.70%

19.49%
(per bushel)

 








Cotton 

$0.7330

0.7266

2.76%

-20.05%
(per pound)

 








Coffee

$1.8395

1.861

7.76%

-19.90%
(per pound)

 








Crude oil (-CL)

$88.43

$87.10

4.08%

-10.52%
(per barrel)










 
162Comments
Jul 16, 2012 10:17PM
avatar
what  the  hell  !  after  closeing today  the  oil  was  at  88.43  and  now  after  9 pm   tonite  it  is  at  88.94  WTF  ? don't  they  screw  us  enough   durning  the  day  ?
Jul 16, 2012 10:17PM
avatar

S53.....try looking at Markets only on the weekends, maybe only couple times a month...

Easier on the ulcers.

 

Unless you are a trader or player.?

Jul 16, 2012 10:13PM
avatar
Floating...Many of them do not grasp the concept of sarcasm,either; Somewhat braindead. 
Jul 16, 2012 10:12PM
avatar
HERE WE GO AGAIN, THE OIL STARTS TO TICK UP SOME AND IN THE NEW YORK AREA THE PRICE OF GAS RISES AT LEAST  3 CENTS  TWICE A WEEK. 2 WEEKS AGO  WAS 3.69 NOW IT IS 3.81. THE LOUDEST SOUND YOU HERE FROM ANY POLITICIAN IS SILENCE. AT 88.43 A BARRELL GAS SHOULD BE LOWER THAN $3 A GALLON. ALL ASSMOKE PRODUCED BY DOUCHEBAGS.
Jul 16, 2012 9:57PM
avatar
stock is up one the and down the second day is not a solution most of the time when it up is because of dry combination of the brokers and not from corporation profits the only way that the market will triumph again is when the peoples will have money in there hand to spent that will happened only if the personal dept will freeze for 4 or 5 years by the debtor then they will have extra money to spent the market will begin to function normal if the fed will depend on the banks and wall st to move the economy or return the economy back to normal by simulations good luck to them but i thing they are wrong 
Jul 16, 2012 9:25PM
avatar
If the economy is going to continue to fall off a cliff, maybe we should let Mittens have to deal with it.

Just remember, if Mittens just hints at raising taxes on the middle class and poor or taking away our rights or gets us into another stupid war in the Middle East, I've been researching some meaty recipes, and I know the Mittster and Rich Conservatives get to eat better than us middle class and poor folks. They'll make a tasty feast!
Bon appetit!


Jul 16, 2012 9:15PM
avatar

Although some retailers may seem to be doing better....The earnings or profits may not be coming from increases in revenues?.....May be coming from other cost cutting measures?

Plus a small downturn in housing,repairing and remodeling, may hurt that Sector,home improvement.

 

And then some effect from the "summer doldrums." Just a cyclical slowdown..

 

With little changes in the employment market, people are still belt tightening or scared to spend what money they have or in a frivolous manner.

I would look for sales to pick up next month and in September....Unless things get much worst.

Jul 16, 2012 9:00PM
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That's what makes this site disturbing to come to in the evening or afternoon...Too much spam, and I'm not interested in dating anyone from their locations.
Jul 16, 2012 9:00PM
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Just a visitor, the housing boom masked the spending increases by doubling the price of every home in the United States, suddenly everyone was rich and spent like fools, feeding the government coffers. Once the bubble popped, it was time to pay the piper. In 2009 when Obama took office the deficit was already at $1.3 trillion, this year I believe were shooting at about $900 billion, the problem is were still having to pay for Medicare D, Homeland Security, TSA, Millionaire tax cuts costing over $2 trillion, two wars costing over $1.8 trillion, TARP and the 2008 stimulus under Bush. Without a tax increase on the super wealthy we can never pay these bills. How do you want to pay them?
Jul 16, 2012 8:53PM
avatar
MAx.. Max..Max... Max...Max.. Max ...!!! A very well rehearsed Obummer reply.. I commend you.... for the redbrick , the slanted figures and even for the use of the spell check function.! As far as the tax rate your are comparing statistics of our previous two commander and Thief's....which one is worse? Well we know the answer to that don't we? I would rather have a new different commander and thief at the helm....Obummer's first 4 years is enough for me...!!!  I have seen and had enough....!!! Not to change to subject...... But are 6.7 million unemployed better off ? Are the 12 million food stamps recipients better off...?   I hope that is your Halloween picture...LOL because BATMAN is around the corner and come November he's going to put you in your place and tell the penguin the same thing...!!!
Jul 16, 2012 8:25PM
avatar

When government increases spending and can't pay for the increases you are raising taxes, your simply deferring the inevitable tax hike by raising our debt on our children. So lets check the facts.

Republicans under Bush increased spending 7.7% each year, while our economy only grew at 2.09% yearly = 5.61% tax increase each year, resulting in a $5.07 trillion dollar tax increase on our children.

Obama has increased spending the least of any president in 60 years at 1.4% annually, while our growth rate is about 2%, reducing government expenses about .6% each year, truly a champion of conservatism. Obama's 8 year projected spending is estimated at about $1.4 trillion, compared to the $5.07 trillion republicans gave us. It's clear that Republicans increased taxes, while Obama's policies have decreased the tax burden. Republicans create more government, more taxes and more misery for America.

Jul 16, 2012 8:06PM
avatar
 Hi, I dont understand why  there guys say Retail stocks are doing bad ,the biggest Retailer , Wal-Marts stock has been increasing  since the beginning of the year from $60.00 to $73.00, Warren Buffett has even bought large chucks of Wal-Mart stocks ! 
Jul 16, 2012 7:27PM
avatar
America stands on the edge of a fiscal chasm. One sneeze now and it falls. Get ready for a third world economy.
Jul 16, 2012 7:26PM
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America stands on the edge of a fiscal chasm. One sneeze now and it falls. Get ready for a third world economy.
Jul 16, 2012 7:24PM
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This is what I think.....

 

Here's is a fact  ...Did you miss the half sentence blurb that even last month retail sales figures the government puts out have been revised lower.....? How can you even point us out to fact check when even THEIR SUPPOSED FACTS ARE WRONG, MISLABLES, MISLEADING, UNREPORTED, FALSELY REPORTED, DELAYED TWO MONTHS, INACCURATE AND FALSIFIED......TO FOOL THE AMERICAN PEOPLE.....it is all well..."And we are doing WELL"...!

Jul 16, 2012 7:17PM
avatar

No. We will not apologize. Mr. Romney claims he's Mr. Fix-it for the economy because of his business experience, so I think voters entirely legitimately want to know what is exactly his business experience."

-- President Obama in an interview with WAVY, the NBC affiliate in Hampton Roads,



So I think voters entirely legitimately want to know what is exactly your education records show. And why are they closed.

Jul 16, 2012 7:05PM
avatar
These forums exist to Vent out points of view and here they reflect polarized versions of reality...And if your looking at it from both sides their are major problems. If you can acknowledge that ....you have taken the first step to realizing change is the answer. In the US we talk about it...and in Europe they talk about it. In Europe they get fed, riot and break stuff....In the US we still Talk about it and vote.....I am glad I am not in Europe......But I am going the get some AMMO just in case.....!!!! Because when hunger kicks in who knows what can Happen....! (For personal protection of course)
Jul 16, 2012 6:58PM
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This group is very representative of our congress.  Everyone screaming, noone listening.
Jul 16, 2012 6:52PM
avatar
Retail Sales are falling. Maybe people have decided to buy what they need instead of what they want or what their neighbors have. Saving the rest for a real emergency.  I don't give a hoot about Citicorp's profits and neither does anyone else except Citicorp employees and shareholders. The earlier poster is correct in that an economy that depends of consumer spending is in trouble. Bring back American jobs.
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