Dow falls 124 as jobs report disappoints
Stocks end lower for the week. The economy adds 80,000 jobs in June, less than expected. The unemployment rate holds at 8.2%. IBM, Caterpillar and Boeing are among the day's losers. Apple weighs on the Nasdaq. Oil falls below $85.
Stocks tumbled today after the government reported the economy added fewer jobs than expected in June. The national unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2%.
The losses were bad, but they were worse early in the session. The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) were down as many as 194 points before bargain-hunting cut the loss by more than a third. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) were off around 1%.
Nonfarm payrolls grew by 80,000 jobs, up slightly from the 77,000 created in April. Private payrolls grew by 84,000. That was a huge disappointment. The ADP National Employment Report on Thursday had projected a gain of 176,000 private-sector jobs.
The report helped push European stocks lower. Gold (-GC) and crude oil (-CL) also dropped back.
The Dow closed down 124 points to 12,772. The S&P 500 fell 13 points to 1,355, and the Nasdaq was off 39 points to 2,937. The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX), which tracks the largest Nasdaq stocks, dropped 35 points to 2,612.
Article continues below.
Apple (AAPL), the biggest influence on the Nasdaq-100, was down $4.06 to $605.88 after falling to as low as $601.66. The decline subtracted 3.4 points from the index. Microsoft (MSFT), down 52 cents to $30.19, subtracted 3.9 points from the index. (Microsoft is the publisher of MSN Money.)
The declines in European markets was extensive. Stocks in France and Germany fell nearly 2%. But the biggest declines -- and worries -- were in Spain where the benchmark IBEX 35 Index ($ES:IB) fell 215 points to 6,739. The 10-year Spanish bond yield reached 7.036% before ending at 6.954%.
About 60% of the Dow's loss was concentrated in six stocks: IBM (IBM), Caterpillar (CAT), United Technologies (UTX), Chevron (CVX), Boeing (BA) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). Losses by Chevron and Exxon Mobil (XOM) were tied to lower oil prices. The others were in large part due to the continuing worries about Europe as well as concern about a slowing domestic economy.
Caterpillar was hurt specifically after Wells Fargo analyst Andrew Casey took the stock off the company's "Priority Stock List." Casey blamed macroeconomic concerns, a strengthening dollar as well as "lackluster channel checks."
Caterpillar was off $2.18 to $84.61, subtracting nearly 17 points from the Dow. The stock is down 7.3% for the year after falling more than 20% in the second quarter.
The Dow and the S&P 500 ended the first week of July modestly lower. The Dow was off 0.8%. The S&P 500 fell 0.6%. But the Nasdaq basically ended flat. All are higher for the year.
|Markets for the week|
|7/6/2012||6/29/2012||% chg.||YTD chg.|
|U.S. Dollar Index||83.56||81.75||2.21%||3.77%|
A closer look at the jobs report . . . and the Fed
The jobs report prompted immediate speculation that the Federal Reserve would engage in a new round of quantitative easing -- buying Treasury securities to support the economy. But one reason for today's slump was that the jobs report was not such a disaster that the Fed would feel compelled to act.
The Fed's rate-making body, the Federal Open Market Committee, doesn't meet until a two-day meeting that starts July 31. If the Fed is deeply concerned, The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hilsenrath noted today (Registration may be required), you might get a hint when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies before Congress on July 17 and 18.
If you don't see anything by either the annual mid-summer testimony or the July 31-Aug. 1 meeting, look toward the annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyo., at the end of August. There you will see the structure of a move start to be defined.
The jobs report was, in fact, disappointing for the thousands of people looking for jobs, for President Obama in the midst of a re-election campaign and others hoping that the U.S. economy will support the global report.
"At the June rate of job growth it would take us five years to get back to pre-recession employment levels," noted Philippa Dunne and Doug Henwood of the Liscio Report.
Here's the quick-and-dirty about the jobs report.
- The payroll and private-sector gains were disappointing. There had been hopes both numbers would top 100,000. Nonfarm payrolls grew an average 226,000 a month in the first quarter and 75,000 in the second.
- Manufacturing added 11,000 jobs and averaged 10,000 jobs a month in the second quarter, down from 41,000 in the first quarter.
- Residential construction employment -- worth watching because of the talk of a nascent housing recovery -- was down 1,000 jobs to 570,900. In fact, residential construction lost 461,000 jobs between its peak in 2006 and bottom in November 2011 -- and has gained back barely 10,000 of those jobs since.
- The revisions for April and May provided no help. In fact, the net was a decline of 1,000 jobs.
- The so-called real unemployment rate -- which includes those who have given up looking for jobs, or can only find part-time work -- was up slightly to 14.9%.
- There were small bits of good news. The average work week was up 0.3%. Average hourly wages were up 6 cents to $23.50 an hour. The average is up 2% over the last year.
- This is the third year in a row where job growth in the first quarter or so was stronger than in the next few months. However, if you look at jobs data over the long run, that pattern appears regularly. Between 1987 and 2011, nonfarm job gains averaged 117,000 a month from January through May. From June through September, the number drops to 87,000 a month and jumps to 112,000 in the last three months of the year. Floyd Norris of The New York Times noticed this phenomenon as well today and suggested seasonal adjustments may be distorting the reality that is not as bad as the numbers suggest.
- Nonfarm payrolls have risen for 28 straight months, with job gains totaling 3.8 million; private-sector employment has risen for 29 straight months, with 4.4 million job gains in that time.
The European debt crisis is affecting businesses as well. So are the tensions over this fall's elections.
"The job market is soft," David Resler, chief economic adviser at Nomura Securities International, told Bloomberg News. Resler had correctly forecast the payrolls gain. "I’d characterize our reaction as much the same way the Fed will react -- not surprised but disappointed. It’s just not the kind of growth we need to see at this stage in the business cycle."
|Energy prices -- New York close|
|Fri.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.45||$87.22||-0.60%||-14.55%|
|Heating oil (-HO)||$2.7099||$2.7684||0.00%||-7.01%|
|Natural gas (-NG)||$2.7760||$2.9450||-1.70%||-7.13%|
|(per mil. BTU)|
|Unleaded gasoline (-RB)||$2.7160||$2.7648||3.20%||2.21%|
|(per gallon; AAA)|
Commodities move lower
Crude oil in New York settled down $2.77 to $84.45 a barrel. Brent crude was down $2.88 to $97.82 a barrel. Crude was off 0.6% for the week and is down 14.6% for the year.
The national average price of gasoline was up for the second day in a row to $3.358 a gallon, according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report. That's the first two-day increase since April 4-5. Given crude oil's decline, however, the streak may not last much longer.
Gold was off $30.30 to $1,579.10 an ounce. Silver (-SI) fell 75.2 cents to $26.92 an ounce. Copper (-HG) fell 8.35 cents to $3.4095 a pound. For the week, gold was down 1.6%, with silver and copper off 2.5%.
Interest rates were lower, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling to 1.544% from 1.597% on Thursday. The dollar was higher against major currencies.
A lot of red in the stock market
Only five of the 30 Dow stocks were higher: McDonald's (MCD), Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), AT&T (T), Home Depot (HD) and Verizon Communications (VZ).
Technology, industrial and energy were the weakest S&P 500 sectors, with all 10 sectors in the red. Consumer staples and utility stocks were the best relative performers.
Only 82 S&P 500 stocks were showing gains, led by printing giant R.R. Donnelly (RRD), WPX Energy (WPX) Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and Family Dollar (FDO).
Meanwhile, just eight Nasdaq-100 stocks finished on the upside, led by BlackBerry maker Research In Motion (RIMM), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR), Apollo Group (APOL), the operator of the University of Phoenix for-profit colleges, and Dollar Tree (DLTR).
Among the losers (besides Apple) was Amazon.com (AMZN), down $2.01 to $225.05, as investors seemed to be skeptical of reports from Bloomberg and others that the company is working on a new smartphone product.
Yahoo (YHOO) shares were off 7 cents to $15.78, despite a report in The Wall Street Journal that the company is considering Jason Kilar, CEO of video site Hulu, for its permanent CEO position. Hulu later reported that Kilar had withdrawn.
|Short hits from the markets -- New York close|
|Fri.||Thur.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|13-week Treasury bill||0.0700%||0.070%||-12.50%||600.00%|
|5-year Treasury note||0.640%||0.673%||-12.21%||-22.89%|
|10-year Treasury note||1.544%||1.597%||-6.93%||-17.48%|
|30-year Treasury bond||2.664%||2.722%||-3.58%||-7.79%|
|U.S. Dollar Index||83.561||82.942||2.21%||3.77%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in pounds||£0.645||£0.644||1.35%||0.28%|
|Euro in dollars||$1.23||$1.24||-2.67%||-5.17%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in euros||€ 0.814||€ 0.807||2.74%||5.45%|
|U.S. $ in yen||79.74||79.91||0.00%||3.43%|
|U.S. $ in Chinese||6.39||6.35||0.22%||0.96%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|(in Canadian $)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|Crude oil (-CL)||$84.45||$87.22||-0.60%||-14.55%|
I wonder if our elected officials have ever read the Declaration if Independence...if not, its time they do so!
July 4, 1776
When in the course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.
That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security. Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.
go to newsvine/msndc were libs comments are worshipped/adored and conservatives are banned/collasped. and they have paid lib commentators like Fiestyredhead who somehow always is the first poster
Stocks tumble due to Wall Street Manipulation, Executive Greed and short sighted ideologies.
I wonder......what would be the combined total of all the major CEO's salaries in the U.S. ?
I also wonder.....do these guys and women really add that much value to the companies they rape (whoops, I mean run) ?
"The economy adds 80,000 jobs in June, less than expected"the same story for 3 and 1 /2 years. expect another downward revision again,
someone here said reganomics didnt work look it up idiot, Regan inherited a far worse economy instead of blamming his predecessor as odumbo constantly does,at this point in his term Regan was creating over 500,000 jobs a month
Romo is not the successful businessman people think. GST Steel anyone? $44 million in bankruptcy dumped on taxpayers anyone? Now...fact: Romo and his investors didn't even invest half of that $44 million in GST Steel but they managed even with a bankruptcy taxpayers are stuck paying to eke out $12 million in profit. Again...calling it profit before all your business bills are paid?
Romney is pragmatic and detail oriented........ A steady reassuring style of leadership.
One thing I just don't understand about small business owners...Why do they not know they are the single most effective means of bottom line economic revenue? Someone, somewhere has convinced small business owners that a defeatist attitude is better than facing the reality of their own most powerful positions in the US economy. How many corporations existed when Washington was president? When Adams was president? When Madison...you get the picture. If you don't know your own small business power, how do you expect anyone else to, least of all your customers and target markets.
The problem with most small business owners today is their lack of sound networking skills. They think running a business is all there is to being a business owners. How wrong that one is. There's strength in numbers. If you don't know your actual market share for your product or service, you haven't a clue as to how successful your business will be. Most of the articles I write for online businesses are for small businesses. I'm always amazed at how little they really know about their own target markets, their customers and how to advance their businesses. And, one flaw among small businesses owners? They don't network and by not doing so they hand over the lion's share of government assistance to corporations that don't need any help.
Stocks thumble on weak economy...................HEY, what's new?\
Stop complaining and get to action:
The Fed wastes over 45% of the money we send to it.....what do you do about it?
The Fed is in a war against private enterprise....more taxes less jobs, period!
The Fed is about to implement the largest tax in history...Socialists DON"T care...!!!
The Fed is leaking secrets...to our ennemies...........GOOD FOR THEM, NOT GOOD FOR US!
The Fed is about to implement the Obamadon'tCare and guess what? Peelosi and her 'subjects' are not subject to this Obamadon'tCare because when she found out "what's in it" she bailed out!
I also want to bail out from this terrible administration...the Liberals/Democrats HAVE NO clue about the economy...........just watch their commercials.......a bunch of lies...ALL FOAM NO BEER!
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[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 ended this week with a bang, roaring to a new all-time high on the back of stronger-than-expected economic data, influential leadership, and an ongoing appreciation for the Fed's monetary policy support.
The bullish bias was evident in premarket action as the S&P futures pointed to a higher start without the benefit of any definitive news catalyst. Stocks indeed benefited from a blast of buying interest at the opening bell on this ... More
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