Stocks slip amid economic gloom
Disappointment lingers over the Fed's lack of stimulus plans. Economists also view a drop in jobless claims with skepticism. US import and export prices fall. South Korea's central bank carries out its first easing action in years.
By Andrea Tse
Stocks recovered some lost ground but remained lower Thursday amid lingering disappointment about the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, skepticism over the latest jobs report and concerns about the global economy.
A transcript of the Federal Reserve policy meeting, released Wednesday, showed that few members of the central bank's open-market committee favored additional stimulus at the June 19-20 meeting and suggested macro conditions would have to deteriorate much further in order to justify another round of quantitative easing.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) was down 31 points at 12,573 after recovering from a loss of more than 100 points in morning trading. The S&P 500 ($INX) was down 8 points at 1,334. The Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX) was down 29 points to 2,859.
"The minutes of the last FOMC basically told investors to get their rampant expectations of further quantitative policy firmly under control, because it is not happening anytime soon," said Paul Donavan, a global economist at UBS.
In economic news, the Labor Department said Thursday that initial jobless claims for the week ended July 7 fell to 350,000, the lowest levels since March 2008 and a decrease of 26,000 from an upwardly revised 376,000 in the preceding week. Economists had expected a decline to 372,000.
"We note that each summer, auto shutdowns give the government trouble, and the seasonals are very unreliable," said Dan Greenhaus, the chief global strategist at BTIG. "We absolutely do not believe this is a 'real' number."
"The improvement in claims was due in large part to seasonal factors, as there were fewer seasonal factory shutdowns than normal during the first week of July," said Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities. "This should be corrected in the coming weeks, and the level of claims should revert back to levels more consistent with the weak tone in labor market activity, possibly rising back to above the 370K level."
The four-week moving average was 376,500, a decrease of 9,750 from the previous week's average of 386,250.
Continuing claims for the week ended June 30 were 3.304 million, a decrease of 14,000 from the prior week's level of 3.318 million.
Meanwhile, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that U.S. import prices fell 2.7% in June after a 1.2% decrease in May. Lower prices for both fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the overall decline. U.S. export prices fell 1.7% in June after a 0.4% drop the previous month.
The U.S. Treasury Department is expected to report at 2 p.m. that the U.S. government ran a $75 billion budget deficit June. The deficit was $43.1 billion the same time a year ago.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Stock index closed down 2.03% and the Nikkei settled behind by 1.48% amid fears of poor economic growth data from China at the end of the week and after the Bank of Japan decided to pursue only small adjustments to monetary easing. South Korean's central bank also slashed its lending rate in its first easing action in more than three years, highlighting its concerns about the economy.
The FTSE in London was falling 1.28% and the DAX in Germany was sliding 1.12% as global slowdown concerns flooded the markets and overshadowed better-than-expected eurozone industrial production data for May, which had risen.
Walt Disney (DIS) received an upgrade from Wells Fargo early Thursday. Wells Fargo went to "outperform" from "market perform" on the stock, saying concerns -- such as the potential for margin contractions at ESPN -- that previously kept its optimism in check seem to have dissipated.
Fastenal (FAST) reported fiscal-second-quarter earnings of $112.3 million, or 38 cents a share, on sales of $804.9 million. The average analyst estimate was for a profit of 37 cents a share in the June-ended period on revenue of $807.7 million.
Shares of SuperValu (SVU) were dropping sharply after the Minneapolis grocery store operator reported a quarterly profit below consensus and suspended its dividend, saying it's conducting a review of its strategic options. The company, which is seeking to reduce its debt load by between $450 million and $500 million in fiscal 2013, posted a profit of $41 million, or 19 cents a share, for its fiscal first quarter on sales of $10.6 billion. The average analyst estimate was for 38 cents a share on sales of $10.8 billion.
Callaway Golf (ELY) said late Wednesday it's cutting 12% of its global workforce as part of an effort to generate gross annual savings of $52 million. The golf equipment maker also said it expects to report a pro forma loss of 55 to 75 cents a share for fiscal 2012. Wall Street's current consensus estimate is for a loss of 21 cents a share for the full year.
It could be a rough session for Family Dollar (FDO) shares after Bank of America Merrill Lynch lowered its rating on the stock to "underperform" and dropped its 12-month price target to $60 from $71, citing rising concerns about the off-price retailer's strategy and execution abilities.
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>>>>> "fiddling, while Rome burns."<<<<
a total lack of ideas from the entire gang in office.
first, obama spends time on the health care plan while our economy dies. THEN the republicans spend time trashing the health care plan while the economy dies.
it's the modern way of re-arraigning deck chairs
All of you characters should take a long leisurely vacation. Perhaps Spain might be a good place to go. There you could impress the natives with your economic wisdom. Yul\k yuk yuk!
Go Mitt go save us from Obama.
Back below 1.5% on the 10 yr - ridiculous. The Euro continues to tank and I'm confident it will bounce back, but timing that correctly could quickly turn into a nightmare.
Have no fear traders, QE3 is coming. Bernanke is playing coy right now, but it's just a matter of time.
If we could go back in time, to Fall of 2008, it would be interesting to do a survey of economists to see how many thought that over the next 4 years we there was even a possibility we would see the Fed would do 3-4 rounds of QE, plus the gov would tack on another couple trillion in stimulus. Wonder how many would think this was even a possibility, let alone a good idea? Probably not many. But as incrementalism works, those that bought into the idea of the stimulus package and the first round of QE, were easily swayed that more stimulus and more QE was a good idea. And yet here we are, several trillions of dollars later, WS is begging for yet another round of QE to prop up stock prices just a little bit longer, and the current prez is still talking about yet another round of stimulus measures.
Unemployment number could have been anything...it doesn't matter. Even the analysts are saying they don't believe the numbers. At least they used to wait a few days before they trashed them. The institutions are pocketing what they made during the week of the fourth. No real investing going on here, just the institutions trying to prove who's the best gambler. It's the only game in town right now.
The only problem with this game is that there are a fixed number of chips so the money is just changing hands. If they can get the FED to do another QE, they get a whole new pile of chips to gamble with. It will pump things up temporarily but will only postpone the inevitable. The institutions know it can't last but everybody wants to get their last bite before it all tanks.
We are going to be in trouble until we become a nation of producers again. There's no short term fix for that so you won't see any politician doing anything to address it. Without action, our standard of living WILL to sink to the level of our trading partners. It is inevitable. Think of life before WW2. That is our future.
OH YEAH, voting Obama back in is like ressucitating OSAMA
Both scare the hell out of me...specially with this HellCare....
There are two kind of people:
those who work for a living
those who vote for a living...you know the food stamps fans...
Congress MUST start doing something to help create JOBS! and stop frikkin playing around because they are worried about their own bloody re-elections!
I think ALL of CONGRESS should be paid ONLY minimum wage until they get some work done to save the country!
Romney visiting an NAACP gathering would be like Hitler visiting Israel!
Much to Romney's credit he didn't back away from his core beliefs. Of course he got a bunch of boos. So what, if the minorities think Obama is going to get them any jobs, they had better look at their own unemployments sticks.
You notice that Romney talks in a cool, measured, disciplined, and focused way. Although many don't like Romney mainly due to his unemotional approach to issues and people, they don't realize he is a numbers guy who gets and understands the details of an issue and eschews all of the rhetoric crap so many politicians without answers subscribe too.
For a comparison, listen to an Obama speech filled with flag waving nonsense. No real ideas or solutions to pressing problems. Just some fatuous reasons and empty-headed promises that things will get better.
Go Mitt go. Obama truly blows!
Bring Mitt in a hurry, please!
My dog would even handle the economy much better, at least it wouldn't tax me!
Great, how did they make that happen? Solid long term plans? Good economic policies? Strong leadership that instilled confidence in business? Perhaps it was their steamlining of the regulatory processes? Maybe it was their instincts to let the free market work? Oh wait, none of those things happened.
Our economic "recovery" is based on one thing - unsustainable DEBT. Remember a few years ago, when a family making $50k a year was able to live in that $300k house and drive $50k cars and take their $30k boat out on the weekend while also eating out 6 times a week and taking a couple vacations a year to the Caribbean?? Sound familiar? - that too was built on unsustainable debt. How'd that work out for ya?
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[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.50. The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 298,000, which was lower than the 330,000 that had been expected by the Briefing.com consensus. Today's tally was below the revised prior week count of 321,000. As for continuing claims, they fell to 2.744 million from 2.765 million.
Separately, the second estimate of third quarter GDP indicated growth of 3.6%, up from the 2.8% increase ... More
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