Market DispatchesMarket Dispatches

Dow falls 49 after Fed minutes disappoint

The blue chips are briefly down as many as 119 points as Federal Reserve officials see the current slowdown as transitory. They will act if conditions deteriorate. Marriott warns about growth in Asia. Supervalu suspends its dividend.

By Charley Blaine Jul 11, 2012 12:49PM
Charley BlaineUpdated: 6:40 p.m. ET

Stocks abruptly slumped after minutes from the June 19-20 Federal Reserve meeting offered few hints that the Fed is preparing a major new initiative to boost the economy in the near future. The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) tumbled as many as 119 points before a sizable rebound set in.

At best, the minutes show, the Federal Open Market Committee would move if the domestic economy goes into a serious tailspin. That wasn't even close to happening at the time of the meeting. While the FOMC, the Fed's policy-making body, saw that solid growth in the first quarter faded in April and May, the members judged that the slowness might be transitory.

But there were big risks to that outlook: the "fiscal and financial strains in Europe" and what might occur if Congress can't agree on tax and spending policies before January when the Bush tax cuts are to expire and massive spending cuts could kick in.

Stocks had traded basically flat ahead of the release of the minutes and dropped quickly after they were made available. 

The Dow closed down 49 points to 12,605. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was down -- barely -- at 1,341, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) dropped 14 points to 2,888.

Article continues below.
The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) fell 15 points to 2,571.

The S&P 500, with its loss of two hundredths of a point, and the Dow suffered their fifth losses in a row, their longest losing streaks since falling for six straight sessions between May 11 and May 18. The Nasdaq ended with its fourth straight loss, its longest losing streak since falling for five straight days May 14-18.

But the declines have not been backbreakers. The Dow and S&P 500 are off 2.3% since July 3; the Nasdaq has been hit harder, down 3% since July 5.

The big report on Thursday is the government's weekly report on jobless claims. Futures trading suggests a modestly higher open for stocks.

Warnings from Marriott and Supervalu
But the market may be worried by a warning from Marriott International (MAR) that demand growth in Asia and the Middle East may be slowing, particularly among its luxury hotels, which include the Ritz-Carlton, Marriott Resort and Renaissance chains. Marriott's domestic business, however, is expected to grow 6% to 8% for the year. Marriott earned 42 cents a share, up from 37 cents a year ago.

A second issue may be supermarket chain Supervalu (SVU), whose shares fell 26.3% after hours to $3.90. Shares finished the regular session at $5.29, up 14 cents. The company has struggled against increasing competition from Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), Target (TGT) and others.

The company, operator of Albertsons, Jewel-Osco, Save-A-Lot and other stores, suspended its dividend and said it was reviewing its options. That could mean it puts itself up for sale.

The company saw fiscal-first-quarter earnings fall 45% to 19 cents a share from a year ago. Revenue fell 4.7% to $10.59 billion and missed the Street estimate of $10.6 billion.

Energy, financials lead the market
The market was boosted by gains in energy and financial stocks. Bank of America (BAC), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) were among the top five performers among the 30 Dow stocks.

Technology stocks drooped with Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT) and Qualcomm (QCOM) all lower. Retail and material shares also moved lower. (Microsoft publishes MSN Money.)

A big exception: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) was up 58 cents to $19.69 on the strength of winning a number of new contracts. One is a contract to automate the management and quality control of the information technology networks for Russian Railways.

JPMorgan shares were up 34 cents to $34.59 in part because The Wall Street Journal said the banking giant will announce Friday it is taking back bonuses given to executives involved in the big trading loss disclosed in May. The announcement is expected as part of Morgan's second-quarter earnings report.

Meanwhile, electronic retailer HHGregg (HGG) shares were down $4.20 to $7.34 after the appliance and electronics company slashed its full-year forecast and cut its guidance for the fiscal first quarter. The shares are off 50% so far this year. Radio Shack (RSH) was off a penny to $3.90, and Best Buy (BBY) dropped $1.77 to $19.37.

Health care stocks were mostly higher after the House of Representatives voted for the 32nd time to repeal the Healthcare Reform Act. The vote is symbolic. The Senate probably won't take the bill up, and President Obama has vowed to repeal the legislation.

The Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) exchange-traded fund was off 3 cents to $37.62. The ETF tracks the stocks in the S&P 500 health care sector. Thirty-two of the 52 stocks in the sector were higher, led by Boston Scientific (BSX), up 11 cents to $5.62.

Energy prices -- New York close



Wed.

Tues.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil (-CL)

$85.81

$83.91

1.00%

-13.17%
(per barrel)











Heating oil (-HO)

$2.7618

$2.7195

1.92%

-5.23%
(per gallon)











Natural gas (-NG)

$2.8530

$2.7370

1.03%

-4.55%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline (-RB)

$2.7689

$2.7469

5.21%

4.20%
(per gallon)











Brent crude 

$100.23

$97.97

2.48%

-6.66%
(per barrel)











Retail gasoline

$3.3830

$3.3810

0.89%

3.27%
(per gallon; AAA)












What the Fed minutes show
So far, the Fed has said basically that it stands ready to do something about the economy if conditions warrant. But the central bank hasn't defined what those conditions might be. The minutes released today offer one condition: If overall inflation drops below 2% a year for an extended period.

The minutes also suggest talk is building about letting interest rates remain at "exceptionally low levels" beyond late 2014. There's been a fair amount of speculation that the Fed may push that into 2015. The Fed's all-important interest rate target -- the federal funds rate -- is at 0% to 0.25%.

The Fed is scheduled to meet again July 31 and Aug. 1.

The expectation that the Fed might act increased after last week's jobs report that showed nonfarm payrolls rising a seasonally adjusted 80,000, less than expected. In addition, reports on manufacturing and consumer confidence have suggested a weakening economy.

Last week, the European Central Bank cut its base rate, and the Bank of England announced its own round of quantitative easing. The Fed itself is buying $44 billion a month in short-term securities and selling an equal amount of longer-term bonds through the end of the year.

Crude oil jumps, gold slips
Crude oil (-CL) settled up $1.90 to $85.81 a barrel. Brent crude was up $2.42 to $100.59. The Energy Department reported that crude supplies dropped and refineries operated at the highest rate in almost five years.

The national average price of regular unleaded gasoline was at $3.383 a gallon, up slightly from Tuesday's $3.381 and up from $3.358 on Friday.

Gold (-GC) slipped $4.10 to settle at $1,575.70 an ounce.

Interest rates were a touch higher, with the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 1.503%, up from 1.498% on Tuesday. The dollar was higher against major currencies. The euro fell to $1.2223 from Tuesday's $1.2256.

The Agriculture Department cut its corn-harvest estimate by 12% and said inventories next year will be smaller than forecast in June as the worst Midwest drought since 1988 erodes prospects for a record crop. Corn (-ZC) for December delivery jumped to as high as $7.49 a bushel after the report was released, but profit-taking pushed the price back to $7.04 a bushel at the close, down 13.5 cents.

Microsoft may be sellling its stake in MSNBC.com
After the close, The Daily Beast's Howard Kurtz reported that Microsoft and NBC have decided to end their partnership operating the MSNBC.com news site, which is based on Microsoft's corporate campus in Redmond, Wash.

Kurtz's report suggest NBC will buy out Microsoft's stake and will continue to operate the site as NBCNews.com.
 
A renegotiation has been expected since the companies ended their partnership operating the MSNBC cable channel in 2005 and NBC was acquired by Comcast in 2009.

Short hits from the markets -- New York close



Wed.

Tues.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Treasury yields











13-week Treasury bill

0.0900%

0.080%

12.50%

800.00%
5-year Treasury note 

0.628%

0.619%

-13.85%

-24.34%
10-year Treasury note

1.498%

1.498%

-9.70%

-19.94%
30-year Treasury bond

2.589%

2.594%

-6.30%

-10.38%
Currencies











U.S. Dollar Index

83.728

83.559

2.42%

3.98%
British pound

1.5509

1.5523

-1.24%

-0.19%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in pounds

£0.645

£0.644

1.26%

0.19%
Euro in dollars

$1.22

$1.23

-2.98%

-5.47%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in euros

€ 0.816

€ 0.816

3.07%

5.79%
U.S. $ in yen 

79.81

79.40

0.08%

3.51%
U.S. $ in Chinese

6.39

6.36

0.34%

1.07%
yuan











Canada dollar

$0.981

$0.978

-0.14%

0.01%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. dollar 

$1.020

$1.022

0.14%

-0.01%
(in Canadian $)

 








Commodities

 

 

 

 
Gold (-GC)

$1,575.70

$1,579.80

-1.78%

0.57%
(per troy ounce)

 








Copper (-HG)

$3.448

$3.398

-1.40%

0.33%
(per pound)

 








Silver (-SI)

$27.0230

$26.8820

-2.13%

-3.20%
(per troy ounce)

 








Wheat (-ZW)

$8.2625

$8.2125

9.11%

26.58%
(per bushel)

 








Corn (-ZC)

$7.0400

$7.175

10.91%

8.89%
(per bushel)

 








Cotton 

$0.7102

0.7072

-0.43%

-22.53%
(per pound)

 








Coffee

$1.847

1.845

8.20%

-19.57%
(per pound)

 








Crude oil (-CL)

$85.81

$83.91

1.00%

-13.17%
(per barrel)










 

55Comments
Jul 12, 2012 9:31PM
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the fed can not do qe because faith in the dollar is weak. only way they can do qe if Americans save more money which reduces inflation.
Jul 12, 2012 1:34PM
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So lets look at FACTS . When Obama took office the USA under republicans was losing 800.000 jobs a month < THATs a fact! It took two yrs just to start to stablize that FACT. So tax cuts create jobs to wall street and the rich??? Still looking for them jobs for TEN YRS... i.e the bush tax cuts ? SO the MITT WITTs say Romney creates jobs in the private sector? WHERE?? He was part of the 800.000 a month job loss and making 20.000 dollars for every unemployed American and putting the cash in a Swiss bank acct? As soon as Obama was elected the first thing republicans in the house and senate said was they will do anything to make him fail ! < FACTS people ... Even your beloved Rush Limbaugh said it , and he is just a radio guy ! And the FACTS show that at every turn for the past 3 plus yrs the republicans have stalled everything for helping America .. So i say look at the TRUE facts ! And Repukes say that soc sec is bankrupting this country?? LOL Its TWO unpaid for  WARS for TEN YRS that did that !! So as the republican MITT WITTs on this board try to slam Obama LOL The facts speak for it all !!! And the MITT WITT says the private sector creates jobs ? He is right on that ! Obama does not create jobs the private sector does .. And they have failed the USA for the last decade.....SCREW wall street shut off the free money from the feds and start giving people in America who save a better int rate BEN... No QE3... The so called private sector MITT WITT like him has failed us ! And he wants to be President? LOL LOL LOL ...
Jul 12, 2012 10:53AM
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At 1040 hrs scumbags called to accelerate the selling showing that they are in complete control on and off the floor....Plenty of money on the sidelines...Not a whole lot can be done when these cheating bastards take charge like they have done once again today. The sad thing is that they can and will get away with all the manipulation and they know it. Lets just hope this afternoon something positive happens. Cheaters will always get over here on Wall Street because there is nobody watching. More later.
Jul 12, 2012 10:17AM
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No surprises at all this morning, like we said last night, they dropped us easily for 5 days in a row, why not make it 6...Forget the Fed, its not his fault...Markets being manipulated as usual by the same crooks that know they can and will get away with it....We see it day in and day out and today is no exception.They will push and push as far as they can...Be aware, they will have sucker's rallies, they always do, they need them before they resume their selling...Do not fall for them...Another good day to stay on the sidelines and wait for opportunities...Just...Sad.
Jul 12, 2012 9:33AM
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>>>>> "fiddling, while Rome burns."<<<<

 

so very true.  a total lack of ideas from the entire gang in office. 

 

first, obama spends time on the health care plan while our economy dies.  THEN the republicans spend time trashing the health care plan while the economy dies. 

 

it's the modern way of re-arraigning deck chairs

 

Jul 12, 2012 9:21AM
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After yesterday's action in the House for the umpteenth time......

 

I think I'm finally convinced to never vote Republican again...

Actually all INCUMBENTS should be thrown out....

But the REpublicans have been the ROOT of EVIL....

 

And they are sitting "fiddling, while Rome burns."

I have had enough....

We have accomplished very little the last 4 years...And it all falls, on the shoulders of CONGRESS.

Jul 12, 2012 8:43AM
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It is amazing that the Libor scandal happened on Obama's watch, this after 4500 new regulators, Dodd/Frank, etc.  It will be interesting to see what Geitner knew and when, and why the government here has done NOTHING to date.   If the treasury new this was going on, why did the Obama administration take no action for over a year?  Once again our huge regulatory army was asleep at the switch or too busy watching porn.   I do find it hard to believe given all the Fed's bank investigations that they didn't find this.

What did Geitner know and when, and why did he  do nothing about it?   Maybe the question should be why, even now, is Obama doing NOTHING?  Just more incompetence I guess...
Jul 12, 2012 8:36AM
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Romney is a far better candidate.  Obama's record is one of corruption, ineptness, extreme partisanship, and socialist ideas.

Mr. Obama has to go unless you want 4 more years like these four.   Unemployment in the black communities is 14.4%, up from W's abysmal 12.7%.   I know the racists will say re-elect Obama, after all he really knew how to stick it to his supporters...  And they laugh...  

There is however a lot of truth to that.  One need only look at Chicago, Obama's home town where there  has not been a Republican in decades.   The new murder capital, where 75% of the victims are African Americans.   Chicago public schools recent were proud of 59% high school graduation rate.  That's a FULL 11% below the national average.  

Democrats have run most big cities into the ground or bankruptcy court.  Illinois has the worst finances of any state.  Obama has brought Chicago/Illinois fiscal policy to Washington, god help us...
Jul 12, 2012 7:59AM
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"If the current president had done his job effectively, Mitt wouldn't have a chance. Like it or not, Mitt is going to have to prove you wrong."
 

Ron Paul will be Obama's challenger. Romney isn't going to make it. Check out the TV footage of his botched speech to NAACP conventioners yesterday. He threw a hot topic out and stood there with a stupid grin while being booed. Remember the show "Lie to me"? READ HIS FACE... in his mind he was saying: "you will all get yours after I am in power"... We can't take any chances of a psycho in the WH. Come on, Nebraska, get a Paul win of your delegates and get the CORRECT man in front of the podium.

I'll take a good man who can spontaneously answer a question consistently over a bad actor who flip flops regularly and has yet to specifically define his intentions.

Jul 12, 2012 7:50AM
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"W's deficits (which were made worse) because of 2 unnecessary wars and another entitllement, Medicare Part D to which all those collecting contributed Zero, averaged around 380 billion a year."

 

Just these? He spent EIGHT years in Office rigging us for this catastrophe. Nearly all the debt we are experiencing now originated in Dubya's era.. which was a continuance of intiatives bungled during his father's era. History will know Bill Clinton for his achievements, the Bushes as failures. I don't think we can define Obama yet... who has time? Hard to get a handle on it during the greatest class-divide and rampant financial corruption period-- ever.

Jul 12, 2012 7:44AM
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"Stop the tax breaks for those so called "Job Creators". I see that the only place they create jobs are in Switzerland, the Cayman Islands or Bermuda! Tax the heck out of any company that produces goods overseas and sells them here!"

 

You'd never see goodness printed in our controlled media but Senators Debbie Stabenow- D and Carl Levin- D have managed to create legislation that ends this corruption. We all complain about Romney and his Bain offshore accounts, but Haley Barbour- R bragged about Republican Retirement Account Funds in offshores having more than $5 million each in them! Stabenow got farm subsidies stopped and is working on a ban of overseas jobs that came from here. Levin got legislation passed to outright ban offshore accounts. Notably, GOP set up "global" entities for it's puppets to circumnavigate that new law. Know the enemy folks...

Jul 12, 2012 7:37AM
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First... I'd like the GOP to write checks to every American equal to the time wasted and cost for 30 attempts to repeal the HealthCare Act. We pay our taxes to get good representation. I would call the Party of NO cooperation-- grossly negligent and wholly irresponsible. They need to leave Congress as soon as TODAY.

 

Second... Austerity measures in Spain brought whole scale protests and riots in the streets but it did nothing to do away with grossly negligent and wholly irresponsible banks (there's a pattern here). It may be a new day but it's a re-occurring problem we seem to be unable to correct. Close the banks, terminate all personnel up through the boards, reconcile, regulate and divest to eliminate the TBTF disease.

 

Third... The media is strangely quiet about JPM Chase. Financial data indicates $4 Trillion wealth but only $50 Billion liquid assets. They will owe fines and penalties for the LIBOR Scam, MG Fund Scam and the growing lossess stemming from that bad derivatives (scam) investment. How soon before a big bank goes bust and dumps that toxic crap on the rest of us?

Jul 12, 2012 7:34AM
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OMG - no free money from the Feds again.....Oh what will we do - I know, let's throw another tantrum and take the market down again. That will show them. WAFJ 
Jul 12, 2012 7:21AM
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Only Wall street can find this much bad news in the world. The rest of us think of it as just part of doing business!!! Give it all away Wall Street and you then will be happy!!
Jul 12, 2012 6:55AM
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So wall street was looking for another handout and didn't get it!  So they have to make stocks go down and punish the stockholders!  What a scam!  Speculation needs to be stopped and lobbiests need to be outlawed!  The Glass/Stegal act needs to be put back in place and make banks be banks once again!  The only way this economy is going to recover is to have more people working and making more than minimum wages!  Until people have extra money to spend the same cycle will continue!  Stop the tax breaks for those so called "Job Creators".  I see that the only place they create jobs are in Switzerland, the Cayman Islands or Bermuda!  Tax the heck out of any company that produces goods overseas and sells them here! 
Jul 12, 2012 6:39AM
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Davidapbarber...

 

Clinton never balanced the budget or ran a surplus.  Liberal nonsense.   The Natioanl debt incresed in EVERY YEAR CLINTON was in office.  If you have a balanced budget or surplus as you claim you don't need to borrow.  So you claim is false or an out right lie.   Mr. Clinton did however, come close in 2 years thanks to a Republican Congress, and Revenuse that poured in from the dot.com bubble.  When in his last year the bubble burst, and the NASDAQ went from 5050 to under 2300, those revenues disappeared.  Clintons last year left W wiith a 220 Billion deficit upon taking office. 

 

W's deficits (which were made worse) because of 2 unnecessary wars and another entitllement, Medicare Part D to which all those collecting contributed Zero, averaged around 380 billion a year.

 

The imbecile that we have now is running deficits between 1.2-16 Trillion, 4 times higher. 

 

The debt was 10.2 Trillion on Jan 20th, 2009 the day Obama took Office.  Today, it stands at 15.8 trillion.  So your entire comment comes across a that of Donkey Party Shill...  i.e almost entirely FALSE.

Jul 12, 2012 6:20AM
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Does anyone remember that when Clinton left office we were in the black. When Bush took office he gave everything away and put this country 13Trillion dollars in debt? How can we blame Obama not that he must now take responsibilty for this mess. If we elect anoth republican we will be screwed.

How short of a memory people have. Look to past as well as the future.

All politicians local and fereral are wasting money and nothing can be done.

Jul 12, 2012 4:22AM
avatar

In short and what the Fed won't say is we're screwed no matter how much they pump into the "economy" (Wall Street).

 

2013 will be the start of the largest crash ever, if we can get past Doomsday 2012.

Cheers and good luck.

Jul 12, 2012 2:27AM
avatar

The "best" is yet to come.  It will not be fun!  We asked for it and we 'have' it.  Never ever elect someone as president that is a known socialist.  He is in the process of destoying our nation and is not even born here.  This will all come out.  The Clinton's....could have vetted him at any time. 

Now, that is a trip in itself!  How is this "world' order going now?  Sure, the Bushs' know ****, also.  Time for a complete revampimg and get the Chicago thugs out....did I say Kennedy?  At least he had guts! 

Jul 12, 2012 2:07AM
avatar
Congress:
Awww, Timmy, did you know about the Libor scandal in 2007?
You bad boy!...Now, don't do that again.

-------------------------

FrickinA - we're so up ChitsCreek! Maybe the entire world should just claim bankruptcy and start over again.

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[BRIEFING.COM] Equities ended on their lows with the S&P 500 down 1.4%.

The S&P entered today's session with a week-to-date gain of 1.5% as investors expected reassuring words from today's Federal Open Market Committee Statement.

Stocks traded with slim losses until this afternoon's FOMC Statement and subsequent comments from Chairman Bernanke sent equities and Treasuries to their lows while also providing a significant boost to the dollar.

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