Market DispatchesMarket Dispatches

Stocks struggle ahead of Fed

Markets await the central bank's policy statement. Spanish and Italian 10-year bond yields ease. The Bank of England leans toward stimulus measures. Procter & Gamble cuts its outlook.

By TheStreet Staff Jun 20, 2012 9:06AM

TheStreetImage: Wall Street sign (© Corbis/SuperStock) Updated at 10:44 a.m. ET


By Andrea Tse


Stocks wavered Wednesday as investors awaited the outcome of the latest Federal Reserve meeting.

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) was down by 9 points at 12,828. The S&P 500 ($INX) was down by 2 points at 1,356. The Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX) was up 3 points at 2,927.

 

Stocks jumped Tuesday, with the S&P 500 soaring to a one-month high, as risk-tolerant investors bet that additional fiscal stimulus is forthcoming from the Fed.

 

"The Fed offers a moment of economic sanity with its rate decision," said Paul Donovan, a global economist at UBS, ahead of the conclusion of the Fed's two-day meeting."

 

"If the Fed does nothing but hints . . . that further action may come as soon as the Aug. 1, 2012, FOMC meeting, the markets would still likely be disappointed," said John Canally, an economist for LPL Financial. "The markets' focus then would shift to Bernanke's press conference and back to the Fed's new economic forecast as participants try to gauge the timing of the next round of stimulus."

 

After the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the Federal Reserve will post its statement at 12:30 p.m. ET, followed by the outlook of policymakers on the Fed funds rate and economy at 2 p.m. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is expected to address the press at 2:15 p.m.

 

Asian markets settled higher in anticipation of the outcome of the Fed meeting. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index settled up 0.53%, and Japan's Nikkei average closed higher by 1.11%.

 

The FTSE in London was up by 0.56%, and the DAX in Germany was up 0.31%, with the euro gaining a bit of traction.

 

The FTSE was edging higher as data showed that employment in the United Kingdom increased to the highest level in more than three years in April and as  minutes from the Bank of England's last policy meeting indicated that the central bank is very close to supporting more monetary stimulus for the economy.

 

Both Spanish and Italian 10-year yields were easing Wednesday.

 

Eurozone leaders said at the Group of 20 summit of industrialized nations in Mexico this week that they will strive to reach an agreement on integrating their regional banks by December.

 

In Greece, there looked to be significant progress in forming a coalition among pro-bailout parties.

 

August crude oil futures were down 9 cents at $84.26 a barrel. August gold futures were slipping $7.40 to $1,615.80 an ounce.

 

The benchmark 10-year Treasury was down 2/32, raising the yield to 1.627%, while the dollar was trading sideways, according to the dollar index.

 

In corporate news, Adobe Systems (ADBE), the publishing software maker, provided a disappointing outlook for its fiscal third quarter on Tuesday because of a weaker demand forecast for Europe. Adobe forecast non-GAAP earnings of 56 cents to 61 cents a share for the three months ending in August on revenue of $1.075 billion to $1.125 billion. Analysts forecast profit of 61 cents a share on revenue of $1.133 billion.

 

Procter & Gamble (PG), the consumer-products giant, reduced its fourth-quarter profit and revenue forecasts because of slower-than-anticipated sales growth in developed markets.

 

P&G said Wednesday it expects to post core earnings for the quarter ending in June of 75 cents to 79 cents a share. Its previous estimate was 79 cents to 85 cents a share.

 

Analysts forecast core earnings of 82 cents a share in P&G's fiscal fourth quarter.

 

P&G said organic sales are expected to rise 2% to 3%. Its previous estimate was 4% to 5%.

 

The company said foreign exchange is expected to reduce net sales by 4%. Net sales are expected to be in the range of down 2% to 1%. It previously expected an increase of 1% to 2%.

 

Quest Software (QSFT) agreed to a higher buyout bid of $2.17 billion after Insight Venture Partners added Vector Capital as a new partner. The new bid is for $25.75 a share, up from a competing bid of $25.50 a share that was reportedly made by Dell (DELL).

 

Jabil Circuit (JBL) reported adjusted fiscal-third-quarter profit of 64 cents a share on revenue of $4.3 billion, in line with analysts' estimates.


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145Comments
Jun 20, 2012 12:22PM
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Max......Guess you know by now?? Republicans are very lame, when it comes to history, particularily any that reflects in a negative stature...To the GOP.

 

Of course we do seem to have a fair share of Revisionist History coming from their ranks.

Jun 20, 2012 12:21PM
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CL:  That would be bribery or kickbacks.  Not money laundering.
Jun 20, 2012 12:20PM
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MG:  that "negative multiplier" you talk about IS the crowding out effect.  it's the production that is displaced by the government borrowing money instead of allowing it to the private sector.  Right now, it doesn't exist.  The government is borrowing money from people that either don't want to lend to companies at all or that can't find anyone else to lend to.  So it isn't displacing production, evident by the excess reserves that continue to be held by banks.

And "The private sector is fine" is about the same as Romney's "I don't care about poor people."  The private sector is fine compared to the state of state and local public employment.

Jun 20, 2012 12:17PM
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MARCIE......IF you are going to keep using the word LIER; Please spell it correctly, L-I-A-R...

I'm not a Grammer cop; Hardly, but do us all the favor....

 

Divine Right...Didn't really realize Marxism had been around or practiced for a 100 years ??

Jun 20, 2012 12:13PM
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Things have been pretty quiet down here waiting on the Fed until about 1200 hrs when manipulators started doing their thing...They cant wait till the Fed speaks. We all know they will sell off regardless  of what the Fed says, that's their mo, that's how they steal money from the rest. We will find out soon enough. Be very cautious.
Jun 20, 2012 12:08PM
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Divine:  Yes it does!  That's exactly what spending money does.  And it doesn't matter who does it!  People with low incomes spend more than people with high incomes.  Direct purchases mean raw materials and direct hiring by the firm that gets the contract, not to mention hiring and increased sales by the firm handling raw materials.  As well as the firms that are transporting these goods back and forth.

And the money being borrowed isn't currently being used.  It's idle, the private sector isn't borrowing it because there's insufficient demand to support expansion.

I think you mean amperage when you're talking about batteries.  Voltage concerns the the flow, amperage is the actual power.  to use that example, we aren't drawing the full capacity in terms of amps.  We have a 10 amp fuse but we're only using 6 amps.  The government borrowing money that's otherwise idle is like hooking another couple amps on that fuse.

Jun 20, 2012 12:00PM
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2 Sick........I had a little trouble deciphering Webster's definition of an investor...

                  Was going to check and see if you may have left something out or omitted ?

Didn't bother...

                  Strange that your or their thoughts only deal with 401s or Stocks or Markets?

Investments and investors come in many sizes, shapes and colors...

     Purchasing a bag of Diamonds or a bar of Gold or Silver.

     Buying a piece of land or Real Estate.

     Purchase of rare Stamps,Coins or Artwork, even certain Vechicles.

     Used to be buying your home...But flippers still speculate everyday. Remodeling your home.

     Investing in you Childrens Education, Grand Children's; Hell, just investments in Kids period.

     Investing with friends or family in raising or producing crops or livestock...

     Or another business Venture, maybe like our Local, Steve.

Had a lot of trouble figuring out what Webster really meant....He didn't seem to bright ??

     Oh yeah..Then we have Stocks,Equities,Bonds, Mutual Funds, ETFs,CDs and a host of others.

Jun 20, 2012 11:56AM
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Our government throwing away more money we don't have is not going to get us out of this mess. Nor will it help if our government requires banks to make bad loans. Corporations are sitting on lots of cash what is missing is the confidence that our country is moving in the right direction. What people and businesses want is for our government to balance the budget and show we have the fiscal restraint to live within our means. People are afraid of what the future holds with runaway national debt and the taxes that will be required to pay the interest. Stop kicking the can down the road and have the guts to deal with the problem.

Jun 20, 2012 11:55AM
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Volker you talk about the "Multiplier effect"...  is this not first countered by the demand destroying" negative multiplier effect of the government seizing the money to pay for this spending from the PRIVATE sector  (the one that is doing FINE)?

Sorry but all government spending has a NEGATIVE multiplier effect on demand first.  
Jun 20, 2012 11:52AM
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Volker: Your missing the main point... The government does not have its own money -- period. They have to take it from someone else first, and then redistribute it. Simply spending money does not stimulate the economy! It takes money from one person (sector) or next generation, and redistributes it to another. All that money does not create a surplus, it creates the now $16 Trillion we have in debt. I don't know what else to tell you, the proof is in our debt. You can't get 15 volts of energy out of a 9 volt battery -- it's the second law of thermodymics... Economics is the same way.  
Jun 20, 2012 11:51AM
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I just gotta say with the way the term Commie is thrown around here... it feels like a Rocky movie from the 80's....

 

EYE OF THE TIGER!

 

I MUST BREAK YOU!

Jun 20, 2012 11:44AM
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Cl:  What I'm saying is that fiscal policy isn't money laundering.  It's directing tax dollars according to a stated policy.  Is the EIC money laundering in your mind?  What about government purchases?

Fiscal policy that you don't agree with isn't money laundering, it's just fiscal policy that you don't agree with.

Jun 20, 2012 11:43AM
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Mirage -- You are exactly right... Thank you brother, but It is very sad that we have to have these elementary debates on this website each and every day. I cannot believe the amount of people falling under the influence of marxist ideology. It seems the entire DNC platform is nothing but the same old drivel that marxist have been peddling for over a 100 years now.
Jun 20, 2012 11:37AM
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Divine:  And what do you think the logistics people handle the imported material do?  What about if it is American and funds higher paid jobs that otherwise didn't exist?  Aren't these people then spending money and buying things they otherwise couldn't?  Doesn't the necessitate production that otherwise wouldn't have been needed?

The multiplier effect is known, denying it simply denying reality.  One of Reagan's principle advisers criticized the stimulus because it didn't have enough direct government purchases, one of the highest mutlipliers since it makes the government act like nothing more than a big customer.  And you are right, saving cuts back on this impact.  Which is why purchases, that necessitate continued spending on capital equipment, labor, and raw material to produce the good, are much more effective than tax breaks which are saved in greater proportion.  It also shows why it's better to let the bottom incomes keep more or have more distributed to them, since they don't save as much proportionally, as the top.  That's from a strictly stimulus viewpoint.

On your other post, how does government borrowing get measured?  Clearly the private market uses the income the investment generates.  The normal measuring stick for sovereigns is GDP.  So if we can borrow to create more growth than the interest rate, it makes sense, right?  So when the federal government can borrow at 1.6%?
Jun 20, 2012 11:35AM
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Classic, after 30 years as registered Republican and listening to the exact same lies year after year, promising to cut government size, reduce regulation and balance our budget, I finally realized it's all a facade. The fact is every Republican I voted for increased government size adding more agencies and more entitlement programs, added more regulations and Republican presidents are the only ones since WW2 to increase the debt ratio, while every Democrat has reduced it. Democrats have shown fiscal responsibility with balances budgets, reduced government growth and common sense foreign policies, I'm currently a registered Democrat.
Jun 20, 2012 11:34AM
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Volker: you proved my point... smaller government. Yes, those congress people take a salary, as do other gov employees. They can only take what the private sector can pay. In other words, the private sector is the golden goose that pays for government spending. No matter how you split it up... You cannot have a lot of government spending without a prosperous private sector. That is why it is in governments best interest to promote business. The only ones not sharing that ideology are called Marxist.
Jun 20, 2012 11:31AM
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Comrade Max,

Max, it is you that lie....   The government is now consuming 26% of GDP.   It was 18% when '57 States" took office.

Spending was 3 Trillion, and now is 3.8 Trillion...  Up 26%.

Anyway you look at it government has grown by leaps and bounds.  

So I am calling you a liar, trying to make Obama's sorry record look good with falsehoods...

Stopo the democrat LIES....
Jun 20, 2012 11:31AM
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marc - Are you saying
Hope and Change is now Liar & Crook?
What becomes then, of Change You Can Believe In?

Can it be -- Corruption you can Believe in ?
Cronyism - Hell yeah!
Communism we can all believe in?
What about :

I got your back Mutha Fluffa ?

Jun 20, 2012 11:28AM
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Volker: You are correct, raw materials are purchased, and people who work spend money and pay taxes... But, then again, all that money does not go back into the economy. Some people will save a portion of their income or invest it overseas (that alone creates a lot of seepage). Plus, the raw materials bought may come from another country, and that also results in less money coming back to the taxpayer. I don't think that means we should buy American, because buying American will make the venture more expensive and that brings us back to a zero-sum result.
Jun 20, 2012 11:24AM
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What a fine president you  guys have     can you say transparent? undivided?    LIER and CROOK
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