Gold gains as investors eye European cash infusion
Prices settle higher ahead of the European Central Bank’s $630 billion refinancing operation.
By Ross Tucker
Gold prices were rising Tuesday as investors shrugged off surging U.S. consumer confidence data and focused on the pending launch of a European refinancing operation.
Gold (-GC) for April delivery settled up $13.50 to $1,788.40 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold traded as high as $1,792.70 and as low as $1,767 an ounce while the spot price was gaining $14.60, according to Kitco's gold index.
On Wednesday, the European Central Bank launches its second long-term refinancing operation, which will provide an estimated $630 billion in cheap loans to the region's financial system. A looser monetary policy generally helps gold, as investors fearing inflation of paper currencies turn to the metal for safety. Anticipation of the move was pressuring the dollar and lifting the euro, further buoying gold.
Bullion dealer GoldCore noted in a morning report that prices hit a three-month high of $1,787.11 last week, and that prices seem to be consolidating above $1,750 in preparation for a move to $1,800.
GoldCore also believes demand from central banks will continue to prop up prices. "Western central bank gold buying is likely to be seen in the coming months and years as western central banks realize the absolute folly of selling their gold reserves in recent years, including and especially the Bank of England, and begin to diversify their foreign exchange reserves by buying gold bullion again," said the company in a report.
Nations and international organizations hold 30,877 metric tons of bullion reserves, valued at about $1.77 trillion, according to GoldCore.
Investors were paying little attention to signs that the U.S. consumer is growing increasingly confident about the state of the economy. The Conference Board's measure of consumer confidence soared to a reading of 70.8 in February from 61.5 in January. Economists were looking for a rise to 63 after an originally reported 61.1 in January.
Stocks rebounded after the release even with the downbeat economic news earlier in the morning. The latest measure of durable goods orders from the Commerce Department dropped 4% in January, following a 3.2% rise in December. Orders were expected to fall 1% after an originally reported 3% rise the prior month, according to estimates from Thomson Reuters.
Economists said that while the report was disappointing, a one month reading does not confirm any sort of trend. "We see no evidence of underlying slowing in the industrial economy so we look for a rebound in Feb and the re-emergence of the upward trend over the next couple of months," said Ian Shepherson, U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.
S&P/Case Shiller reported that its 20-city home-price index saw a year-over-year 4% drop in December. Economists were looking for a 3.6% decline. "While we thought we saw some signs of stabilization in the middle of 2011, it appears that neither the economy nor consumer confidence was strong enough to move the market in a positive direction as the year ended," said the release.
The S&P 500 ($INX) is still up an impressive 4.2% for the month as February draws to a close tomorrow. At the same time, the S&P 500's close at a multi-year high on Monday caused some nervousness that a market top may be coming.
Mining stocks were largely following gold prices higher. Among the biggest gainers were First Majestic Silver (AG), rising 6.2% to $21.61, and Great Panther Silver (GPL), rising 4.5% to $2.76. Among leading miners included Goldcorp (GG), up 3.3% to $49.70, and Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), which was adding 2.4% to $37.08.
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[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -4.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.80. The expectation for a lower start for the cash market remains intact with the S&P futures trading 0.3% below fair value. Just not a lot of buying conviction at the moment (not that there's a lot of selling conviction either) as participants have a sense some type of pullback is in order, however slight and short it might/could/will be. The latest dealer statistics from ... More
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