A December to remember for stocks?
The Dow climbs 26 as the big holiday rally rolls on. Topping $90, oil hits a 2-year high. Walgreen and Bed Bath & Beyond earnings impress. Existing-home sales beat estimates.
Stocks managed modest gains today, but the market's December performance is shaping up as the best in at least a decade.
Boosting the market were gains in bank, utility and energy shares -- and hopes for a decent economy in 2011. Real-estate and homebuilding shares were higher after a better-than-expected report on existing-home sales for November.
At the same time, crude oil settled above $90 a barrel for the first time since October 2008. That pushed airline shares lower. Tech shares were weaker, too.
The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) closed up 26 points to 11,559, their best finish since Aug. Aug. 28, 2008. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) added 4 points to 1,259, its best finish since Sept. 3, 2008. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 4 points to 2,671, its best finish since Dec. 28, 2007.
The Dow and Nasdaq are up 5% and 6.9%, respectively, for the month and are looking at their best December performances since 1999. The S&P 500, up 6.5%, is seeing its best December since 1991.
There will be a full day of trading on Thursday, with markets closed Friday for Christmas.
Reports are due on initial jobless claims, personal income and spending, durable-goods orders, new-home sales and consumer confidence.
While there are no major earnings reports on Thursday, results from Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) and Micron Technology (MU) may affect stocks.
Bed Bath & Beyond shares were up 5.5% to $50.30 after hours after earnings beat Street estimates and the company announced a $2 billion share buyback program. Shares had risen 0.3% to $47.67 in regular trading.
Micron shares were off 3.5% after hours to $7.99 after revenue and earnings both missed Street estimates. Shares had risen 1.7% to $8.28 in regular trading.
Futures trading suggests a flat open for stocks.
Stocks making moves
- ARM Holdings (ARMH), up 3.3% to $20.43. Microsoft (MSFT) is set to unveil a version of its Windows computer operating system that runs on the British company’s technology for the first time. Microsoft added 0.4% to $28.19. (Microsoft is the publisher of MSN Money.)
- Carnival (CCL), up 3.1% to $46.59. The cruise-line operator was raised to "buy" from "hold" at Standard & Poor's.
- Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC), up 4.9% to $46.32. The engineering company will expand its metals and mining businesses after agreeing to buy some operations from Norwegian company Aker Solutions (AKKVF) for about $675 million. Aker's American Depositary Units were up 8.1% to $17.04.
- Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD), down 5.6% to $7.57. The doughnut chain was cut to "sell" from "hold" at BGB Research.
- Red Hat (RHT), down 2.5% to $46.70. Fiscal-third-quarter results disappointed investors.
- Xilinx (XLNX), up 0.9% to $28.63. Shares dropped as much as 6.3% after the open after the chip maker said December quarter sales will be down 7% to 9% from the previous quarter. Earlier estimates saw revenue flat to down 4%.
|Energy prices -- New York close|
|Wed.||Tues.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|(per mil. BTU)|
|(per gallon; AAA)|
Crude hits a 2-year high; airline shares fall
Crude oil settled at $90.48 a barrel, up 66 cents from Tuesday. Crude has risen 7.6% this month and 14% for the year. The national average price of gasoline hit $2.997 a gallon today, AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report said. That's up 5% for the month and 13.6% for the year.
Airline shares were falling as oil moved up. American Airlines parent AMR (AMR) dropped 1.2% to $7.95 and is down 7.1% this month. United Continental Holdings (UAL), parent of United and Continental airlines, finished up 0.4% to $24.41. Shares are off 6.5% this week alone and 11.5% for the month.
Gold, meanwhile, was off $1.40 to $1,387.40 an ounce.
Profit-taking hit many non-energy commodities, with silver, copper, cotton and sugar futures all lower.
The 10-year Treasury yield was at 3.346%, up from 3.326% on Tuesday. The dollar was higher against major currencies. There was more concern that the European debt crisis was worsening.
A big bet on 2011
The rally reflects what appears to be enormous confidence that 2011 will be a much better year for the economy and for stocks. Investor sentiment surveys indicate growing bullishness, and volatility indexes, which offer a look at investor fear, are at their lowest levels since April.
The confidence is coming from evidence of stronger manufacturing, a stabilizing banking system and some growth in consumer spending. That has to be offset by the nation's high unemployment levels.
One sort-of downside to today's cheery news came from the latest estimate on third-quarter growth.
The Commerce Department said gross domestic product grew at an annualized 2.6% in the quarter; its prior growth estimate had been 2.5%.
The rub was that economists had expected a 2.7% growth rate.
Existing-home sales rose 5.6% in November from October to a better-than-expected annual rate of 4.68 million units, the National Association of Realtors said. Economists had expected a 4.65-million annualized growth rate.
That was the good news. The bad news is that existing sales were down 27.9% compared with a year ago. Inventories were up 5.4% from a year ago.
Thirty-two percent of buyers were first-time buyers. An additional 19% of buyers were investors. All-cash sales represented 31% of sales.
Broad gains in bank stocks
Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) were the top Dow performers, up 3.1% to $13.38 and 2.8% to $42.16, respectively. They were responsible for about nearly half the Dow's gain.
Their gains, along with gains for Wells Fargo (WFC), US Bancorp (USB) and Northern Trust (NTRS), were part of that continuing rally in financial stocks that has seen the KBW Bank Index ($BKX) rise 4.4% this week and 16.8% in December.
Some of the rally was due to bank stocks' basic cheapess after the 2008 financial crash. Plus, investors are growing more confident about the economy. Takeover speculation is also at work.
Hancock Holding (HBHC) of Gulfport, Miss., is acquiring Whitney Holding (WTNY) of New Orleans in a $1.4 billion stock swap. The deal values Whitney at $15.48 a share, a 42% premium over Tuesday's close. Whitney shares were up 28.8% to $14. Hancock was off 6.6% to $34.58.
Whitney, long known for its conservatism, had been hit hard by soured real-estate loans in Florida.
Regions Financial (RF) was the top S&P 500 performer, up 7.1% to $6.91, a reflection of takeover speculation after the Whitney-Hancock deal.
Last week, Bank of Montreal (BMO) agreed to buy Milwaukee's Marshall & Ilsley (MI) for $4.1 billion. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) will buy Chrysler Financial from Cerberus Capital for $6.3 billion.
Twenty-two of the 30 Dow stocks were higher on the day. The third- and fourth-best performers were General Electric (GE), up 1.7% to $18.06, and Alcoa (AA), also up 1.7% to $15.14.
Fifty-one Nasdaq-100 ($NDX.X) stocks were higher, led by News Corp. (NWSA), up 3.2% to $14.95. The index added 1 point to 2,236.
Walgreen (WAG) was the second-best S&P 500 stock, up 5.5% to $38.85. Strict cost controls helped produce strong fiscal-third-quarter profits. Nike (NKE) was the laggard, down 5.8% to $86.95. New orders were slightly lower than expected in its latest quarterly report. Rival
|Short hits from the markets -- New York close|
|Wed.||Tues.||Month chg.||YTD chg.|
|13-week Treasury bill||0.130%||0.130%||-18.75%||160.00%|
|5-year Treasury note||2.001%||1.962%||36.68%||-25.50%|
|10-year Treasury note||3.346%||3.326%||19.63%||-12.93%|
|30-year Treasury bond||4.446%||4.431%||8.39%||-4.20%|
|U.S. Dollar Index||81.073||81.069||-0.24%||3.65%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in pounds||£0.650||£0.646||1.14%||5.08%|
|Euro in dollars||$1.310||$1.310||0.86%||-8.57%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|U.S. $ in euros||€ 0.763||€ 0.763||-0.86%||9.37%|
|U.S. $ in yen||83.752||83.720||-0.08%||-9.94%|
|U.S. $ in Chinese||6.671||6.658||-0.35%||-2.27%|
|(in U.S. $)|
|(in Canadian $)|
|(per troy ounce)|
|(per troy ounce)|
glad, your heart is in the right place on this one, but that you tube vid really really over-simplifies the current situation. this has been building up since just after WWII and was kicked into high gear by reagan bush, etc.
we were sold a dream that was unsustainable and built on debt debt and more debt. the solutions are as follows:
1. stop electing campaign promises, "contracts" "pledges" and "pinki swears" with America.
2. the military spending must be gutted, bases closes and the military industrial complex torn down
3. entitlements (medicaid, medicare, social security) must be phased out and drastically scaled back
4. tax welfare for the wealthy must be ended and the wealth shift must be clawed back from these elite, crony-capitalist, modern day robber-baron families
5. career politicians and their lobbyist brethren must be sent packing - stop voting this dinosaurs into office term after term after term like sheeple
6. recognize that the party of no just voted in an $800 billion tax welfare system for the wealthy AND cut back the estate tax for the ultra wealthy - here they go with another contract ON America. these guys could teach the mafia a thing or two as they have again put caps in the back of the collective head of America.
7. CEO's made 40 times worker pay pre-reagan but now make 400 times that pay. insist that this STOP with the way you vote, the stocks you buy and the things you purchase.
8. Goldman Sachs is the evil empire, but many of you continue to buy the stock and invest with mutual funds who own it. and you allow the politicians to continue to ride that gravy train.
Wake Up America!!!
When I lost every thing and had to start life over, I never gave up. I pick up 150 year run down home on auction. Do to very poor condition of the house was able pick it up and pay it off in 3 years. Worked pay check to pay check fixing it up. Drive 10 year old cars have no debt. I don't live in a new home but it's paid in full. I dug under house put in foundation and all new floors walls window's. Also insulation put in whole house. Never thought i will be able to do the things I did in this house. Didn't even know what i was doing at times. It all worked out. I know God was there to give me a helping hand. Started at age 53 now 57 almost done. At same time market crashed in 2008 my 401 was all in market funds on side line. In January of 2009 I put all my 401 into market stocks as it was still crashing. As of today I have more than double from bottom. My free time I study everything about this market. With QE and earnings being close to all time highs no place to go but up. Hard work and faith got me here. This market will climb another 30% in 2011. Earnings and QE will continue for least another year. Looks like companies will start adding employee's early in the next Quarter. For all gloom and doom just keep sitting on side lines. We all have to work hard and never give up. Life is never easy. Have a Merry Christmas, next year will be great.
bp oil spill ? get with it people we are paying for it
Be safe, snowy roofs are a hazard, you hate to hurt yourself, doing a good deed. You''ll give those older folks a heart attack. Take care.
Gas is more than twice as high over sea's. Ask you self why is bigger always better. 20 years back the SUV's we drive today was a small school bus back than. Now we have 2 or 3 in every family. If we were worried about gas, why do these cars get bigger every year. We use excuse that bigger cars protect us. If they were all smaller you wouldn't have to worry about that. No one is worried about kids driving and texting at same time for them or us. Maybe next generation we will all be driving tractor trailers. We cry about every thing and do nothing to change it. This is still the me generation. Try helping some one out some time. It might change your world. Last week spent one day removing snow off roof for 80+ couple. Contractor wanted $600 to remove snow. I did it for nothing. Made me feel good helping someone. I am not a young man. Just knew it was right thing to do. Funny thing was couldn't sleep after removing snow from my own roof. Kept thinking about this older couple needed help. I didn't even know until after I removed snow off there roof that they tried getting contractor to do it. She told me she prayed to God for help. Guess that's why I couldn't sleep. Point is Glad I did it, never felt better. They keep e-mailing me thanking me. We all need to help ourselves first, than give a little back. It doesn't always take money. We all have some free time. Again this is Christmas. What a time to give a little. God Bless everyone on this board!!!
the market is going up with increased confidence for 2011. Well, we just had a $150 billion dollar federal deficit for November that works out to about $1,000 per working stiff, and for just one month. So tell me what economy would look like if we subtracted $1000 from every working person's income for November. Oil is hitting $90 and all is good on Wall Street. God bless Goldman Sachs.
You must be the real life of the party.
Do you wear a lot of lampshades?
I have also had two tremendous years in this "shell game." I am cautiously optimistic moving forward. But like many of you, remain nimble and sharp, spending a lot time researching, and being on top of my portfolio.
Happy Holidays. And congratulations for being someone who tames fear.
Oil hasn't gone up at all, the fed is destroying the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar.
The sky is not falling, beware the municipal and state defaults that are looming ahead. How can we have a double dip when we haven't gotten out of the first dip yet? I've been making a ton, but when the music stops make sure you have a chair.
One final thought for the year... God bless you, God bless you every one
We just needed a little more time to climb back out of the deep deep hole the last outfit dug... Good times ahead...
The market will do what the market has done.
So many whiners in this world.
We will collapse just from all the cry babies.
If your not on the right side of the market moves, get there. Quit complaining to us. I don't care!! Sit down and study the market, read books, read commentaries and take everything with a grain of salt. Because the market won't do what the "experts" say it will do.
Yea!!! Oil is at $90 a gallon. Didn't hear much complaining when Gold went up. Maybe gas will hit $5 or $10 a gallon. Maybe that is what it will take to get us off the pump! Sure will make hybrids and electric cars more attractive. My bicycle still works so I'm set!!
And to all a Merry Christmas !!!
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[BRIEFING.COM] Precious metals are weak this morning on growing speculation of a Fed taper following strong economic data released earlier today. The GDP was revised up to 3.6% in the second estimate of 3Q2013 GDP from 2.8% in the advance release. That is up from a 2.5% gain in the second quarter and the largest increase since growing 3.9% in 2Q2010. Feb gold pulled back from its session high of $1229.70 and is now trading 2.4% lower at $1217.20. Mar silver dipped to a session low of $19.22 ... More
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