Market DispatchesMarket Dispatches

Dow, S&P 500 finish at 5-year highs

The Dow gains 54 as the Bernanke rally continues, despite a downgrade of US debt and profit-taking. Crude oil briefly tops $100. Apple hits new highs. UnitedHealth, not Apple, will replace Kraft in the Dow.

By Charley Blaine Sep 14, 2012 12:52PM
Charley BlaineUpdated: 7:40 p.m. ET

Stocks took off at the open today and finished at fresh multiyear highs, despite seeing gains trimmed by a downgrade of U.S. debt and a big bout of profit-taking.

The Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) finished at levels last seen in December 2007. The blue chips had been up as many as 113 points at 10 a.m. ET but lost a bit more than half the gain after the downgrade to AA- from AA by Egan-Jones, a smaller credit-rating agency that tends to act before others. Another weight on stocks may have come when crude oil (-CL) in New York briefly topped $100 a barrel, due in part to Middle Eastern turmoil.

The rally was a quieter version of Thursday's big surge, set off by the Federal Reserve's decision to launch a new open-ended economic stimulus program. The Fed expects to buy $40 billion a month in mortgage-backed securities until it sees a meaningful improvement in the nation's job market. Bill Gross, the legendary bond-fund manager, suggested the Fed wants the unemployment rate to drop to 7% from the current 8.1%.

Apple (AAPL) hit a new intraday high of $696.98 on the momentum from the introduction of its new iPhone. The shares closed at $691.28, up $8.30, a record close. AT&T (T) and Verizon Communications (VZ) were lower after shares of both were downgraded -- because of the subsidies they will pay to Apple to get the newest iPhone. Home Depot (HD) closed up $1.16 to $59.46, a 12-year high, after announcing it was shutting down its last seven big-box stores in China but will retain an online presence and maintain some specialty stores.

The Dow closed up 54 points to 13,593, its best close since finishing at 13,727 on Dec. 10, 2007. The index had reached as high as 13,653. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) gained 6 points to 1,466, its best close since Dec. 31, 2007. The index peaked at 1,475. The Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) was up 28 points to 3,184, its highest close since Nov. 13, 2000. The gains for the major averages were their fourth in a row.

Article continues below.
The Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX), heavily influenced by Apple, was up 24 points to 2,855. The index had reached as high as 2,865. The Russell 2000 Index ($RUT.X) nearly hit a new intraday high before finishing at 864.60.

Even if the market pulled back from early highs, it has become quite vulnerable to a pullback, and that should surprise no one. Stocks have risen sharply since June. The Dow is up 12% since June 4, with the S&P 500 up 14.6% and the Nasdaq up 15.9%.

Plus, all three indexes look overbought. Their relative strength indexes are all above 70; a reading that high suggests a security or index is overbought.

The Dow was up 2.2% for the week, with the S&P 500 up 1.9% and the Nasdaq up 1.5%. For the year, the Dow is up 11.3%, with the S&P 500 up 16.6% and the Nasdaq up 22.2%.
Markets for the week



9/14/2012

9/7/2012

% chg.

YTD chg.
Dow Industrials

13,593.37

13,306.64

2.15%

11.26%
S&P 500

1,465.77

1,437.92

1.94%

16.55%
Nasdaq 

3,183.95

3,136.42

1.52%

22.22%
Russell 2000

864.70

842.27

2.66%

16.71%
Crude oil 

$99.00

$96.42

2.68%

0.17%
(per barrel)

0.00

0.00

0.00%

0.00%
U.S. Dollar Index 

78.84

80.23

-1.74%

-2.09%
10-yr. Treasury

1.87%

1.66%

12.58%

-0.05%
Gold

$1,772.70

1,740.50

1.85%

13.14%

Crude oil and gold move up
Crude oil in New York was up 58 cents to $98.89 a barrel after reaching as high as $100.42. Crude hasn't closed above $100 since May 3. Brent crude, the North Sea benchmark oil, was up 78 cents to $116.66 a barrel.

The national average retail price of gasoline was $3.871, according to according to AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report, up from Thursday's $3.869 and up 16% this quarter.

Gold (-GC) settled up 60 cents to $1,772.70 an ounce and was up 1.9% for the week. Silver (-SI) slipped 12.2 cents to $34.66 an ounce. It gained 2.9% on the week. Copper added 12.25 cents to $3.8325 a pound. It rose 5.1% for the week -- and was a direct beneficiary of the Fed decision.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a big influence on mortgage rates, hit 1.878%, up from Thursday's 1.756%. The 30-year Treasury yield moved over 3% for the first time since May 11.

Energy prices -- New York close (updated)



Fri.

Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Crude oil (-CL)

$99.00

$98.31

2.62%

0.17%
(per barrel)











Heating oil (-HO)

$3.2395

$3.2113

1.86%

11.16%
(per gallon)











Natural gas (-NG)

$2.9430

$3.0370

5.14%

-1.54%
(per mil. BTU)











Unleaded gasoline (-RB)

$3.0156

$2.9622

1.44%

13.48%
(per gallon)











Brent crude 

$116.66

$115.88

1.82%

8.64%
(per barrel)











Retail gasoline

$3.8710

$3.8690

1.10%

18.16%
(per gallon; AAA)












Housing, metals and energy stocks lead the market
Housing, steel, copper and gold and energy stocks were the market leaders.

Ryland (RYL) was up $1.70 to $31.52. It hit a 52-week high of $31.55. Alcoa (AA) rose 21 cents to $9.84. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) was up 85 cents to $42.64. Newmont Mining (NEM) rose $1.75 to $57.20.

Caterpillar (CAT), up $2.49 to $93.17, was the top performer among the 30 Dow stocks.

UnitedHealth will join the Dow
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) will replace Kraft Foods (KFT) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average after the close on Sept. 21, S&P Dow Jones Indexes announced this morning. Kraft is spinning off its North American grocery business.

The change is the Dow's first since June 2009 when General Motors (GM) and Citigroup (C) were replaced by Cisco Systems (CSCO) and Travelers Companies (TRV).

UnitedHealth jumped to as high as $55.27 but fell back to $54.25, up 36 cents. Kraft was off 20 cents to $39.93.

There had been speculation that Apple might go into the Dow, but that would have required a huge stock split, possibly as big as 10-for-1. That's because the Dow is price-weighted. That means the higher the stock price, the more influence a stock has on the index.

IBM, the priciest Dow stock, was up 45 cents to $206.81.

Higher fuel prices boost retail sales
U.S. retail sales grew 0.9% in August, the most in six months, boosted by demand for autos and higher gasoline prices, as well as back-to-school sales. Economists had expected a 0.7%.

Industrial production fell 1.2% in August, its biggest monthly percentage drop in more than three years, in part because of Hurricane Isaac but also because of a big drop in auto production.

The University of Michigan-Thomson Reuters consumer-sentiment index rose to 79.2 in a first reading this month, the highest level since May. Economists had expected a decline to 73.5 from the final August reading of 74.3.

Next week: Housing starts, existing-home sales, Oracle and FedEx earnings
The economy will exert the most influence on markets next week.

The Empire Manufacturing Index from the New York Federal Reserve Bank on Monday and the Philadelphia Fed Index from the Philly Fed on Thursday will offer sketches of manufacturing health.

The Commerce Department will report on housing starts and building permits for August on Wednesday. The National Association of Realtors will weigh in with existing-home sales for August on Thursday.

Friday brings The Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators.

Watch to see how the energy markets react both to the Fed's stimulus move and to the Middle East turmoil.

The big earnings reports will be FedEx (FDX) on Tuesday and Oracle (ORCL) after Thursday's close. FedEx has already cut guidance because of weakness in Asian business.

Also reporting:

Wednesday: Adobe Systems (ADBE), General Mills (GIS), and office-furniture makers Steelcase (SCS) and Herman Miller (MLHR).

Thursday: Carmax (KMX), ConAgra Foods (CAG), RiteAid (RAD) and Tibco Software (TIBX).

Short hits from the markets -- New York close



Fri.

Thur.

Month chg.

YTD chg.
Treasury yields











13-week Treasury bill

0.1000%

0.100%

11.11%

900.00%
5-year Treasury note 

0.715%

0.654%

19.97%

-13.86%
10-year Treasury note

1.870%

1.756%

19.72%

-0.05%
30-year Treasury bond

3.088%

2.967%

15.05%

6.89%
Currencies











U.S. Dollar Index

78.841

79.237

-2.92%

-2.09%
British pound

1.6231

1.6158

2.16%

4.46%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in pounds

£0.616

£0.619

-2.11%

-4.27%
Euro in dollars

$1.31

$1.30

4.36%

1.46%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. $ in euros

€ 0.761

€ 0.770

-4.18%

-1.44%
U.S. $ in yen 

78.37

77.50

-0.16%

1.65%
U.S. $ in Chinese

6.34

6.33

-0.39%

0.20%
yuan











Canada dollar

$1.034

$1.033

1.90%

5.36%
(in U.S. $)

 








U.S. dollar 

$0.968

$0.968

-1.87%

-5.08%
(in Canadian $)

 








Commodities

 

 

 

 
Gold (-GC)

$1,772.70

$1,772.10

5.04%

13.14%
(per troy ounce)

 








Copper (-HG)

$3.833

$3.710

10.86%

11.54%
(per pound)

 








Silver (-SI)

$34.6560

$34.7780

10.22%

24.15%
(per troy ounce)

 








Wheat (-ZW)

$9.2425

$9.0200

3.91%

41.59%
(per bushel)

 








Corn (-ZC)

$7.8200

$7.7375

-2.22%

20.96%
(per bushel)

 








Cotton 

$0.7590

0.7353

-1.76%

-17.21%
(per pound)

 








Coffee

$1.8110

1.7885

9.92%

-21.14%
(per pound)

 








Crude oil (-CL)

$99.00

$98.31

2.62%

0.17%
(per barrel)










 
400Comments
Sep 14, 2012 2:46PM
avatar
Repulbicans maybe you should stop making fun of electric cars and hybrids 

Hurts when gas goes up doesn't it lol


Sep 14, 2012 2:46PM
avatar
Hillary is saying............buck up................LOL what a fake!!!! Libya is an Obama failure!!!! Obama calls for you to give up even more..........!! I bet you will NEVER hear him say......."we should have stayed home and protected America" or "I'm sorry for what I have done to America"...! He will never admit it!!!
Sep 14, 2012 2:46PM
avatar
I hope Barry is re-elected so he can blame the clown who was in charge the previous four years for all of our problems. Oops I forgot that was Barry.
Sep 14, 2012 2:44PM
avatar
BLUESCAR

OBAMA HAS SAID HE WANTED $5.00 PER GALLON GAS !!!!

WHY SO SHOCKED ???????
Sep 14, 2012 2:43PM
avatar
Enough with the pessimism .. is America full of whiners???  Blame Bush, Obama, Romney, Bernanke .... don't blame "me.' (the whiner)
Sep 14, 2012 2:41PM
avatar
Romney has flip flopped on every issue from abortion to Health Care, so He freely admitted every thing He has done was wrong, not the kind of solid leadership America needs.
Sep 14, 2012 2:41PM
avatar
If the dollar is de-valued enough strong exports could create thousands of new jobs....... of course it will be a 3rd world country so good times
Sep 14, 2012 2:40PM
avatar
DIDN'T OBAMA RE-DIRECT THE  N A S A  MISSION  AND MAKE IT A MUSLIM OUTREACH 

ORGANIZATION ???????

THIS WOULD BE HYSTERICAL IF IT WASN'T SO SERIOUS
Sep 14, 2012 2:39PM
avatar
Wow print more money to give to other countries. Oil prices surge like the American people just received a check in the mail. All I see is more rising gas prices from surging oil prices. Now how does this help us?
Sep 14, 2012 2:35PM
avatar
I hope someone fixes the statement about Home Depot in this article. It implies Home Depot only has 7 stores, and is closing them. They left out "in China". That's kind of critical to the accuracy of the article.
Sep 14, 2012 2:35PM
avatar
This wonderful "Arab Spring"  that Mr. Obama wished for has turned into "the American Fall!"
Sep 14, 2012 2:34PM
avatar
Fed buys crippled mortgages from their inbred cousins at the mega banks and wall street is euphoric - go figure.
Sep 14, 2012 2:33PM
avatar
Republican logic question of the day!!!!

If we had 8 years of lowering taxes on the rich and cutting regulations and that crashed the economy completely 

How would more of this fix the economy??????

I can't wait for your response......should be a good laugh
Sep 14, 2012 2:32PM
avatar
I am hearing,......"Nearer my god to thee", as they bring home bodies of sacrifice, which should have NEVER happened, this is how Obama protects???.........I think what has happened in this great country in the last 4 years, and in my lifetime, I have never seen such division, disfunction,  and contempt for Americans!!! Wake up Americans.............Obama is destructive for this country!!!!
Sep 14, 2012 2:30PM
avatar
I don't think QE3 is for the greedy or wall street or political gain or the economy.
Sep 14, 2012 2:30PM
avatar
printing money to help the economy will not going to work for the benefit of the peoples the more government print the value of the currency will loose power and give way to high commodity and fuel prices that peoples will not afford to buy because the wages is not getting up with the cost of living the only business that benefit from cheap money is the stock market that they can borrow money with no interest and run the stock .businesses have the opportunity to borrow money with low interest but the have nothing to do with it with slow market they have not match return of it  high inflation will break from printing money activity  and this situation will be very danger for the economy and for the economic future of the peoples
Sep 14, 2012 2:29PM
avatar
Its so funny how many salty republicans there are about the stock market and economy

Listen your last guy had his chance and wad horrible....Obama has been better in every way...Hurts doesn't it

Even unemployment has not changed much under obama.  If you don't like 8% unemployment then maybe you shouldn't have elected a president who took unemployment from 3.5% to 8  % in Bush
Sep 14, 2012 2:20PM
avatar
Lets review, QE1 and QE2 didn't work so lets do QE3.  All QE3 has done in one day is devalue the dollar, start a creep up in food prices and send oil/gasoline skyrocketing.  Makes sense to me.  Also, did you notice that industrial production is down again?  What is Bernake and the Fed thinking?  How can QE3 possibly help our economy and job growth?  Let the markets and the economy correct themselves.  Everytime government intervenes they screw it up worse than it was.  I think it is time to vote for hope and change again, only lets elect somebody else this time.
Sep 14, 2012 2:15PM
avatar
Brutus, why did the Republican party vote for a well known Socialist to be their Party leader. Romney was the forerunner of the Health Care takeover movement, socializing medicine in Massachusetts?
Sep 14, 2012 2:12PM
avatar
A rally is a rally is a rally ... no matter who or what drives it,
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