Seniors' support for the GOP is sliding
This key donor group is increasingly disillusioned with Republicans, and that could hurt fundraising efforts.
A sea change is apparently going on in the gray-haired set, with many turning sharply against the Republican Party, the Carville-Greenberg Memo reports.
That may spell trouble for the GOP's coffers, given that AARP cardholders have been reliable supporters and are more active donors than younger voters. But last month, just 28% of seniors said they view Republicans favorably, down from 43% in 2011, wrote Erica Seifert, a senior associate at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research.
That may have big implications on the budgets of GOP candidates. After all, 27% of seniors say they've made a political contribution, more than any other age group, according to the Pew Internet & American Life Project. The shift started in summer 2011, when Paul Ryan, R-Wis., touted a plan to privatize Medicare, Seifert wrote.
"Since then, the Republican Party has come to be defined by much more than its desire to dismantle Medicare. To voters from the center right to the far left, the GOP is now defined by resistance, intolerance, intransigence, and economics that would make even the Robber Barons blush," she noted. (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research includes Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg as its chief executive.)
More than half of seniors now say the Republican Party is too extreme on issues such as gay rights and providing aid to the poor, the poll found.
That should have Republicans worried as they near the 2014 midterm elections.
"I don't think any Republican pollster who's looking at the numbers is sanguine about the state of the Republican brand at this point," Republican pollster Whit Ayres told The Atlantic. "You are going to see the impact of the damaged brand in every demographic group."
Still, more seniors say they'll vote Republican than Democrat, at 46% to 41%. But that's a smaller gap than in 2010, when 59% of seniors voted for the GOP and more than 33% backed the Democrats.
In the 2011-12 election cycle, the GOP enjoyed a slight fundraising edge, counting more than 550,000 individual donors to the Democrats' 513,000 donors, according to OpenSecrets.org.
If seniors continue to turn against the GOP, those dollars might stop flowing toward Republican candidates.
THRASHERS:This isn`t the Republican party of the Reagan years.He could disagree
without being a nasty SOB.The GOP of this era is bitter,hateful,dishonist and lies
constantly.Reagan would never support Palin and Newt.Rush is the voice of the
GOP today.Have you ever heard Republicans disagree with him?
You're referencing an article written by JAMES CARVILLE! He's the political operative who invented the campaign slogan "It's the economy, stupid."
Anything written by him is not news; it's campaign literature. Furthermore, the poll was also conducted by Carville (though the link from Carville's article doesn't take you directly to the survey, only the polling website). Following the link and browsing around, I failed to find the right survey. Many polls are push polls designed to elicit the desired result. I cannot be sure this was a push poll but it seems likely.
So, please check to see if the questions used in the survey were reasonable. Also, watch out for the possibility that the survey was just of AARP members instead of the general public.
First of all, this so called poll is suspicious. Seniors, including me, know that half a trillion $ will be sucked out of their medicare over 10 years to pay for the beauracrcy being created to adminster ACA, over 110,000 employees among 13 NEW government agencies. These funds are not going to provide care.
Seniors are the ones most often needing so called medical devices and therefore will pay the taxes.
If there is any validity to this poll, seniors are not very well informed or these were people were in advanced staes of aging and likely in assisted care.
People need to vote for the best person,regardless of party.I walked away from the GOP
in 2004 because of their lies.However, while I agree mostly with Obama,most Democrats
don`t have enough spine for me.
MIKEINMO:I agree.A conservative would conserve the environment,conserve the military,
conserve natural resourses.Not nation build and drill baby drill.I left the GOP when they
became such a nasty,racist organization with no solutions and blamed everything on the
Dems.Teddy Roosevelt was a conservative.Certainly not Newt,Rush or Palin.
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