US deficit dives -- but not for long
The Congressional Budget Office says new taxes and spending cuts bridge the divide but may hinder economic growth.
The Congressional Budget Office projected Tuesday that the gap between taxes and spending will fall to $845 billion this year, making the first time it has limboed under $1 trillion since 2008, before President Barack Obama took office.
The fiscal cliff gets half the credit on this one, as the tax increases imposed on Jan. 1 helped whittle down the deficit, but the Washington Post points out that the block of spending cuts to the Pentagon and elsewhere commonly known as the sequester will bridge the gap as well.
Unfortunately, the CBO also says, those measures will shave about 1.25 percentage points off economic growth -- as the Post's Wonkblog has charted here -- and should cost the nation about 1.5 million jobs.
In an attempt to avoid that hit, the president has asked Congress to replace the sequester spending cuts slated to go into effect March 1 with a temporary debt-reduction package that would eliminate deductions and loopholes for the oil industry and wealthy Americans and cut farm subsidies. Republican lawmakers offered their response: Good luck with that.
House Speaker John Boehner said Tuesday that his party would oppose any further tax hikes and said the sequester was Obama's idea in the first place. House Budget Committee chairman and failed GOP vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan has called CBO's deficit projection "unsustainable" and touted a plan to The Associated Press that would balance the budget by 2023, but would cut $1 trillion in spending that year alone.
Beyond 2013, the CBO is predicting mixed results at best. In 2014, economic growth should hit 3.5% by the end of the year. Government spending cuts, however, should push the jobless rate above 7.5% for a sixth straight year, the CBO said, continuing the longest stretch in 70 years with unemployment that high. Still, the deficit should fall to roughly $430 billion by 2015, which would reduce it to 2.4% of the overall economy.
Meanwhile, the CBO suggests that spending on health care programs, including Medicare, Medicaid, child health insurance and new insurance subsidies, will continue to increase. Though Medicare and Medicaid spending fell 5% below CBO projections last year, about 27 million people will be insured thanks to the new health care law by 2022. That could bring the deficit back up to $1 trillion by the end of the next 10 years.
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Both parties are still focused on their personal agendas passing out kool-aid to everyone, but not focusing on Americas needs. Both sides are throwing up large smoke screens to keep people distracted from the upcoming financial collapse. IE. gun control, the deficit, immigration, Obama Care, tax the rich, entitlements, Gay rights, abortion, on and on. These are all important issues, but Americas house is on fire and both parties are arguing over the type of carpet we need. We have to put the fire out first, Jobs, Jobs Jobs but know one is focusing on most important issue. At this rate Americas house will be burnt down but we will have a real nice roll of carpeting sitting on the front lawn. We are in big trouble.
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[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages hover near their session lows with the S&P 500 down 0.5%.
The Federal Reserve has released the minutes from its May 1 meeting. The minutes indicated that many participants believed more economic progress needs to be seen before quantitative easing can be slowed down. However, some members did express their willingness to slow asset purchases as early as June, provided economic conditions warrant the change.
With regards to inflation, the ... More
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