Silver coins the new hot haven investment?
The US Mint has temporarily halted the sale of silver coins. Investors may be snapping them up as a refuge from continuing economic uncertainty.
Is there a real silver shortage, and are we seeing a modern silver rush? The answers to those questions might depend on whom you listen to.
Last week, the U.S. Mint halted sales of its 2013 American Eagle silver bullion coins.
Reuters quotes an email sent by the Mint to authorized dealers on Thursday saying that sales of coin will resume at the end of the month after inventory has been restocked.
So what's going on? One expert thinks investors are snapping up the coins as a refuge from continuing economic uncertainty in the U.S.
"It is easy to infer that some element of the fear trade may be at play," Joni Teves, an analyst at UBS AG, wrote in an emailed report over the weekend. "We view the chunky sales of American Eagle coins more a function of seasonality than anything else. It is important to keep an eye on U.S. coin sales in the coming months to see if volumes remain elevated as the debt ceiling showdown plays out."
And Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Copenhagen's Saxo Bank, told the Oman Daily Observer that several international factors are apparently in play when it comes to silver's current volatility. The current global economic downturn, he says, is fueling investor demand in precious metals. Conversely, improving economic data is increasing worldwide demand for commodities like silver -- which has value as both an industrial metal and a financial investment.
A recent report released by the Silver Institute, produced by Thomson Reuters GFMS, projects an estimated 6% rise in demand for industrial silver. And that rise in silver prices, fueled by "a steadily improving economic outlook, strong growth in the automobile sector, and a recovery in the housing and construction industry," could take industrial silver to a new record high next year.
Some market analysts say that while there’s no physical shortage of silver, those holding silver aren't interested in selling at current prices.
Seeking Alpha reports that, as of the middle of last week, "silver holdings across all silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs) increased by 59.4 million troy ounces over the last 12 months" -- which means current holdings are about 8% of the annual silver supply.
And commodities analysts at Frankfurt's Commerzbank, according to ResourceInvestor.com, said last week saw "the largest inflows into silver ETFs since December 2010, taking total ETF holdings to a new record of nearly 20,000 tonnes."
"With silver, you can benefit from both sides: its safe-haven status and the fact that it’s also an industrial commodity," Frederique Dubrion, president and chief investment officer of Geneva's Blue Star Advisors SA, told Bloomberg. "Given some positive leading indicators, especially in the U.S., investors would probably prefer turning to silver rather than to gold."
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Guess if I was going to buy silver it wouldn't be 1 troy oz. coins for $63 dollars or much more then a couple of bucks over actual value.....Price of spot that day, or maybe average for the week ??
Even 10% is way too big of premium to give anyone, including a dealer....
If you are turning this into a Numismatic thing, then go for it, but even then, I see no realistic value much over spot if they mint 10s or 100s of thousands of these...
PT Barnum had you spotted decades ago...And you are still walking around.
Much better ways to own or invest in Silver or PGMs....imo.
But keep believing the Hype and good luck..
$63 each!! I bought two for $35.50 each from a local coin shop in Memphis, TN last week. I also called two other coin shops to check their prices before making my purchase. Prices among the three shops ranged from $35-$37 each. And all three had plenty to sell; however, I bought them on the day they recieved their 1st shipment from the mint. The $63 price must be for Silver Eagle proofs, but who would buy a proof as a hedge??? I buy the uncirculated coins like the one pictured in the article and not proofs.
I've been collecting Silver Eagles since they came out in 1986. The value has gone up dramatically over the years. There was a shortage in 1996, which made the '96 coin extremely valuable. That coin and the rise in silver prices has more than paid for my collection. And, they're beautiful coins.
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