A big November for automakers

Damage from Sandy, growing consumer confidence and a calmer political landscape help auto sales over the month.

By Bruce Kennedy Dec 3, 2012 3:14PM

Image: Salesman talking to woman in automobile showroom -- Adam Gault/OJO Images/Getty ImagesUpdated 4:48 p.m. ET

Less political uncertainty, signs of a recovering economy and a need to replace vehicles damaged by Superstorm Sandy have combined to produce very good November sales numbers for automakers.

Industry analysts estimate that more than 1.1 million vehicles were sold last month in the U.S. -- putting sales numbers for 2012 at more than 15 million, or what could be the highest yearly sales rate since before the start of the Great Recession in 2008.

The Big Three automakers all reported strong monthly numbers -- with Ford (F) up 6%, General Motors (GM) gaining 3.4% and Chrysler -- reporting its best November sales since 2007, up 14%.

Toyota (TM) reported its November sales figures up 17%, Nissan's (NSANY) sales increased by 12.9% and Volkswagen (VLKAY) rose over 29%. Hyundai Motor America (HYMLF) reported a gain of 8%, its best November since the brand first came to the United States more than 25 years ago.

Overall, the industry's sales rate for light vehicles came in at 15.54 million on an adjusted annualized basis, according to industry tracking firm Autodata. That's up from 13.55 million a year earlier, and is the highest rate since January of 2008. Total unit deliveries rose 15% from a year earlier and 4.7% from October 2012.

"The Black Friday sales period once again provided a strong boost for Hyundai in the back half of the month and helped break our all-time November sales record," said Dave Zuchowski, Hyundai's executive vice president of sales, in a press statement. “We were also very encouraged by the strong sales recovery experienced in those northeastern regions that were ravaged by Superstorm Sandy and expect continued momentum there for the balance of the year."

According to the Hartford Courant, a recent analysis of insurance claims now suggests Sandy damaged or destroyed an estimated 230,000 vehicles.

Sandy also slowed down car sales at the end of October as the storm hit, so new-car lots faced pent-up demand in November -- while automakers offered new incentives.

"The fact that November sales have bounced back from a sluggish October suggests that those who lost cars or who deferred purchases after Hurricane Sandy are already getting back on the road," said Edmunds.com senior analyst Jessica Caldwell in report quoted by the Detroit Free Press. "Fortunately for these buyers, they entered a market in which holiday and year-end deals were in full swing and loan rates hovered near all-time lows."

Americans also are feeling a bit better about the economy. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 73.7 in November from 73.1 in October -- its highest levels in more than four years.

"Over the past few months, consumers have grown increasingly more upbeat about the current and expected state of the job market," said Lynn Franco, the board's director of economic indicators, "and this turnaround in sentiment is helping to boost confidence.”

Consumer confidence was also being helped by a resolution of the U.S. presidential election -- and apparent indifference to the contentious financial wrangling in Washington, D.C.

"We don't expect any major impact on auto sales from the ongoing fiscal cliff discussions," TrueCar.com senior analyst Jesse Toprak reported last week.

"Even with all the talk of a looming fiscal cliff, Chrysler Group is well positioned for a strong sales finish to the year," said Reid Bigland, Chrysler’s head of U.S. sales and CEO of the Dodge brand, in a press release. "We are expecting a strong December as the industry continues to recover from the East Coast hurricane and consumers continue to respond to our popular year-end Big Finish event."


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Dec 3, 2012 4:05PM
'signs of a recovering economy', heard that for 4 yrs now, and it's just as untrue now as it was then and you idiot obamazombies here can tout that all you want, the economy is still in a major depression/recession whatever you want to call it, unemployment is 18% U6, still, and there's ZERO recovery, trillions in debt that we will never get out from under, graduating students still can't find work and themselves are in serious debt, but at least you scum that voted for this bastard obama again will suffer in this nightmare economy along with the rest of us, you've gained nothing and are gonna pay dearly for your mistake, new  taxes, staggering gas prices, more unemployment due to obamacare nightmare coming to threaten businesses with mandates fine and taxes,  inflation etc... and I'm soooooo glad!
Dec 3, 2012 3:40PM
Repo man will be the next top job growth sector in the not too distant future. Just like the housing boom, standards on loan qualifications to purchase a new car have been absurdly lowered to increase sales. Another recipe for disaster.
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