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How low can interest rates go?

The Fed's announcement spells more bad news for savers -- but good news for homebuyers.

By MSN Money Partner Jan 26, 2012 12:13PM

This post comes from AnnaMaria Andriotis at partner site SmartMoney.

 

SmartMoney on MSN MoneySaving money may soon get even less rewarding. The Federal Reserve's announcement Wednesday to keep short-term interest rates near zero through 2014 may result in still lower interest rates on bank accounts, analysts say.

 

How low? Rates on savings accounts may drop closer to 0% over the next 12 to 18 months, says Dan Geller, executive vice president at Market Rates Insight.

 

Even though the federal funds rate has been stuck at 0% to 0.25% since late 2008, banks continue to lower interest rates on their accounts. The average rate on savings accounts is 0.36%, down from 0.4% in November, according to MRI. One-year and five-year certificates of deposit have an average yield of 0.33% and 1.57%, respectively.

 

Even worse, savers will have to put up with nearly nonexistent returns for at least another three years before they can see any meaningful improvement, says Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com. Post continues below.

What's a saver to do?

In general, advisers still recommend that emergency funds -- money to cover about six months' worth of living expenses -- be held in bank accounts where the principal is 100% guaranteed. Given that rates are expected to stay low for the long run, stashing that money in a CD comes with less risk, because the saver is unlikely to miss out on rising rates elsewhere and because several banks, including Bank of America and PNC Bank, allow customers to withdraw money from a CD without incurring a penalty. Other banks, like Ally Bank and Sovereign Bank, are telling customers that if rates do happen to rise, they'll raise the rate on their existing CD as well.

 

For customers on the hunt for safety, yield and liquidity, one account stands out: Capital One is offering a 1.01% rate that's guaranteed for one year on its high-yield checking account. Meanwhile, the highest rate on savings and money market accounts is 0.90% at Sallie Mae and Discover Bank, according to Bankrate.com.

 

Experts also suggest looking at community banks and credit unions that may promote higher rates in an attempt to land more customers.

 

Good news for homebuyers

While the rewards of saving are meager, borrowers may be able to benefit from these lower rates, at least in the near term. The Fed is hoping its rates will stimulate lending, in particular nudging more would-be homeowners into signing up for mortgages. Because the Fed is keeping interest rates low, banks are more willing to lower the rates they charge on mortgages, says Geller, which could lead to more lending activity.

 

Mortgage rates are already at record lows, but Geller says borrowers could see them drop even further, with mortgage rates falling by as much as 50 basis points. Here's why: In general, banks have at least a 3-percentage-point spread between the rates they offer on their deposit accounts and the rates they charge on mortgages, says Geller. That spread is currently at 3.5 percentage points, he says, so it still has some room to drop.

 

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65Comments
Jan 27, 2012 12:16PM
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If you want safe, secure and not have to pay taxes try looking at Municipal Bonds or Muni Bond Funds. They are insured and exempt from Federal Income Tax. If it is true that interest rates are going to stay low Muni's are a good alternative.
Jan 27, 2012 12:14PM
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Hogwash.  There still ways to make a little money safely.  Put your money in TIPS, which are treasuries.  Since the rates are frozen for the next 36 months, you'll get about a 5% return yearly.  A whole lot better that CD's.  Also GNMA's, any brokerage firm sells them.  We know from Bernanke that rates are going to remain low, as long as that is true the backed funds are perfect.  When rates are raised in 3 years unload them.  This article is very misleading. 
Jan 27, 2012 12:02PM
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Zero interest rates until 2014 means a stock market that will rise (after an near term pullback) and gold and commodities will continue to go up.  Your home value will drop or level out unless Washington does something to artificially prop up the market.  For the 30,000,000 of you that are underwater and struggling to make the payments my advice is to LET IT GO!  You signed a mortgage that says you will faithfully make your payments each month but if you fail to do so the bank gets the house ....... let 'em have it!  It is their collateral!  Its not your fault that the Wall Street whores caused the housing market to drop so much!  Greedy Bastards!  Now it's your turn to play the Collateralized Debt Swap game!  

(PS - this advice only applies to those of you in non-recourse states.  If you are in a recourse state you are up the proverbial creek without a paddle.  My advice there is to move to a non-recourse state in the future where the bank can't keep coming after you.  Consult your attorney).
Jan 27, 2012 10:09AM
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Fast Frog, The US has no intention of bailing out european countries. Not sure where you get your facts. What he is doing is tkaing US dollars and buying YEN and Chineese currency, which makes us money. And in turn the China and Japan are guaranteeing that the principle will be protected. i.e. we buy $1000 of currency, we will be returned minimum of $1000 U.S. dont be ignorant
Jan 27, 2012 10:03AM
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Hey 2 Night  (BlyNer)you are the epitimy of what i just wrote about. Obviously you take one section of what I wrote and blow it out of proportion. Maybe if you understood basic economics you would understand but it must have flew over your little head. Ill simplify it for you since not everyone splurged on cars and houses. I was trying to say that people lived beyond their means for many years. when we all have too much debt how do you expect things to keep going the way they go. Yes there many people who can not afford things and it might be difficult and I hope they are doing all they can do. like wise there are also many people that just sit on their asses and suck up tax payer money because they can and end up screwing the people that do need it, i.e. disableds or retirees depending on Soc Sec. As for Tarp, it worked to an extent, think about what today would look like if all major banks collapsed. instead of your 401K down 15-30% (if you left it in your investments after 2008) you would be at 0. AIG was the biggest crucial step bc it housed so many important assets you people chose not to talk about, disability insurance, life insurance, retirements. the us as of now has made 6.7% off the monmey that has been paid back. AND stop talking bad about the FED, they can only do as much as  they can to fix PART of the economy. The REST lies with congress. bash them more. Obama's plan to fix the economy by increasing infastructure is only a ST fix as we have seen.
Jan 27, 2012 9:57AM
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Take the cash and put it in a safe deposit box. The bank the has no money to lend and would have to raise rates or borrow at a higher rate. Not getting anything out of savings any way and they are still making a killing.
Jan 27, 2012 9:55AM
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Bernanke is a Robin Hood in reverse, he is taking money from grandma and grandpa and giving it to banks and corporations as well as thru complicated swaps to bail out Greece, italy, spain.
Jan 27, 2012 1:02AM
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This works out just GREAT. The banks can borrow money from the FEDS at almost nothing, charge the consumers outrages interest fees, and pay the consumer very little in interest, while they charge outrages fees.   Then give the CEO’s an outrages bonus.

Jan 26, 2012 11:15PM
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Yeah, I was told to either put my crummy little bit of 401 K savings in someones hands  way the hell over in NY city and let them bet the farm or have them dole it out to me or be charged at 10% for early withdrawal or put it in a IRA at the bank and let them use it and charge me  if I withdrew more than allowed through taxes. So, the bank gets to loan my money to some poor slob at 15-24% and I get around .34 cents out of the deal monthly . I just love being in hell. !!! Anyone want to buy some smoke!!! Ha ! BTW,I think I know why they taught algebra in school now ,since you have to deal with NEGATIVE NUMBERS
Jan 26, 2012 10:04PM
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Great.  The interest income your grandma was hoping to exist on is now gone, as well as the cat she can no longer afford to feed.  Investors can borrow cheap money and snap up assets, like the house your brother is forced to sell for much less than he paid for it.  The rich get richer, and the poor get poorer.  Capitalism is a wonderful thing?  Maybe it would be if more low-interest business loans were being made to start and expand viable business enterprises that produce goods and provide services. With inflation we will also see our net worth decline considerably, unless we bet right at the race track, or on the stock market.  When interest rates do rise it will be the average guy who will be expected to pay more taxes to cover the extra burden of servicing the massive federal budget deficit. Those other guys pay taxes at a much lower rate, if at all.  Your grandma needs to become a high risk investor now to keep pace with inflation. Great.
Jan 26, 2012 9:44PM
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We have our loan with WVHDF. husband took ill and got disability in 5 months,Income went to to 1/2 of what we were living on . Filled out the hardship adv papers to try to get our mortgage lower. Husband was in hospitol 2 times we have no insurance. Received a very nasty letter from WVHDF with no mercy!! Then recieved a phone callfrom WVHDF  that  EVERYONE who has a mortgage with them is 4%..and everyones mortage payment is due on the 1ST!. .Imagine that..Husband doesn't get his check til on or around the 3rd Wednesday of the month and our payment is the 1st. WVHDF will not even change this or offered any mercy so i have to pay a late fee every month of 15.00. Haven't been 30 days late or been late to hurt my credit. Any one know of any ideas on what to do or who to contact PLEASE LET US KNOW!!!!!  I feel I am being lied too! Fought to hard to get this house and refuse to give it up. there has to be help out there..
Jan 26, 2012 7:42PM
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So smart people with good credit should forget saving with traditional banks and be scooping up property while rates are low. Just don't be in a hurry to turn a big profit, and only buy REAL bargains.
Jan 26, 2012 6:44PM
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You think 3 years from now interest rates are going up? 

Japan has been waiting DECADES now.  They also have a problem called ZERO INTEREST rates. They alsohave a stock market problem 40,000 to now 8000.

It's what a country does when they cant solve a problem.

You now have the problem.

 

Jan 26, 2012 6:29PM
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Urtheproblem, What you dont realize is that this all started by everyone wishing they could buy what ever their neighbor had. Bigger house, I want one, faster car, I want one
 

EVERYBODY Urtheproblem?  You been at the pub too long?  Not EVERYBODY has the LUXURY to wish they had what their neighbors have...you know, the big houses, etc.?


There are a lot of people who just wish they could put a hotdog on the table in front of their kids.  You have a hellova nerve pointing fingers at the rest of the world.  I can almost bet YOU are the leader of that pact...and you laugh like a hyena.  They make pills for your kind of illness.

Jan 26, 2012 6:24PM
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Would we be in a depression if the fed didnt print money up?

Did the Tarp and stimulus solve any of the major problems? Except keep the bankers out of prison and make them even richer.

What do you think is about to happen?

Plan accordingly.

Dont even think about having money in the stock market.  Keeping your money is more important than an unrealistic dividend. You think thats safe you need a rubber room.  80% haircut coming. 

The Fed has a plan.  Keep the bankers floating and Sink YOUR BOAT.

Jan 26, 2012 6:21PM
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An example this economist used during the speech I referenced was General Motors. GM makes more money from their affiliate company GMAC that originaly started out as a lending company to help people buy their cars. They quickly figured out they could make even more money if they lent money for everything. GMAC makes GM more money than they make building and selling vehicles. General Electric does it, Exxon does it, all companies are in on it.

 

Pay off your debt. 1% interest rate to save while paying 5-30% interest on debt is a no brainer. Pay off your debt then worry about saving.

Jan 26, 2012 6:16PM
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Zero interest rates, no job creation=Disaster.

Obama said he created 3 million jobs, he can say anything, He my as well just say 100 million jobs because its all hot air.

  Wait when unemployment hits 5%, you think thats good? Those people are now under-employed, and unemployed with no money to stimulate the economy.  It's a no win situation.

The banks saved themselves and ruined the World.

  All you can do now is keep your money, if you got any left.  Capital preservation, forget about those dividend stocks. Those yesterday fan favorites are going down 80% and not coming back..  If you need a 5% return, sorry you didnt save enough.

 

Jan 26, 2012 6:15PM
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Less rewarding than what?  Savings accounts yielded a whopping 7% interest when I was growing up.  1% doesn't even stand a chance beside the fees they take to "allow" you to put YOUR money there!

 

When they start seeing people put their money under their mattresses or in the backyard again, (you earn just as much as the banks give you these days....zilch!), then maybe they'll change their tune.  But as long as nobody balks about it, it's like everything else...they take and take and take until you just don't have anything left for them to get.

Jan 26, 2012 6:10PM
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.....and at the same time the bank gets a hefty returne for investing your money while giving you nothing in returne. Why? Because they can and will screw you every time they can. After all, that is what being a Corperate Pig is all about. Screwing you out of your money.

 

All Corperate Pigs are set up this way. It is just the different ways that they do it to you that make them different to each other. Corperate Americe is not here for you. They are here for them selfs. Just like they are a seperat country.

Jan 26, 2012 6:05PM
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I watched a speech by an economist named Richard Wolfe the other night that was filmed in 2009. I thought it was the best explanation of what led us to where we are now. Basically he said that companies have figured out that in lieu of paying workers a living wage and increasing pay through time they would just lend workers easy money. So in order to keep up workers have to borrow and that in return the companies made even more money - through paying low wages and on the interest paid on the borrowed money.

 

Working toward slavery. The best investment is what Dave Ramsey preaches - Debt Free. As long as you owe someone money you have no money.

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