12 things that will cost less in 2011

The prices of popular electronics will continue to drop. Here are predictions for 12 hot items.

By Karen Datko Jan 19, 2011 10:24AM

This guest post comes from Beth Pinsker at dealnews.com.


One of the great things about technology is that we can count on prices dropping at a steady clip over time on the things we want most. The more demand, the faster the electronics industry seems to satisfy us with new, cheaper products. Think how different it is for nonelectronic items such as milk and cereal, which always seem to go up (see our list of 20 things that will be more expensive in 2011).

We've now proven this mathematically, by sifting through thousands upon thousands of tech deals that we've listed over the past couple of years.


Our price trend data show how prices dropped on 12 popular items from 2009 to 2010, based on the individual deals we list on dealnews.com. Then we keyed up our dealnews experts to find out what low price points you'll likely see in 2011.


Just a note on our process: The data for this analysis is derived from "deals" that were previously listed on dealnews.com. By definition, all deals on dealnews are price-checked, verified offers -- "the lowest total price we've seen" -- so the data used for dealnews predictions are based on low prices, not average prices. Refurbished deals are excluded. We correct for anomalies like outliers, floor effects and disruptive new technologies that influence pricing trends. Post continues after video.

Here's what we found:


Blu-ray players

2009 lowest: $76, Curtis Mathes Blu-Ray Disc Player from Target ($11.83 shipping) 

2010 lowest: $50, Samsung BD-C5500 from HP Home & Office (free shipping)

2011 prediction: $39

Why? You'll probably see a lot of blu-ray players bundled as extras with TVs, but you'll also see them as doorbusters.


Kindle e-Book reader

2009 lowest: $259, Kindle 2 from Amazon.com (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $130, Kindle 3 Wi-Fi from Sobongo.com (free shipping)

2011 prediction: $99

Why? Because $99 is a major inflection point for consumer adoption, it was always the inevitable price for the Kindle. You'll pay just slighly more for newer models.


42" HDTV

2009 lowest: $490, Panasonic VIERA 42" 600Hz 720p Plasma HDTV from Best Buy ($70 shipping)

2010 lowest: $370, Insignia 42" 600Hz 720p Widescreen Plasma HDTV from Best Buy (free shipping)

2011 prediction: $299

Why? Once they hit $299, LCD HDTVs will destroy the waning market for 32" LCD HDTVs.


55" HDTV

2009 lowest: $1,115, LG 55" 120Hz 1080p LCD HDTV from Fry's ($110 shipping)

2010 lowest: $699, Element 55" 120Hz 1080p Widescreen LCD HDTV from Wal-Mart (free shipping)

2011 prediction: $599

Why? 55" LCD HDTV prices ae now where 46" LCD HDTVs were in 2008. So, for 2011, we're predicting what we saw for 46" in 2009.


Wii System bundles

2009 lowest: $170, console bundle from Conn's (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $150, console bundle from Best Buy ($10 shipping)

2011 prediction: $99

Why? Expect more price drops as new models come out and competition drives down prices.


16GB SD card

2009 lowest: $20, Lexar 16GB Platinum II SDHC Class 4 card from Adorama.com (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $17, Centon 16GB SCHC Secure Digital Class 4 card from TigerDirect.com ($2 shipping)

2011 prediction: $12

Why? Yes, it'll be cheap to pick up a 16GB SD card, but that's because you'll be needing a bigger card before too long for your new, cheap SLR camera.


Full-size digital SLR camera

2009 lowest: $346, Pentax K2000 10.2MP Digital SLR Camera with 18-55mm lens from Meijer ($8 shipping)

2010 lowest: $319, Canon EOS Rebel XS 10MP Digital SLR Camera with lens from Barnes & Noble ($5.49 shipping)

2011 prediction: $299

Why? In 2011, these high-powered cameras will start to cost what point-and-shoots cost a few years ago. Why go for ridiculously high megapixel counts in a digital camera when you can get a great SLR instead?


15"-16" dual-core laptop

2009 lowest: $299, Dell Inspiron 15n Celeron 2.16GHz 16" Widescreen Laptop from Dell($29 shipping)

2010 lowest: $218, HP G56-127NR AMD 2.3GHz 16" Widescreen Laptop from Fry's ($8 shipping)

2011 prediction: $199

Why? Last year's $300 laptop is today's cheap grab for those who still want computing power but want to pay what they would for a netbook or a cheap Android tablet.


17" dual-core laptop

2009 lowest: $450, Acer Aspire Intel Dual Core 2.1GHz 4GB 17" Widescreen Laptop from Staples (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $450, HP G71 Intel Dual Core 2.2GHz 4GB 17" Widescreen Laptop from Office Depot (in store)

2011 prediction: $399

Why? This basic desktop replacement, with a dual-core processor and at least 4GB of RAM, will drop even further in price.


Portable GPS

2009 lowest: $42, Magellan Roadmate 1200 at Toys 'R' Us ($8 shipping)

2010 lowest: $45, Motorola MOTONAV 3.5" Portable GPS Navigator with TTS from Woot ($5 shipping)

2011 prediction: $40

Why? Forty dollars seems to be the floor in GPS prices. As people have turned to their smart phones and in-car models, portable GPS manufacturers are desperately adding features, driving up prices for new models.


External 2TB USB drives

2009 lowest: $140, Fantom G-Force 2TB eSATA/USB Drive from NewEgg.com (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $90, Fantom Green Drive Pro 2TB eSATA/USB Drive from Buy.com ($7 shipping)

2011 prediction: $50

Why? Because 2TB is the new 1TB. Upgrade to one of these and you'll never have to delete a file just to clear up room.


iPhone 3GS

2009 lowest: $199, iPhone 3GS from Apple (free shipping)

2010 lowest: $97, iPhone 3GS from Wal-Mart (in store)

2011 prediction: $49

Why? This price drop is already here! For an 8GB 3GS phone in 2011, at least. Prices will drop for other models, but you'll likely not see the 3GX on sale new for too much longer.


More from dealnews.com and MSN Money:


Feb 1, 2011 6:03PM
 Cool. Can you predict the next drawings for the Mega Lotto? I'd love to buy me a few tickets. Thanks. Hot
Feb 1, 2011 10:23PM
who cares, all that crap they listed is nothing but junk anyways, what about food or gasoline, heating bills, electric bills, what a wasted worthless non thinking generation we live in and with.
need a better topic name...many of us dont even have the money now to even buy things no matter that cost.
Feb 5, 2011 1:13PM
 Buy this buy that, is that all we care about! Why don't you write an article on why gas prices have risen 30 cents this week! Or why at the grocery store we pay the same price for something smaller. Or why, once again, the gas company wants to hike its prices !
Feb 2, 2011 3:02AM
every year  the stores get new **** of tvs   and     others stuffs  I think for all u buddys if u have a job u should save your  green money and keep  your    old tvs  . not worth buying  new tvs        instead pay bills . good luck america.
Feb 1, 2011 7:23PM
What a joke.
2011 will see massive MASSIVE inflation in the US and probably most of the world as the Dollar is dumped as the world's reserve currency.
Buy silver/gold or be f*cked.
Buy seeds. Buy food. Buy a gun
Feb 1, 2011 8:34PM
Those aren't "Full Size" DSLRs.  The Canon 1D and 5D are full frame, not the Rebel. Fail

Feb 1, 2011 9:32PM

What it means is actual DSLR's not the look-a-like ones, and "Full Size" and "Full Frame" are two different things... Double Fail

Feb 1, 2011 10:48PM
So why even put "Full Size" if the term DSLR implies that the camera is not a point and shoot?  Also, if  "Full Size" and "Full Frame" are two different things, what exactly is a "Full Size" DSLR?... Triple Fail.   KTHXBYE

Feb 5, 2011 7:42AM
The reasons listed are so lame.  The reason the price of memory cards will go down is because you need one??????  Since when does that happen.  Who edits this stuff?
Feb 5, 2011 1:43PM
Here's a real 'No Brainer'... How about making all the things we all should be doing to help save the Environment, and the Planet... AFFORDABLE... or better yet, MANDATORY.. Id love to have a smart car, or a hybrid. Did anyone happen to catch that invention of the car that runs on compressed air? Emitting only vapor with a 200 mile radius... No way the oil companies will allow something like this to take hold.... Too much lost revenue, to hell with the planet!  Money combined with power equals greed and stops at nothing short of violence. God help us, oops, can I say that?
Aug 30, 2011 6:22PM
This is very interesting. Check out habbycam dot com for some cool camera gear!
Feb 5, 2011 3:17PM
This is BULLS*#T! I did not see this coming.
Feb 1, 2011 10:28PM
iphone 3gs is already $49...i guess one prediction is right but with tax it cost $88...so...
Feb 5, 2011 9:16AM
I should have bought another Laptop before the year ended.  I can't find any of the ones listed in this article at any of the sites and the prices are now higher for similar devices...
Feb 5, 2011 10:27AM
Keeping in mind her position and that she has been doing her job for quite some time, I am inclined to disagree with the post from Beth Pinsker of dealnews.com. Economic history shows us that through supply & demand, the cost tends to be driven up as more of the product in question is purchased by the general public.
  The other side would be that IF such an event should occur making it possible for the general public to attain the things they want, this would mean that less people would be employed within the company that makes the item they want as the producing company struggles to keep a profit while also making their monetary obligations. This, in turn, will cause a further domino effect that would encompass that company's suppliers of the raw materials that are necessary to make said product. The company would most likely purchase their material from the lowest bidder, that being the one with the fewest employees and highest profitability.
  With this going on, AND the lack of employment of late, the price would STILL be too high as the "little fish" in the scheme of things, will not have the funds to make that "minimal" purchase without cutting his/her economic throat.
  Let us take into account a VERY well known department store chain proclaiming the lowest prices anywhere. Ever wonder why they can do that? It's simple: They take the rejects that no one else will market. The average computer that they sell is one that may boast a quad-core processor at a high end MHz (megahertz).
  The downside is that, once again, the lowest bidder! Low grade sand is used in the making of the processors that go into that computer. Low grade sand may not be of the quality that can handle the tasks set forth by the average user. A friend of mine had run into that issue through the same store. She called me to the rescue TWICE to find that the same thing had happened the FIRST time when she sent her computer to the factory for repair: Processor failure. 
  The only thing in all of this that I want to inform of is Caviat Emptor. Translation: Let the buyer beware. You cannot get something for nothing (unless it is already broken or heading that way) in this world. If it's valued, it WILL cost, sham or legitimate.

Feb 5, 2011 11:37AM
Can you eat a memory card or put it in your gas tank? You should be ashamed of yourself for writing this trash!  Technology is one of the major reasons that inflation is understated in the phony reports that come out on a monthly basis.
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