3/8/2014 12:00 AM ET
Macy's, Home Depot among 10 stocks to watch this week
The retailers shake off the winter doldrums to land in StockScouter's latest list of recommended stocks.
Compiled from StockScouter ratings by Verus Analytics
The department store and home improvement retailer look to be breaking free of the winter doldrums, with both stocks appearing on StockScouter's latest list of 10 top stocks to watch right now.
The retail sector has struggled this winter, as frigid conditions kept many shoppers at home after a shorter-than-usual holiday season. Meanwhile, office supply store Staples (SPLS) on Thursday announced it would close more than 200 stores in the face of online competition, and even the warehouse success story Costco (COST) has floundered of late.
- Related: 7 retailers on the ropes in 2014
But despite sluggish sales, Macy's and Home Depot both reported better than expected profits in their most recent quarters. Macy's shares have shot up 8 percent since the company reported earnings Feb. 25, and Home Depot is up 5.8 percent over the same period, compared to a 1.6 percent rise in the S&P 500 ($INX). Both retail giants remained positive in their full-year forecasts.
"Once warm spring weather arrives and our full assortment of fresh spring merchandise is in place, we believe customers will return to a more normalized pattern of shopping," Macy's CEO Terry Lundgren said in the earnings release.
Macy's shares get a '10' from the StockScouter rating system on MSN Money, the highest score possible. Based on StockScouter's analysis, shares of Macy's are expected to significantly outperform the market over the next six months with less than average risk. Home Depot shares get a '9' rating from StockScouter, and are also expected to outperform.
StockScouter Top 10 for March. 7
American International Group (AIG)
Michael Kors Holdings (KORS)
Southwest Airlines (LUV)
Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
|Real estate investment trust (REIT||10.7%||6.5||10|
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)
Huntington Bancshares (HBAN)
Regional US banks
Home Depot (HD)
Home improvement stores
StockScouter beats the market
We think the StockScouter rating system developed by Verus Analytics for MSN Money is one of the best tools you can use when you're trying to decide where to invest.
StockScouter looks for stocks whose business fundamentals, price behavior, valuation and stock-ownership characteristics appear to predict a rising price in the future, based on how those factors have influenced stock prices in the past.
The system assigns each stock an expected six-month return and balances that return against the stock's expected volatility.
Scouter rates stocks on a scale of 1 to 10, and ratings can change daily. Ratings and data in the chart above were current as of this article's publication date.
In addition to the daily top 10 list described above, StockScouter is used by investment research firm Verus Analytics (previously known as the quantitative business unit of Gradient Analytics) to generate a monthly benchmark portfolio of stocks that, refreshed monthly, has outperformed the market since its inception in August 2001.
An investor who began in 2001 by investing in each of the benchmark portfolio's top 10 stocks at the start of the month, selling them at the end of the month and then starting fresh with a new group of 10 stocks, would have generated returns, before trading costs and taxes, of 1,044 percent through Feb. 28, 2014.
Writer Jon Markman, at the time a columnist for MSN Money, collaborated with company researchers on the tool.
Markman suggested rolling over the top 10 stocks every six months to hold down trading costs, a strategy that might be a better fit for most investors; that would yield different results, which would vary based on your starting point.
Performance through Feb. 28, 2014
Full 50 position portfolio
Top 10 portfolio
Inception: August 2001
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
Recommended on Friday on Larry Kudlow show: BLACKSTONE (BX) The King of Private Equity and also try mirroring the S&P 500 utilizing Charles Schwab High Dividend ETF (SCHD) because this Obama BULL MARKET cannot be stopped !!!!
"An investor who began in 2001 by investing in each of the benchmark portfolio's top 10 stocks at the start of the month, selling them at the end of the month and then starting fresh with a new group of 10 stocks, would have generated returns, before trading costs and taxes, of 1,044 percent through Feb. 28, 2014."
Interesting. I think Value Line investment survey makes some similar claim. The reality is that you have to invest in the choices the minute they come out. If you miss it by a few minutes your performance is lower by hundreds of percentage points. Secondly, trading costs are not factored into the monthly trades. And even on-line $7 trades add up if you trade 10 in and 10 out trades each month.
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Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.
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The final week of August represented one of the quietest stretches for the stock market so far this year. The first four sessions of the week produced the ... More
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