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Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.


Last quarter, the tech giant exceeded forecasts by a simply ridiculous margin -- that's not likely to happen again this quarter.

By Minyanville Apr 24, 2012 1:24PM
Apple logo copyright BECK DIEFENBACH/Reuters
UPDATED All the concerns stated below have been rendered absolutely meaningless as Apple (AAPL) knocked the cover off the ball with its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, sending the stock back up above the $600 mark. The company reported a profit of $12.26 per share, smashing the consensus estimate of $10.06 per share. Sales were also very strong at $39.2 billion, easily surpassing Wall Street's expectations for $36.8 billion in revenue. iPad sales were slightly weaker-than-expected at 11.8 million. However, the company shipped a whopping 35 million iPhones, surpassing the Street's estimates and quelling a major investor concern.

After the close Tuesday, Apple (AAPL) will deliver, as it does every three months, the most eagerly anticipated earnings report on the planet.

But in contrast with last quarter, the road to glory doesn't appear to be quite so smooth.

Despite its decision to lower exposure to risky assets, the bank gave a strong Q1 performance.

By Trefis Apr 24, 2012 12:32PM
Image: Arrow Up (© Image Source/Photolibrary)Goldman Sachs' (GS) better-than-expected earnings show that the business environment for major banks has improved significantly since the beginning of the year.

The strong performance is despite the global investment bank's plans to lower its exposure to risky assets over the period. The bank roped in just under $10 billion in quarterly revenues, which is 64% more compared to the dismal fourth-quarter 2011. This translated to a net income of $2.1 billion. 

But the company still hopes to use its drilling technology in international markets where gas prices are higher.

By Trefis Apr 24, 2012 11:33AM
Image: Natural gas plant (© Kevin Burke/Corbis)Plans to begin shale exploration in Romania are facing opposition from local groups worried about the negative effects of hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) technology.

(CVX) has been aggressively pursuing shale exploration prospects in Europe, targeting countries like Poland and Romania. In Romania, the company has obtained concessions to explore more than 2.2 million acres for shale gas. In neighboring Bulgaria, where Chevron also held exploration permits, authorities banned the process of fracking last January.  

Tyson Foods is upgraded to 'outperform,' and LinkedIn is initiated with an 'overweight.'

By MSN Money Partner Apr 24, 2012 11:03AM
Information provided by Theflyonthewall.com

Tuesday's noteworthy upgrades include:  
  • AutoZone (AZO) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
  • O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan
  • Canadian National (CNI) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord
  • Tyson Foods (TSN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital
  • Netflix (NFLX) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at Pacific Crest
  • Brinker (EAT) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Sterne Agee

Brian Rogers picks out some low-PE, high-dividend industry leaders.

By MSN Money Partner Apr 24, 2012 10:32AM

By GuruFocus

Brian Rogers, the chairman and chief investment officer overseeing $500 billion at T. Rowe Price, found six new opportunities in the first quarter that met his investing criteria. Price has a positive outlook for the markets right now, seeing healthy corporate earnings, eurozone risk receding and low price-to-earnings multiples with room for expansion.

As always, regardless of his broad view of economic conditions, his first priority is seeking "established companies exhibiting attractive stock valuations and reasonable dividend yield," as he says in his first-quarter letter.


Even Chrysler is making moves to get a piece of China's market.

By InvestorPlace Apr 24, 2012 9:52AM

By Jim Woods


A decade ago, nobody paid much attention to the notion of an automobile trade show taking place in China, but oh, have times changed.

Last Friday marked the start of the Beijing International Automotive Exhibition, and nearly every major automaker is displaying its latest models at the event in an effort to capture a share of the world's largest auto market. Nearly 1,000 models will be on display at the show, with 89 making their global debut.


The social network's furious growth and second-nature status among a coveted demographic make its IPO worth buying.

By Jim Cramer Apr 24, 2012 8:56AM

You don't go up to a group of college kids and ask, "How many of you use Facebook?" You don't, because that's like asking, "How many of you brush your teeth in the morning?"


That was my experience in returning to my alma mater, Harvard, this weekend, and I don't believe Facebook's penetration at the campus where it was born is any greater than it is anywhere else. Facebook has insinuated itself into every particle of peoples' existence in a very fast way, but particularly in the people who are trying to figure out their preferences.


That, alone, makes the initial public offering worth participating in.


The country's increasing Internet and smartphone penetration is attracting big retailers.

By Trefis Apr 24, 2012 8:32AM
Wal-Mart (WMT) seems keen to grab a share of the growing e-commerce market in India, the world's second most populous nation. It is in talks with leading e-commerce companies for a potential strategic partnership.

With increasing penetration of Internet and smart phones, the e-commerce market in India has gained momentum, and big e-commerce companies such as Amazon (AMZN) have shown interest in it. For instance, in February of this year, Amazon launched junglee.com, which offers 12 million products across 25 categories. 

The iPhone maker will report earnings after the close. The DVD and streaming video company expects fewer new subscribers.

By TheStreet Staff Apr 24, 2012 7:55AM

By Joseph Woelfel


Apple (AAPL) reports fiscal-second-quarter earnings after the market closes Tuesday. Analysts forecast earnings of $10.02 a share on revenue of $36.7 billion. The company has topped the consensus view quarterly 97% of the time since 2003, according to Birinyi Associates. Investors will pa close attention to iPhone sales, given recent worries of a slowdown.

Netflix (NFLX) said Monday it expects weaker streaming additions in the current quarter. Netflix said that because of increased seasonality it expects net additions to be below 2010's level. 

The online entertainment company posted a first-quarter loss of 8 cents a share on $870 million in revenue. Analysts had expected a loss of 27 cents a share on revenue of $866.93 million. Netflix expects to have between 23.6 million and 24.2 million subscribers, implying growth of between 200,000 and 800,000 streaming subscribers. It also expects second-quarter revenue of $873 million to $895 million. Analysts had forecast revenue of $895.11 million. Netflix expects a second-quarter loss of between 10 cents and 14 cents a share. Analysts estimated a loss of 17 cents a share. 


As the company prepares to go public, it says revenue rose 45% but expenses nearly doubled, led by huge R&D costs. User growth is slowing.

By Charley Blaine Apr 24, 2012 4:46AM
Charley BlaineFacebookplans to go public some time in May. What investors will have to judge is whether the company's growth is all they want it to be.

Its first-quarter results, filed as part of an updated prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission late Monday, suggests growth is slowing, with first-quarter net income actually falling from a year ago.

Facebook's initial public offering is probably the most eagerly awaited IPO since Google (GOOG) went public in 2004. There's talk that the offering could produce a market capitalization of $100 billion for the company. While there will certainly be plenty of people trying to buy shares, close study of its prospectus is in order. 

The old saw 'don't fight the tape' is most true when dealing with growth stocks like these.

By MoneyShow.com Apr 23, 2012 6:22PM

Image: Stocks circled in newspaper (© Digital Vision/Getty Images)By Timothy Lutts, Cabot Wealth Advisory

One great way to find high-potential stocks is to look for breakouts to new highs right after a market correction.

So last week I did just that, two days after the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) scared the pants off many investors by dropping 200 points in a day. I found six stocks worth writing about -- stocks that are clearly under accumulation by growth investors.


Many market-watchers look at the price of the metal as an indicator of economic health. They're not seeing the full picture.

By The Fiscal Times Apr 23, 2012 6:11PM
Image: Home under construction (© Corbis)By Suzanne McGeeThe Fiscal Times

Which signal should you heed: the stock market's message that the future looks relatively robust, or the hints coming from the copper market that a decline in economic growth, and thus in corporate profitability, is on the horizon?

There certainly is a link between demand for copper and economic growth. The metal is an essential ingredient in nearly every kind of manufactured good. It's needed for homebuilding, including plumbing and wiring, and car manufacturing; it also ensures that computers and air conditioners work. 

The company is spending $605 million on the super-hot Pinnacle Vodka brand and Calico Jack rum.

By Benzinga Apr 23, 2012 5:24PM

By Katey Stapleton, Benzinga Staff Writer

Beam (BEAM), a company that made its name on whiskey, has jumped into the hot area of flavored vodka.

Several spirit brands have recently delved far into the dessert category of vodka flavors, ranging from cotton candy to whipped key lime. In an effort to leap in front of the competition, Beam has acquired perhaps the most innovative of these premium vodka brands: Pinnacle Vodka.


The company is planning to open 40 locations in Moscow alone over the next five years.

By Kim Peterson Apr 23, 2012 3:25PM
Credit: © Vincent Thian/AP
Caption: A customer orders doughnuts at a Krispy Kreme store in Tokyo, JapanGet ready, Russia. Krispy Kreme is coming.

It's hard enough to find a Krispy Kreme (KKD) store in many U.S. cities, but residents of Moscow will soon be swimming in glaze. The company is planning to build 40 Krispy Kreme shops in that city alone in the next five years.

That's a lot of doughnuts. The largest cities in the U.S. don't have anywhere near that many. Los Angeles has one store. Same for New York. Chicago and Houston have none. Krispy Kreme has closed many underperforming U.S. locations over the last several years. 

Ominous technical signals may be red flags for upcoming earnings surprises.

By MoneyShow.com Apr 23, 2012 2:13PM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com

Even though the majority of reporting companies have beaten analyst estimates, there have also been quite a few stocks that have come under heavy selling pressure after their earnings reports were released.

As I discussed in detail on Friday, the stock market still looks vulnerable, and a sharply lower close on Monday would increase the odds of a deeper correction.



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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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