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Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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After trading above $300 in July, shares have tanked to near $75 on continued subscriber woes.

By InvestorPlace Oct 25, 2011 8:00AM

By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com


After trading at more than $300 in July, Netflix (NFLX)was hovering around $77 a share Tuesday. It's all because of an earnings report after the bell Monday that showed customers left in droves and revenue missed forecasts by a mile.


The culprit is obvious: the ill-advised Qwikster scheme that aimed to split Netflix's streaming services and DVD delivery into two operations instead of a one-stop website. Qwikster was killed before it became a reality, but the damage remains to the once-loyal customer base of Netflix.

 

The company raised its guidance on strong earnings, showing confidence about the global economy next year.

By Jim J. Jubak Oct 24, 2011 6:17PM
Caterpillar (CAT) announced third-quarter earnings Monday morning of $1.71 a share, a positive earnings surprise of 7 cents.

As you'd expect, Caterpillar shares were up big -- closing up 5% to $91.77 -- and as you'd expect, Caterpillar's positive surprise sent shares of other companies in the construction and mining-equipment sector soaring.

And the more exposure a company has to mining -- the strongest part of Caterpillar's business this quarter -- the bigger the gain:
 
Tags: CATDEJOYG

Caterpillar earnings show that global growth is still intact.

By Benzinga Oct 24, 2011 5:30PM

By Jonathan Chen, Benzinga Staff Writer


After missing Wall Street expectations last quarter, Caterpillar (CAT) reported a third quarter Monday that bulldozed past estimates.


The Illinois-based maker of mining and earth-moving equipment also raised its full year guidance, sending shares up 5% to close at $91.77.

 

The company lost more customers than expected after it announced pricing changes and a plan to split operations.

By Kim Peterson Oct 24, 2011 5:10PM
Updated at 10 a.m. ET Tuesday

The number came in Monday, and it was big: 800,000.

That's how many subscribers Netflix (NFLX) lost in three months. And that's a big reason its shares were plummeting Tuesday even though the company posted a pretty decent quarter. 
Tags: NFLX

Breaking down a broken-down metric.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Oct 24, 2011 4:15PM

By Joe Magyer

 

Ah, the PEG ratio. An approach to valuation celebrated by lovers of growth stocks, including some at the Fool, the PEG ratio is typically defined as a company's trailing P/E ratio divided by analysts' five-year estimates of earnings growth. The ratio has won over many fans because:

  • The inputs can be quickly and readily found on nearly any financial site.
  • It is relatively intuitive.
  • It doesn't require any complex math.

Conventional wisdom states that if a company's P/E ratio is roughly on par with its growth rate, its stock is about fairly valued. If a company's growth rate is higher than its P/E ratio, the stock would appear to be undervalued, and vice-versa.

 

An increase in mergers could be a good sign for the markets in the months to come.

By Benzinga Oct 24, 2011 3:33PM

By Jonathan Chen, Benzinga Staff Writer


"Merger Monday" appears to be in full effect again.


After a period of quiet in capital markets activity, there were a few mergers announced Monday, which could be a sign that managers are seeing low valuations in the stock market as an opportunity to add businesses at cheap prices. Call it the "Warren Buffett" line of thinking.


The ever-acquisitive Oracle (ORCL), led by Larry Ellison, purchased RightNow Technologies (RNOW) for $43 per share, or $1.5 billion. That's a 20% premium over Friday's closing price.

 

Here are some of the most interesting parts from the book, which went on sale Monday.

By Kim Peterson Oct 24, 2011 2:31PM
"Steve Jobs," the biography of Apple's (AAPL) iconic founder, went on sale Monday and is already on track to top the charts for 2011.

Amazon (AMZN) says the book could very likely be its top-selling of the year. People are eagerly reading it, looking for insight and inspiration from a man who didn't reveal much publicly about himself or his life. 
Tags: AAPL

Some Wall Street economists say a congressional deficit committee is headed for failure, making a rating cut more likely.

By Kim Peterson Oct 24, 2011 1:30PM
America's credit rating could get whacked again -- and soon.

That's what economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch say in a recent report. And political squabbling will be very much to blame.

The problem lies with the congressional supercommittee charged with coming up with ways to reduce the deficit. The committee is turning out to be anything but super. Members spent most of September in a standoff, The New York Times reports

This steelmaker trades at just 5.5 times earnings and yields nearly 4%.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 24, 2011 12:48PM
By Nathan Slaughter, Scarcity & Wealth

The best time to bet on steel is usually at the point of maximum pessimism. I don't know if we're there yet, but it says a lot that ArcelorMittal (MT) recently sank even lower than the depths of the March 2009 bottom.

That spells opportunity, because the company is in much better shape than it was during those dark days. 

Some leading tech shares may have gone too far too fast, while others are showing signs of continued upside.

By MoneyShow.com Oct 24, 2011 12:29PM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com


In a recent post, I discussed the most oversold Dow stocks, which focused on the results of one of the scans that I run each weekend.


It is based on Starc band analysis, as I have found that it is important to know which stocks or ETFs are closest to their monthly and weekly Starc+ or Starc- bands. When a security is close to its monthly Starc- band, it indicates that it is already oversold.  Statistically, this makes it more likely that the security will stabilize or rebound rather than continue to drop sharply.

 

The company's new RIO robotic system offers a less invasive approach.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 24, 2011 11:42AM
By Timothly Lutts, Cabot Stock of the Month

It was almost exactly seven years ago that we first discovered Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), which was just getting started with its da Vinci surgical robot, which offered less invasive surgeries.

Now along comes Mako Surgical (MAKO), which is loosely replicating Intuitive's success by offering its own robotic surgical solution. In fact, Intuitive's founder sits on Mako's board of directors. 
Tags: MAKO

A pair of companies will give investors a glimpse into the health of the economy as the holidays approach.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 24, 2011 11:31AM

By Robert Holmes, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Investors are stuck in a no man's land in which Credit Crisis 2.0 is capsizing a shaky global economy.

 

Every region of the world and asset class has its share of woes, from emerging markets to bonds, a condition that's unnerving American investors already wracked with worry over high unemployment.

 
Tags: AMZNups

Record revenue and a bright outlook from the industrial equipment giant are signs the global economy is still growing.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 24, 2011 11:02AM

By Robert Holmes, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Caterpillar's (CAT) third-quarter earnings report is a sign the global economy won't suffer another wave of recession.

 

Caterpillar, the world's largest maker of construction and mining equipment, reported a third-quarter profit of $1.71 a share Monday, an increase of 40% from a year earlier. Revenue jumped 41% to $15.7 billion, although the results include the company's acquisition of mining company Bucyrus International. Excluding that, revenue of $14.6 billion was an all-time record.

 

It's a big earnings week for these ETFs.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 24, 2011 9:56AM

By Andrea Tse, TheStreetTheStreet


1. iShares Dow Jones U.S. Energy Sector Index Fund (IYE)

 

Major oil companies will be in focus this week, pushing IYE and other large-cap energy ETFs into the spotlight. Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP) are among the companies slated to report their earnings. This trio accounts for over 40% of the fund's total portfolio.

 

IYE has seen a strong run up in recent weeks as EU-related concerns have begun to abate. This strength has helped it recover all of the losses it suffered during the September selloff.

 

The days ahead will be crucial for IYE. In the event that confidence returns, the fund could be in for a lift. However, given its top heavy nature any exposure to IYE should be kept small.

 

In a region where Weimar inflation and German deflation led to social unrest and the rise of Hitler, peace and stability are more important than triple-A credit ratings.

By Jim Cramer Oct 24, 2011 9:28AM
the streetThe smart money has wanted to bet against this market every step of the way. It's as if the only badge of honor has been to be short -- positioned to gain if the markets fall -- and the reason is clear: These investors think Europe is too big and must fail.

 

In other words, there truly is no plan big enough and no entity large enough to rescue banks from themselves. The European banks, unlike the American ones, are so huge and so intertwined with the fortunes of sovereign debt that anyone who even thinks there could be a solution that isn't catastrophic is regarded as a lightweight.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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