A stock market graph trending down © jmiks/Getty Images
Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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The computer maker's moves hint at the end of an icon.

By InvestorPlace Sep 23, 2011 9:24AM

By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com


Back in 2006, Apple (AAPL) was riding high on the success of its iPod. The gadget accounted for more than 50% of first-quarter revenue that year as a digital music revolution was in full swing.


Now the iconic iPod is an afterthought, bringing in a mere 8% of Apple revenue -- and falling fast as other gadgets take over the digital jukebox role on top of many other functions.


So could Apple pull a page out of the Netflix (NFLX) handbook and voluntarily kill off a dying segment of its business? Would it make sense for Apple to refocus rather than just run the iPod into the ground?

 

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said we would not have another Lehman-caliber meltdown on our hands. But he never said there wouldn't be pain.

By Jim Cramer Sep 23, 2011 8:19AM

the streetDoes it do any good to say that the world is on the eve of another financial crisis, as I hear so many people saying? Does it do any good to catcall me for saying that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner was just being upbeat and hopeful when he said there will be no more Lehmans?

 

No and yes. No, it does not do any good to proclaim we are on the eve of the next financial crisis, because it's the degree of crisis that matters. People seem to forget that the center almost didn't hold during 2008. It was only the destruction of trillions of dollars of capital that allowed us to bottom, with a tremendous number of financial institutions in this country being wiped off the face of the earth, including many that had been with us for some time, including Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros., Merrill Lynch, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and three reconstituted and quasi-nationalized companies -- General Motors (GM), American International Group (AIG) and Citigroup (C).

 

Are we going to get that kind of crisis? That's where the second point comes in, Geithner's point. There is a grave misconception about what Geithner told me last week and what I am reading, say, in the mocking Twittersphere.

 

After a negative September, the financial markets could get a bounce from a news turn in the right direction.

By Jim J. Jubak Sep 22, 2011 5:00PM
If, if, if. I can see a turn in the news flow next week, just as I’ve been writing about here since the beginning of September. 

If negotiators return to Athens next week. There won’t be any new money for Greece until negotiators from the International Monetary Fund, the European Union, and the European Central Bank are sitting across the table from Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou and Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos.

And without the cash, the Greek government won’t be able to pay pensions and salaries. The return of the negotiators would remove much of the fear -- temporarily -- of an immediate Greek default.
 

By all indications, the post-Fed market downturn is overdone.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Sep 22, 2011 4:12PM

Stocks and other risky assets dropped early and hard Thursday morning as a flood of sell-at-open trades knocked the major averages down. The fear, if I understand the bears' reasoning correctly, is that while the Federal Reserve announced a new $400 billion Operation Twist stimulus plan Wednesday, it was accompanied by a statement that there were "significant" downside risks to the economy. Not to sound trite, but duh!

 

We already knew this. There were indications of trouble as far back as mid-April as inflationary pressures raged. By now, the breakdown in consumer and business confidence and a slowdown in the labor market are well known. The fact that the central bank is acknowledging this -- and responding with new stimulus -- should be considered positive.

 

And there are plenty of other reasons that now is not the time for panic.

 

The former eBay chief will likely be named to lead Hewlett-Packard after the market closes. Here's why Whitman makes sense.

By Kim Peterson Sep 22, 2011 1:59PM
Shares of Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) spiked 10% Wednesday on news that the company may name Meg Whitman as its next chief executive. The stock was down 4% Thursday, however, and an announcement is expected after the market closes.

Are investors happy that Whitman is coming in or that HP is finally getting rid of CEO Leo Apotheker? Probably yes to both. 

One analyst says the video-rental company may have split itself up to pave the way for an acquisition.

By Kim Peterson Sep 22, 2011 1:00PM
Netflix (NFLX) has taken an incredible beating recently -- see the chart here -- with shares plunging nearly 45% since the first of the month to approach a 52-week low.

It's an amazing drop for the one-time market darling. And many observers are shaking their heads in disbelief, since this company normally executes flawlessly. Now its executives look like boneheads.

What happened to Netflix? 

These major market areas are likely to continue to underperform. Use careful risk controls to avoid big losing positions.

By MoneyShow.com Sep 22, 2011 12:35PM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com


The late-in-session drop in the stock market after the Fed announcement was consistent with the deterioration in the technical outlook discussed yesterday. The McClellan Oscillator has broken below support, which makes a further drop very likely.


Three of the major sectors look most vulnerable to further selling and they are likely to underperform the S&P 500. Even though technology was also lower, it continues to show better relative performance, or RS analysis, which suggests the tech sector will hold above the August lows.


For the Select Sector SPDR - Energy (XLE), it is important to keep an eye on crude oil prices. As I have frequently pointed out, crude oil often leads the stock market on both the up and down side. November crude oil was down over $2 yesterday, and a break of key support would be a negative for the energy sector and stocks in general.

 

The Fed's latest maneuver may be bad for banks in the long term, but there are some defensive picks.

By TheStreet Staff Sep 22, 2011 10:48AM

By Dan Freed, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Wells Fargo (WFC), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), SunTrust Banks (STI) and City National Corp. (CYN) are the banks best positioned for a flatter U.S. Treasury yield curve now that the Federal Reserve has flattened it in a move dubbed Operation Twist, according to a research report published Wednesday by Evercore Partners.

 

There had been widespread speculation that the Fed would perform Operation Twist -- which aims to raise short-term interest rates while pushing down long-term rates -- before the Fed officially announced the plan Wednesday. The hope is that the move will attract foreign capital while keeping financing costs low, the Evercore report stated before the Fed made the move official.

 

Overall, Operation Twist would be bad for banks in the long term because it would negatively affect net interest margins, which represent the difference between banks' cost of capital and what they can charge borrowers.

 

The chance of a market bounce is diminishing, but high-yield stocks will start to attract more money from long-term bonds.

By Jim Cramer Sep 22, 2011 9:35AM

the streetDid anyone get the license plate of that truck? I think it was a vanity plate. I think it had the word "significant" on it. Because that's the word that the Fed inserted before the term "downside risk," a word that didn't exist in the Aug. 9 statement that jumped at you this time around.

 

So we get one of those old-time sell-offs, one that takes down not only the companies that do poorly when there is significant risk -- you know, the usual suspects they shoot every day when things are said to be bad, such as rails, chemicals, papers, minerals -- but also the "recession-rich" stocks -- new term -- the ones that make you rich if there is a recession.

 

Yep, it was an S&P 500 ($INX) jailbreak. Everyone is, indeed, selling everything. Didn't we see this before? Except then we were in better shape to handle it.

 

The former eBay CEO was named chief of Hewlett-Packard Thursday afternoon. While she grew the auction site dramatically, cutting the fat at bloated HP will be a different challenge. Can she pull it off?

By InvestorPlace Sep 22, 2011 9:05AM
By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com


Can former eBay CEO Meg Whitman fix Hewlett-Packard?

 

HP's board named Whitman their new chief this afternoon, after two days of reports the move was imminent.

 

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) shares soared as much as 10% Wednesday on rumors that the tech giant's board could be kicking chief executive Leo Apotheker to the curb, with Whitman waiting in the wings. Shares fell almost 5% on Thursday, a little worse than the market overall.

 

But don't be fooled -- this is just the latest dumb move at Hewlett-Packard, a company plagued not just by a revolving door in the corner office but by a glue-and-sticky-tape approach to its current ugly state of affairs.

 

Forget about Operation Twist. Next week's bond auction has the most potential to disrupt the markets.

By Jim J. Jubak Sep 21, 2011 5:31PM
It takes a bit to upstage the Federal Reserve, but I think Italy has managed it. Even though its news opportunity is more than a week away.

Sure, the Fed spoke Wednesday afternoon and the financial markets were on tenterhooks about "Operation Twist." Will the Fed, won’t the Fed, decide to sell short-term bills and notes from its portfolio in order to buy long-term bonds? And how aggressively will it shift the duration of its portfolio in order to drive down long-term interest rates?

The Fed announced that it would sell $400 billion of short-term bills and notes and buy $400 billion of six-year to 30-year bonds in an effort to drive down long-term interest rates and boost the economy. That was certainly at the aggressive end of predictions for what the Fed would do.
 

Wish we were on a gold standard? Think again.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Sep 21, 2011 4:02PM
By Matt Koppenheffer

 

When you post any thoughts about gold, you're inevitably going to end up with some folks who bring up the currency issue. "Gold is a currency," they say. "Gold has been favored since the time T-Rex ruled supreme (the dinosaur, not the band)." And of course, "Gold is going up because our fiat money is being debased and rational people are doing the only thing that makes any sense by buying yellow metal."

 

One commenter, for instance, posited: "Gold is trading as a currency. Yes it could be somewhat overvalued today, and may fall back, but in 12 months it will be up against all fiat currencies that are clearly being devalued."

 

But here's the problem: If gold is acting like a currency, it's acting like a really, really bad one.

 

Amazon is finally making e-books for its Kindle reader available at libraries across the country.

By Kim Peterson Sep 21, 2011 3:57PM
Users of Amazon's (AMZN) popular Kindle reader got some welcome news Wednesday. They can now borrow Kindle books from 11,000 U.S. libraries. But will many of those books actually be available?

Barnes & Noble (BKS) worked out a similar partnership for its Nook reader a long time ago, but Kindle users have been left out of the library loop. The deal won't immediately help Amazon's business, but it may eventually entice more people to buy the device if they can borrow books on it for free.

Here's how it works: 

With Congress gridlocked, the central bank acts to keep the economic recovery on track.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Sep 21, 2011 2:53PM

The wait is over. Federal Reserve policymakers announced Wednesday that they are ready and willing to support the flagging economic recovery with another dose of monetary policy support.

 

Specifically, they will more directly target long-term interest rates by shifting the average maturity of the Fed's bond holdings by buying $400 billion worth of Treasury bonds with maturities over six years while selling an equal number of Treasury bills with maturities of three years or less. The move has been dubbed Operation Twist in honor of a similar action taken in the 1960s.

 

Essentially, they are taking money out of their left pocket and putting into the right, but the impact will still be positive, since it will push down the interest rates that price mortgage loans, car loans and other consumer credit.

 

Here's why the Fed did the right thing -- and what to expect next.

 

Solid reports from the software makers show companies are starting to spend more.

By Kim Peterson Sep 21, 2011 12:58PM
Are companies finally starting to loosen their purse strings?

That's the takeaway after strong earnings reports this week from Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe (ADBE). The companies specialize in business software, and both said sales and profit are doing better than analysts expected.

Investors cheered the news, sending shares of both companies up Wednesday. Oracle's share price spiked nearly 8% to $30.52, and Adobe saw shares rise more than 3% to $25.49. 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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