A stock market graph trending down © jmiks/Getty Images
Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.


Opinion: America's real-estate market is in a decline that doesn't seem to be getting better.

By TheStreet Staff Aug 30, 2011 11:43AM

Image: Housing market © Ocean/Corbis/CorbisBy Gary Weiss, columnist for TheStreetTheStreet


The stock market, as measured by the

S&P 500 ($INX), rose almost 3% Monday, perhaps pleasantly surprised that the Northeast doesn't resemble the Gulf Coast -- Katrina-cable-TV hype notwithstanding.


So as traders picked their way across tree limbs and flooded roads on their way to work Monday, perhaps they overlooked a commonplace sight that was even more prevalent than clogged waterways: for-sale signs on lawns, sometimes with the nauseating come-on "auction today."


We're in the middle of a real-estate depression, folks, and it's not getting any better. Perhaps it's good news that the financial markets have gotten used to the bad news out of the housing market, because the bad news keeps coming. But if the housing-market woes are an indication of the direction of the economy, we're in sorry shape. And as with a number of questions I've explored recently, it comes down to this: What, if anything, is the Obama administration going to do about it?


The company reached a licensing agreement with Green Mountain Coffee Roasters back in March.

By TheStreet Staff Aug 30, 2011 11:39AM

By Michael Baron, TheStreet


Starbucks (SBUX) said Tuesday that K-Cup portion packs of its coffees for the Keurig brewing system manufactured by Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) will be available for retail sale in the United States in November.


Starbucks and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters reached a licensing agreement back in March for Starbucks to be the "exclusive licensed super-premium coffee brand" for Keurig system.


"We are excited to expand our presence in the multibillion-dollar single-cup coffee category with the introduction of Starbucks coffee K-Cup Portion Packs, which offer a convenient at-home brewing solution utilizing the popular Keurig Brewer," said Jeff Hansberry, the president of Starbucks Global Consumer Products Group.


The brick-and-mortar bookstore has largely been written off, but the stock is surging thanks to Nook sales

By InvestorPlace Aug 30, 2011 11:21AM

By Jeff Reeves, Editor, InvestorPlace.com

In the wake of the Borders bankruptcy, there's a lot of jeering about how brick-and-mortar book retailers are destined for the trash heap. Conventional wisdom claims that in the same way Blockbuster was passed by as DVD rentals became a quaint anachronism, so will booksellers become another victim of the Internet revolution.

Not so fast. Barnes & Noble (BKS) just provided a glimmer of hope with its earnings report Tuesday. Numbers impressed Wall Street and sent shares soaring as much as 18% in early trading.

So what is B&N doing right these days?


The sector typically outperforms the market from September onward, and the shares of 2 low-cost retailers may soon present favorable buying opportunities.

By MoneyShow.com Aug 30, 2011 10:50AM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com

The 0.5% rise in July consumer spending helped give stocks a boost on Monday, as it was the best number since December 2009. Tuesday’s consumer confidence numbers are unlikely to be as positive.

The market’s strength following Friday’s impressive reversal clearly got some of those on the short side a bit nervous. The Advance/Decline (A/D) lines on the major averages are now rising more sharply, but it is still too early to tell if they have really bottomed out.

The bear flag formations discussed last week are still intact, but do allow for a rally in the S&P 500 to the 1225-1230 area. It will be the strength of any pullback once stronger resistance is reached that will shed light on the intermediate term.

During the recent market decline, there have been several market sectors that have performed better than the S&P 500. One such sector that is now entering a strong seasonal period is retail, and while one big-name stock is encountering strong resistance, two others are looking much more attractive.


Despite the somber talk of more recession and a deeper market retracement, the picture is bright. By the end of the year, we could be up smartly.

By MoneyShow.com Aug 30, 2011 9:37AM

By Jim Lowell, special to MoneyShow.com

The markets have continued to demonstrate both relative strength and positive resilience in the face of heated political snafus here and globally.

Of course, the weighty question of whither goes the markets from here has become an even more burdensome one, thanks to political rather than economic interests. What else is new?

I continue to think we’ll net a 10% to 15% gain by year's end, based on fundamentals that exhibit earnings growth rather than contraction. I also continue to think it will be a hard slog from here to there.

At the outset of this year, I talked about how we’d likely see another dip in the housing market and a stall in the jobs market. That’s where we are, but where are we heading?


Stable revenue, recent growth and an extraordinary dividend history make this consumer play a great buy.

By InvestorPlace Aug 30, 2011 6:47AM
By Jeff Reeves, Editor, InvestorPlace.com

Hershey Co.
(HSY) reported strong earnings at the end of last month. As a result, Hershey stock is up almost 3% in the past 30 days while the markets remain down about 5%, thanks to a volatile August.

Hershey stock has been a great low-risk investment recently, but what's next for the snacks giant? Well, conventional wisdom holds that small pleasures and consumer staples are recession-proof, so there's no risk of any downturn erasing these gains. And if the numbers are any indication, there is even more success in store for Hershey.

That makes this company a great dividend stock investment for your portfolio.


The new managing director of the International Monetary Fund angers some officials by saying there is still a European debt crisis.

By Jim J. Jubak Aug 29, 2011 5:12PM
Jim JubakChristine Lagarde, the new managing director of the International Monetary Fund, didn’t make any friends Friday when, at the U.S. Fed’s conclave for the world’s central banks, she said that European banks have an urgent need to raise capital.

European bank regulators and finance ministers spent the weekend shooting back. About the kindest thing they’ve had to say is that Lagarde, the former French finance minister, is "confused," "misguided" and doesn’t understand the nature of the euro crisis.

Which means, of course, that you can be pretty sure that she precisely understands this crisis, that European banking officials know it and that they are really angry at her for daring to suggest that there’s still a debt crisis. Their strategy, you see, is to stop mentioning the problem, and hope that the financial markets will simply forget about it.

Large shares are moving in tandem, which means investors might have to change their strategies.

By Kim Peterson Aug 29, 2011 3:58PM
Picking stocks has always been tough, but lately it's almost a fool's errand.

The Wall Street Journal calls it a "dead art" because global economic concerns have overshadowed the differences among companies. Investors have so much on their plates that they don't have time to discern whether one stock is better than another.

The result? Stocks are moving up and down together. In fact, they're showing shockingly high levels of correlation, which is the way they move in relation to each other. 

Travelzoo leads the pack with a gain of more than 10% at midday.

By Kim Peterson Aug 29, 2011 2:52PM
Updated 6 p.m. ET 

Travelzoo (TZOO) is starting to recover from a month-long beating that took shares down more than 60%.

The stock closed up 10% to $36.93 Monday in a surge that carried along other online travel companies as well. HomeAway (AWAY) also saw a 10% gain, and Expedia (EXPE) closed up 4%.

No one seems to be sure why the sector is seeing renewed interest Monday. Perhaps all the Labor Day travel deals after Hurricane Irene is one culprit. Or maybe it's because Travelzoo has been mentioned as a good acquisition target for a rival like Expedia. 
Tags: travel

The damage from the hurricane wasn't as bad as initially feared, and that gave insurers and reinsurers a boost Monday.

By Kim Peterson Aug 29, 2011 2:22PM
Updated 6 p.m. ET

Insurance companies are breathing a sigh of relief Monday after the damage from Hurricane Irene turned out to be less than initially feared.

Allstate (ALL) closed up 8.5% to $26.30. Hartford Financial Services (HIG) soared nearly 13% to $19.42. One exchange-traded fund that tracks insurance stocks, SPDR KBW Insurance (KIE), rose nearly 6%.

This booming emerging market remains a red-hot opportunity for investors.

By InvestorPlace Aug 29, 2011 12:49PM

By Jeff Reeves, Editor, InvestorPlace.com

In July, some soccer fans were surprised as star footballer Carlos Tevez was debating a departure from England's Premier League to take up a spot on the roster of a team based in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Why would a top player even think of abandoning the bright lights of Europe’s soccer scene for a second-tier market in Latin America?

However, this is not a new trend. As The Financial Times reported a few weeks ago, soccer salaries in Brazil have been soaring as the pay scale in Europe has flatlined. If this trend keeps up, Europe might become the second-tier market before long.

Why should you care if you are one of the tens of millions of Americans who couldn’t care less about soccer? Because this trend says a lot about Brazil, its middle class and the region’s economy in general - especially as an investment opportunity.


Up-and-coming professional investors such as Donald Yacktman and Thomas Forester are turning in heroic performances despite challenging market conditions.

By TheStreet Staff Aug 29, 2011 11:54AM

By Frank Byrt, TheStreet


Investors looking for direction in the stock market from star fund managers of the past decade, such as Bill Miller, Ken Heebner and Bruce Berkowitz, have realized they're sometimes as confused as the rest of us are.


Unprecedented events such as the near-default of U.S. government bonds, a painful European debt crisis that seems to have no end and natural disasters abroad and at home have come to a head, pummeling almost everyone's portfolio, save for the extraordinary. Those include Warren Buffett (a sweetheart deal brokered with Bank of America (BAC) last week that will give him $300 million a year in special dividends), Carl Icahn (a reported $2 billion windfall by betting against U.S. stocks this month) and John Thaler (his JAT Capital Management hedge fund is among the best performers in the world this year, up more than 30%).


The benchmark S&P 500 Index ($INX) of U.S. stocks has fallen 6.6% this year, sending mutual fund investors for the exits -- or at least to the relative safety of bond funds as they see returns suffer on once high-flying funds. But there are stock-fund managers building reputations as they assemble wealth for clients. They may not be stars, but they soon may be if their hot hands continue.


Here's a preview of Ciena Corp in advance of Thursday's earnings report

By Jamie Dlugosch Aug 29, 2011 11:28AM

There is a tremendous amount of noise in the market that can influence stock price. Ultimately, the value of a stock is based on the present value of future profits.


When a company reports earnings results, market participants receive a key piece of information that can be used to determine the price of a stock. For a brief moment in time after a company releases its operating performance, the market will adjust pricing based on how the numbers match up against current expectations.


In many cases stocks of companies reporting results will move significantly higher or lower.


Understanding how investors use earnings against Wall Street estimates creates a profitable trading opportunity. Using a few key variables combined with understanding how the market will react to new information can guide you how to trade a stock in advance of the news being reported.


Use the Earnings Predictor to help you identify winning trades. On Thursday Ciena Corp. reports earnings for the quarter ending July 31, 2011.


ETF investors who plan to follow the developments at Apple should have their sights set on the PowerShares QQQ fund.

By TheStreet Staff Aug 29, 2011 11:25AM

By Don Dion, TheStreet


Here are five exchange-traded funds to watch this week.


1.    PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)


Steve Jobs' decision to step down from his CEO post at Apple (AAPL) sent shockwaves across the markets last week. Interestingly, the initial impact Jobs' exit has had on Apple's stock price has been largely negligible. On Thursday, immediately following the news, shares of AAPL closed down less than 1%.


Today begins Apple's first full week in the post-Jobs era. Looking ahead it will be interesting to see how newly-appointed CEO, Tim Cook handles the captain chair. This is not the first time Cook has been placed in charge, however. On the contrary, as I pointed out late last week, Jobs had turned to the former COO on a number of occasions over the past few years.


Almost no mutual fund managers have been able to protect Americans from losses in the stock market during this year's volatile trading.

By TheStreet Staff Aug 29, 2011 10:55AM

By Frank Byrt, TheStreetTheStreet


The mutual fund industry this year has been overrun by a stampede out of U.S. stocks and into safer alternatives, namely large-company and bond funds, much as in 2008 when the financial industry needed a bailout to survive.


Investors pulled $14.6 billion from U.S. equity mutual funds and put $102 billion into taxable bond funds through the end of July, said Ryan Leggio, a mutual fund analyst at Morningstar. The S&P 500 ($INX) is down 6.6% so far in 2011 after two years of gains and a slight rebound last week. The benchmark for American equities lost 16% of its value between July 22 and Aug. 19, the most in four weeks since March 2009, which turned out to be the bottom of the last stock-market crash.


"It's been a flight to bonds and away from equities," Leggio said.



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[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages hover just below their highs with one hour remaining in the final session of the week.

Tomorrow, most global markets, including the U.S., will be closed for Good Friday, while Japan's Nikkei and China's Shanghai Composite will remain open. On Monday, the New York Stock Exchange will open at its regular time, while markets across Europe and Hong Kong's Hang Seng will remain closed for Easter Monday. Nasdaq +17.71 at 4103.94... NYSE Adv/Dec ... More


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