Arrow pointing down. (© Getty Images)
Get your defensive plan ready

Indexes might not be in correction territory, but they're getting closer. Now's the time to consider what moves to make.


This cash cow remains the market leader in routers, switches and other advanced technologies. It also has an amazing balance sheet.

By MSNMoney partner May 12, 2011 2:45PM

By Adam Stockmeister, Seeking Alpha

The last of the stocks in my portfolio is the once-mighty Cisco (CSCO). It was the highest-priced company in the world at one point, with a market cap of a staggering $500 billion.

Today it sits at a lowly $96.5 billion valuation and is valued as if it were 2009 all over again. Expected margins for 2Q are 61% and FY of 62%. These are much lower than most expected, and the stock price has been unfairly punished. The products that Cisco sells have not changed, and they are going to be around for a long time, with demand staying flat or increasing in the future. I don't generally like a dividend, but I like the $0.24 dividend (paid quarterly) for about a 1.4% yield.

I believe Cisco's future is only looking up from here. Future dilution will likely stop (unless the share price increases 30%) since the average exercising price of the 732 million pending option shares for employees is $21.39, with nearly half of those options exercisable at prices 15% higher than current prices. This is good for outstanding share count as Cisco has approved up to $10B for buybacks on the current program. The company has bought back over $62B in shares in the company's history.


The food giant says it was able to cover a jump in costs for fuel and raw ingredients. With video.

By Kim Peterson May 12, 2011 12:32PM
The price for raw ingredients is killing some food companies. While costs are going up, in this economy any sort of price increase will irritate consumers.

But Kraft Foods (KFT) has managed to navigate those rough waters pretty well. Analysts say it could be the only food company so far this year to successfully raise prices enough to cover costs without sacrificing demand. Kraft's largest brands include Nabisco, Maxwell House and Oscar Mayer.

Kraft "may take the prize as the only (food) company to have offset inflation via pricing" in the first quarter, a Barclays Capital analyst told Dow Jones. "To the extent that pricing can continue to run in line (or slightly ahead) of commodity costs, Kraft should have all the more flexibility to continue to reinvest against its brands and support volume growth." 

Wednesday's circus in the oil market will probably lead to further declines in both crude oil and stocks.

By May 12, 2011 12:26PM
By Tom Aspray,

Crude oil’s failure to rally through first resistance, and the ensuing sharp downside reversal, has seriously weakened the outlook for the energy sector.

The Energy Select Spyder (XLE) was clearly the star performer in the first quarter of 2011, but failed to make new highs with many of the market averages in early May.

In last night’s report, Fasten Your Seatbelts, I noted that the major stock-market averages were very near critical short-term support and that they were moving in lock-step with crude oil. Later, I examined several major oil companies, all among the largest components of XLE, and they also appear to be completing significant top formations.

The completion of these tops in the energy sector will impact the S&P 500 and Dow much more than the energy-light Nasdaq-100. If we get a drop in the major averages to more important support, it will be important for another sector to step in and take over leadership. It could be the tech sector.
Tags: oil

Though first-quarter earnings have been solid, there are new concerns that the momentum won't continue.

By Anthony Mirhaydari May 12, 2011 12:11PM

While job growth, housing and wages have all lagged during the economic recovery to date, corporate earnings have been the bright spot as executives leverage a vast pool of cheap labor, rising global demand and a focus on cost cutting to expand margins and deliver impressive profitability growth despite modest revenue growth.  
As a result, corporate profits have pushed to record highs, lighting a fire under the stock market. We've seen this reflected in first-quarter earnings. Of the 443 S&P 500 companies that reported though the week of May 6, 267 beat analyst earnings estimates, 299 beat on sales and 198 beat on both.


That's all well and good. But there is increasing evidence that the profit tailwind is set to subside. And with stock market valuations looking stretched and the economic outlook darkening, this is likely to put added pressure on equities in the months to come. Here's why.


National Presto provides some risk, as well as a tasty hidden payout.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day May 12, 2011 11:41AM

By Anand Chokkavelu, CFA


Last week, I laid out the investment case for one massive hidden dividend. The company I was referring to was National Presto (NPK).


Now I'm putting my money where my mouth is, buying shares for my real-money Rising Star portfolio.


Why I'm buying
Long story short, National Presto pays out a small, regular dividend each year, equating to a 0.9% dividend yield at today's prices. But counting its special dividend (which increased slightly from the year before), that yield jumps to 7.4%.


The company has a lot of moving parts, and there are definitely risks (which I'll detail below) that could keep it from prolonging its dividend magic, but I like the stock at today's prices -- and I like it even more if the stock falls further.


Some of the biggest names in consumer sales are forgoing traditional e-commerce to push sales directly via their Facebook accounts.

By InvestorPlace May 12, 2011 11:40AM
Every day, millions of people catch up with buddies on Facebook, play games or just share something that's on their minds with the world. So why wouldn't users just do a little shopping while updating their status?

That's the mind-set of some of the biggest names in retail, anyway, as more and more merchants move away from traditional e-commerce websites and integrate sales directly into their Facebook accounts.

Is this just a craze, or could social media wind up killing traditional online retail sites as we know them? 

A unique 'rental' plan providing Chrome computers to students could help fend off the iPad craze.

By InvestorPlace May 12, 2011 11:10AM

investorplaceThere's no doubt Apple (AAPL) and its runaway success with the iPad are taking a bite out of the laptop market. But for some folks, the flash of a tablet isn't worth the expense, and the comfortable old click of a keyboard is just plain faster for writing longer documents.

That's why Apple's Silicon Valley competitor Google (GOOG) is pushing forward with an ambitious plan to offer ultra-cheap laptops using its Chrome operating system. The gadgets go on sale for as little as $349.

But the real sales potential, according to a rumor first reported by Forbes, is that the Chrome laptop -- complete with Internet access can -- be "rented" for just $20 a month.


The People's Bank may raise interest rates at least twice more this year.

By Jim J. Jubak May 12, 2011 11:03AM
Jim JubakChina's annual inflation rate dropped to 5.3% in April, from March’s 5.4%. That 5.3% rate was above the 5.2% consensus projection by economists, as surveyed by Bloomberg. And it was still way above the government’s 4% inflation target.

In Shanghai, stocks fell a modest 0.25% for the day. The futures market priced non-deliverable yuan forwards to indicate a 2.4% appreciation in the yuan against the US dollar, from the current rate of 6.4926 yuan.

I think both the stock and currency markets may be a bit too optimistic.

The inflation data -- and continued heavy bank lending in the month (banks made 740 billion yuan ($114 billion) in new loans) -- say to me that the People’s Bank of China will raise interest rates at least two more times in 2011.

While the world's largest companies can seem boring, they are historically cheap and may catch up to their small- and mid-cap counterparts in the months ahead.

By TheStreet Staff May 12, 2011 10:22AM

By Don Dion, TheStreet


A combination of factors is helping to boost the popularity of large, industry behemoths like General Electric (GE), Exxon Mobil (XOM)IBM (IBM), and Procter & Gamble (PG).


Although mega caps such as these are often viewed as boring, this slice of the marketplace could prove attractive in the months ahead.


For one, companies in this mega-cap segment appear noticeably cheap. This week, both the Economist and Barron's cited an analyst report from Morgan Stanley that noted that, relative to the broader market, mega-cap companies are currently at their cheapest levels in a quarter century.


The sell-offs in silver, oil and stocks are necessary for markets to go higher on the basis of reality.

By Jim Cramer May 12, 2011 9:08AM

jim cramerthe streetLooks like total end-of-the-world alert time. Let's spin it: Commodities prices are collapsing because there is a sudden cessation in demand, brought about by skyrocketing commodities prices. Because gasoline (which is going down now) had gone up so much, the consumer doesn't have enough left to spend. And because food prices (which are going to plummet) went up so much, households don't have enough left from their paychecks to buy anything.


When we see the prices of the big metals come down, something that the Chinese government has been waiting for so it can stop tightening its economy, then we have to sell stocks, because the Chinese government is tightening.


Housing prices, which are being kept down by aggressive selling of foreclosed homes, as the most recent existing-home sales numbers tell you, will keep going down because the foreclosed homes are weighing on pricing. Of course, the fact that even with all of the foreclosed homes being sold pricing is only off about 5% doesn't matter. Housing is crashing!


Got that?


This week's corrections have turned the outlook for the markets almost upside down, at least in the short term. A big rally will be needed soon to get the uptrend back on track.

By May 11, 2011 6:49PM
By Tom Aspray,

The sharp reversal in the crude oil and stock market has weakened the short-term outlook for both markets.

Though the stock market in particular has done everything to surprise us on the upside, I am seeing similar short-term chart formations in both commodities and stocks that suggest the current decline will continue.

The key support levels to watch are the lows we made last week. If we can hold these levels tomorrow, we can keep the short-term uptrend intact. If not, than we are likely to see a drop back to—and possibly below—the April lows.

The good news is that the S&P A/D line did make new highs this week, so after a correction the stock markets’ overall uptrend should resume. On the other hand, the failure of the Russell 2000 A/D line to move above the early April highs favors further weakness. 

Let’s look at the charts.

The top executive at Philip Morris International tells shareholders that smokes aren't so addictive.

By Kim Peterson May 11, 2011 3:02PM
Image: Man smoking (© Steve Mason/Photodisc Blue/Getty Images)I've known only one person who easily gave up cigarettes. He threw his last pack away and simply stopped then and there. It truly was that simple. Of the other ex-smokers I know, quitting was a nightmare.

Perhaps it was this person that Philip Morris International's (PM) chief executive was thinking about recently when he said that it's "not that hard to quit" cigarettes. Louis Camilleri was asked about the issue at the company's annual shareholder meeting. A nurse said that one of her patients told her it was harder to quit cigarettes than crack, cocaine or methamphetamine.

Camilleri acknowledged that cigarettes are harmful and addictive. "Whilst it is addictive, it is not that hard to quit," he told the nurse. "There are more previous smokers in America today than current smokers." 

But this time it might succeed. Private equity and eBay, which still owns 30% of Skype, could sell.

By V.N. Katsenelson May 11, 2011 2:35PM

When I wake up in the morning and check news for the companies I own, I worry.  I don't worry that my companies missed their quarterly guidance by a few pennies – running a business is an art, and things don't usually work out in a precise, linear fashion.  The companies that have a "deliver the quarter" culture often just play their financial statements as a musical instrument. 

No, I am not worried about that.  What worries me is that a company in my portfolio will pull a "Microsoft" – announce a stupendous, "transformative" acquisition, like the $48 billion takeover of Yahoo that Microsoft announced in 2008, but that Yahoo's management was too ... (fill in the blank) to accept.  (I spent some time looking at Yahoo last week. Its stock is at $18, almost half the price that Microsoft offered, and I find the company only mildly undervalued if you give a significant value to the assets and Alibaba Group that Yahoo acquired in 2006 and which were not worth nearly as much in 2008.)


The new First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index Fund offers investors a way to tap the growth in the global car industry.

By TheStreet Staff May 11, 2011 1:21PM

By Don Dion, TheStreet


The ETF market now boasts over 1,000 funds, according to the April fund flow data compiled by the National Stock Exchange.


The industry's rapid growth and expansion has resulted in products designed to reach corners of the marketplace. Despite this wide selection, there are still areas that have remained largely untouched by ETFs.


The car industry has traditionally been one such category. Despite the fact that the industry's resurgence has been one of the major success stories in the global economic revival, there is no pure-play ETF option available, leaving auto enthusiasts to struggle to capture the strength of car makers and parts suppliers.


Reverse splits aren't always the kiss of death.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day May 11, 2011 12:50PM

By Dan Caplinger


Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) fought against it for years -- and won. Fellow Fool Rich Munarriz thinks YRC Worldwide (YCRW) needs it bad. And now that Citigroup (C) has finally succumbed to its allure, the question remains: Will the big bank's reverse split spell disaster for the company's stock?


As fellow Fool Cindy Johnson explains here, many think the answer is a definite yes. But judging from its first day of trading after its 1-for-10 reverse split took effect, Citi investors are answering with a resounding "I don't know." Having closed at $4.52 last Friday, the stock finished at $44.16 yesterday, amounting to a 2.3% loss on an up day for the market. But longer term, shareholders must wonder whether it would be better to get out now before any more damage gets done.


Why reverse splits are scary
It's been a while since the go-go days of the 1990s, when stock splits seemed to be a dime a dozen. But back then, companies paid close attention to their share prices, making sure that investors who were used to dealing in 100-share lots wouldn't find their stock too expensive as it grew in value. To remedy the situation, when a stock's price got too high, the company would split its shares. The split would have no effect on the value of current investors' positions -- they'd have more shares at a lower price each -- but it would make those 100-share lots cheaper for new investors.



Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.


StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

109 rated 1
276 rated 2
421 rated 3
629 rated 4
511 rated 5
538 rated 6
686 rated 7
507 rated 8
331 rated 9
109 rated 10

Top Picks

TAT&T Inc9

Trending NOW

What’s this?



Quotes delayed at least 15 min


Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.


There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.
There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.
Market index data delayed by 15 minutes

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages finished the session on a modestly higher note, but not before heavy selling pressure sent the Nasdaq Composite (+0.3%) for a test of its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500, meanwhile, added 0.7% with all ten sectors posting gains.

Equities climbed at the open with the advance built on the relative strength of biotechnology and other momentum names. Despite the solid early gains in those areas, the market began fading from its high as multiple ... More


There’s a problem getting this information right now. Please try again later.