A stock market graph trending down © jmiks/Getty Images
Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.


There are many reasons everyday investors are losing interest in stocks, but the daily beatings we receive from across the pond might be the most frustrating.

By Jim Cramer Sep 30, 2011 9:30AM

the streetIf you are like me, you tire of knowing you are going to be down big because Germany is down 3% or France is down 2.5%. It takes any joy or hope out of the game. We know that we are less important than they are, and we can't just decide that because jobless claims were better than expected by a couple of thousand we are now free to trade on American news.


There are several debilitating aspects of this business right now that have simply made stocks unpalatable -- justifiably -- to everyday investors.


Technical analysis offers no support to a market in decline. In other words, look out below.

By InvestorPlace Sep 30, 2011 8:59AM
By Sam Collins, InvestorPlace.com

Stocks opened with a technical recovery Thursday after a drubbing on Wednesday. That followed positive news from Europe and a drop in weekly jobless claims.

A late rally recovered most of the losses, but the Nasdaq closed the day down. And judging by sentiment early Friday, it looks like we could be headed lower again to end the week.

Thursday's extreme volatility may not be evidenced by the closing numbers. And the prospect of end-of-quarter window dressing may also mask some of the mayhem. But if you look at the charts, you can see a rather ugly story unfolding in the days ahead.

It's time for investors to get very, very worried. Just see for yourself in these charts:


Two pieces of economic news could move the markets.

By Jim J. Jubak Sep 29, 2011 4:40PM
Fasten your seat belts. Friday could be a bumpy ride.

Two economic numbers, one from China overnight (from a U.S. perspective) and one from the U.S. before the market opens, have the power to move stocks in the current very volatile environment.

The Chinese number is the official version of the preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI). The preliminary version, released by HSBC and Markit Economics on Sept. 22, showed the manufacturing PMI falling to 49.4 in September from 49.9 in August. Any index level below 50 indicates that the sector is contracting. [Update, 7 am ET, Sept. 30: The PMI came in at 49.9 in September].


The bookseller's stock has fallen 10% since Amazon announced its new tablet.

By Kim Peterson Sep 29, 2011 4:16PM
Shares of Barnes & Noble (BKS) were down 3% Thursday after falling 7% the day before. The company can largely thank Amazon (AMZN), which unveiled a major threat to the Nook e-reader this week.

Barnes & Noble was already having a tough time. Its shares have dropped more than 50% in three years, and executives had hoped the Nook would carry it out of its misery. Those hopes may be dashed now. 

The presidential candidate says the investor, with his tax-the-rich suggestions, is unaware of the jobs situation in parts of the country.

By Kim Peterson Sep 29, 2011 2:40PM
Who knows more about the real world: Rick Perry or Warren Buffett?

Perry took aim at the Oracle of Omaha in an interview Thursday on CNBC. He was asked about the "Buffett rule," which says people making more than $1 million a year should at least pay the same tax percentage that the middle class does. 

Starting next year, the $5 charge will hit most customers who buy things with debit cards.

By Kim Peterson Sep 29, 2011 1:30PM
Bank of America (BAC), drowning in financial problems, plans to add a $5 monthly fee for customers who make debit card purchases.

The Dow Jones news service uncovered the plans after seeing an internal memo sent to bank executives Thursday. It's safe to say that customers will be outraged if the new charges start early next year as planned.

The fee will kick in only during the months when customers use their debit cards to make a purchase, Dow Jones reports. If you use your debit card only at an ATM, you won't get charged. 

The grocery store cash register is doubling as a vacuum.

By InvestorPlace Sep 29, 2011 10:40AM

By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com

Inflation is the untold story of the economic downturn. While unemployment, foreclosures and government debt make plenty of headlines, it's startling to consider the slow and steady ascent of consumer staples. Inflation is driving up things like beef, soft drinks, grains and milk.

There are ways to hedge your investment portfolio against inflation, such as the best inflation investments I highlighted recently in a separate column. But there is little you can do to cut back the grocery bill as food prices continue rising.

Haven't noticed how bad inflation has gotten at the supermarket? Well, here are nine ugly instances showing how much damage inflation is inflicting on family budgets:


The huge number of unlocked smartphones illustrates either fans' fervor for Apple or customer dissatisfaction with AT&T and Verizon.

By InvestorPlace Sep 29, 2011 9:53AM
By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com

Apple (AAPL) iPhone fans know no bounds. Sprint (S) and T-Mobile might not formally carry the iPhone or subsidize sales of the smartphone, but that doesn't stop Apple junkies from finding a way around limitations.

Case in point: A blog post from T-Mobile this week claims that 1 million T-Mobile iPhones are already on the company's network.


Contrast a company like Paychex, which is finding new ways to grow, with Darden, which asks you to keep waiting for a turnaround.

By Jim Cramer Sep 29, 2011 8:57AM

the streetHere we go again. A division of Darden (DRI) is disappointing. This time it is Olive Garden with some truly hideous numbers: a 2.9% decline in same-store sales.


That -- plus some very negative commentary about challenges and inflation and still one more promise to revitalize stores -- makes me feel that, while there's a 3.8% yield, maybe it's not worth waiting for this company to get its act together.

Contrast Darden with Paychex (PAYX). Here's a company that is levered to hiring and business formation. It should be getting hammered, because we don't have a lot of hiring or business formation in this country. Has Paychex decided it will sit around and wait for things to get better? Hardly. It has created services, including human resources outsourcing options, that enabled it to beat numbers and report 13% growth.


We're not yet at the day when we can choose from a menu of channels, but we may be headed there.

By Kim Peterson Sep 28, 2011 5:53PM
After fighting the idea for decades, cable operators are finally opening the door to offering channels on an individual basis.

Customers have clamored for this for years. If you don't watch the Disney Channel, why on Earth should you have to pay for it? But cable companies have argued that the all-or-nothing approach is the only way to do it.

But now, cable customers are slipping away. They're cutting budgets in the stumbling economy. They're moving to programs available on Netflix (NFLX) or other websites. Comcast (CMCSA) and Time Warner Cable (TWC) lost 1.2 million video customers in the last year, Reuters reports

F5 Networks is barely off its 52-week bottom, but analysts expect big earnings growth for its fourth quarter.

By Jim J. Jubak Sep 28, 2011 5:04PM
Let’s say this rally runs for a while -- like maybe right into earnings season. What about a good buy or two?

(I wouldn’t recommend getting giddy here, though. Remember that the Aug. 31 high on the S&P 500 is 1,219, and the July high is 1,344. This market is in a trading range, in my opinion, until it demonstrates otherwise, though there is a question of where the top is, 1,219 or 1,344. The bottom seems pretty clear at 1,120.)

You can go for stocks in the crushed commodities sector, such as Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX), which I recommended on Monday.

After more than a month of customer discontent, subscriber defections may be bottoming out.

By Kim Peterson Sep 28, 2011 3:33PM
Netflix (NFLX) can breathe a sigh of relief. After one of the worst months in its history, things may be finally looking up.

Subscriber cancellations are stabilizing, according to a note from analysts at PiperJaffray. The analysts conducted a survey of subscribers and found that that only 10% of customers now expect to quit the service. That's down from 15% in mid-August.

"The risk of a mass exodus appears to be moderating," the analysts wrote

With a new device at a shockingly low price, Amazon has just narrowed the field to 2 players.

By Kim Peterson Sep 28, 2011 2:13PM
The way people are raving about Amazon's (AMZN) new Kindle, you'd think Apple (AAPL) would just pack it in and go home. Game over.

After all, this is a 7-inch touch-screen tablet that can play movies and music -- for only $199. The cheapest iPad starts at $499.

Amazon's stock lit up after the announcement Wednesday, trading up 3% at midday to $231. Apple shares were unchanged. 

The Kindle Fire could make a big difference for the company.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Sep 28, 2011 2:06PM

By Eric Bleeker


If you take one thing away from the unveiling of Amazon.com's (AMZN) new tablet, it should be this: When Jeff Bezos unveiled the price at Wednesday's press conference, the person sitting next to me gasped.


Only $199 for that sharp-looking of a tablet?


If you've been holding out on buying an iPad in hopes of a more viable competitor, your time has come. Amazon has unveiled its new Kindle Fire. I was at the press conference and offer more analysis below, but first the details:


As Europe nears a solution to its debt crisis, investors buy up some of the most economically sensitive stocks.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Sep 28, 2011 1:34PM

Stocks have pushed higher this week as European policymakers move closer to mending the festering wound that is their debt crisis, which has gone on so long without adequate treatment that it's now beginning to infect the continent's banking system as well.


The catalyst for the surge of good feelings has been reports that the eurozone is poised to enact a creative solution to maximize the firepower of its existing €440 billion bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility.

Details are unimportant. What matters is that the plan would give the Europeans €3.2 trillion with which to support Greece and build a firewall around the too-big-to-fail nations of Italy and Spain.



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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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