A stock market graph trending down © jmiks/Getty Images
Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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Investors are way too skittish. Stay long this week

By Jamie Dlugosch Jun 20, 2011 9:57AM

It was not easy by any means, but the market managed to finish last week with a gain. The fractional increase in value ended a six-week losing streak.

 

The gains were a bit of a mirage.

 

The major indexes may have closed higher, but many stocks traded lower. Technology stocks in particular were hit hard. Losses in that very important industry suggest that investors are still skeptical about the economy and future corporate profits.

 

Much of the weakness can be attributed to worries about the debt crisis in Greece. There is very real fear that a default will create a chain-reaction collapse in global finances. Until that fear subsides, stocks will struggle.

 

I will never sell stocks based on fear. As such, the ETF to buy this week is the iShares S&P North America Technology and Multimedia Fund (IGN).

 

The charts are signaling that the only way to go from here may be down. Oil shares are the most vulnerable.

By Jim Cramer Jun 20, 2011 9:03AM

jim cramerthe street Sometimes you just have to own how really bad this market is. When I went through the S&P 500 ($INX) charts this morning with an eye toward the collapse of Greece and the new battleground of Italy that's developing, I couldn't help but notice two things:

 

1. Only McDonald's (MCD) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had buyable charts of all the charts in the whole chart book.

 

2. The charts are screaming that we are headed into a second recession that's going to be a real doozy.

 

I want to write from the outset that I don't see things that way. I see many companies reiterating strength, and I see many companies that haven't seen strength about to get some, notably the companies that buy commodities.

 

But the stocks are signaling total calamity, and it is important to know that.

 

Sanford Bernstein downgrades Research In Motion. GE reaches a labor agreement. Boeing gets a 6-jet order from Qatar Airways.

By TheStreet Staff Jun 20, 2011 8:02AM

TheStreetBy Andrea Tse, TheStreet

 

Updated at 9:20 a.m. ET

 

Here are stocks that might be active in regular trading Monday.

 

BlackBerry maker Research In Motion (RIMM) has been cut to "underperform" from "market perform" by Sanford Bernstein. Shares were falling 1.8% to $27.25.

 

Conglomerate General Electric (GE) and its two largest unions have reached a tentative four-year labor deal that affects more than 15,000 GE workers. GE shares were down 0.7% to $18.37.


Qatar Airways said it will order six Boeing (BA) 777 jets, with a total value of $1.7 billion. Boeing heads into the Paris Air Show on Monday with more orders this year than rival Airbus.

 

Indicators are mixed, and events next week could tip the scales to the bears or bulls, but sideways trading in the short term seems likely to be followed by a solid rebound.

By MoneyShow.com Jun 17, 2011 7:44PM
By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com

The six-week decline in the US stock market is over, at least for now. Though Friday’s rally gave bulls some hope, on the back of better than expected LEI numbers, it was not enough to change the prevailing bearish outlook for the stock market.

With speculators and many pros still on the short side of the market, and the regular investor either out or very nervous, how much higher can stocks bounce?

Both US and European markets were encouraged by Friday’s press conference from German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy. Their apparent agreement to work with the ECB on a solution for Greece’s debt problem helped calm the markets.

Standard & Poor's downgrade of Greece’s debt early in the week, not to mention the widely televised riots in that nation, had made the markets even more nervous. The plunging euro at mid-week also did not help, as reports circulated that hedge funds were making big bets on a Euro collapse.

On the Asian front, the latest news on the Chinese economy was not encouraging, as its consumer price index for May rose 5.4% from a year ago. Industrial production was positive, suggesting the economy was still growing.
 

Boeing will increase production as it ups its expectations for aircraft orders.

By Jim J. Jubak Jun 17, 2011 5:25PM
Jim JubakBoeing (BA) has moved the yardsticks -- both long- and short-term -- in the last few days.

First, the company announced that it will increase the production rate for its newest 737 model, to 35 per month in early 2012 and 42 per month by early 2014. Current production is 31.5 planes a month.

Second, Boeing upped its estimates for total aircraft orders -- from all manufacturers -- over the next 20 years to $4 trillion. Boeing sees the global fleet doubling in size by 2030, on a 5.1% annual growth in global passenger traffic and a declining average age for aircraft.

Higher fuel prices and tighter environmental regulations are pushing airlines to retire their planes at an earlier age. For example, Boeing projects that 94% of the planes operated by European airlines in 2030 will have entered service after 2011.
 

The stock slips on worries that revenue growth is slowing. So is it time to buy?

By Kim Peterson Jun 17, 2011 3:44PM
Google (GOOG) shares closed at $485.02 today -- the stock's first close below $500 since September. What's going on here?

The stock has slid 24% since peaking at $642.97 intraday on Jan. 19, and now is pretty much where it was three years ago. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is a mere 13.8, and most analysts think the stock is undervalued.

Google hasn't become a slow-growth company, but the stock market is treating it like one. So is it time to buy Google shares?

Let's go over some of the reasons investors are disappointed in the company: 

Donor pays $2.63 million to eat steak with Buffett. Dick Bove calls out Cohan for "hot air" comment. J.C. Penney shares take a wild ride.

By TheStreet Staff Jun 17, 2011 2:39PM

TheStreetBy Gregg Greenberg, TheStreet

 

Here is this week's roundup of the dumbest actions on Wall Street.

 

5. Lunch lunacy

 

What kind of value investor forks over $2.63 million for a steak lunch?

 

The anonymous bidder who ponied up this outlandish amount to charity will get to dine with the king of all value investors, Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.B) Warren Buffett.

 

One of the company's largest stakeholders criticizes management and says he's dumping half of his holdings.

By Kim Peterson Jun 17, 2011 1:35PM
Research In Motion's (RIMM) shares dropped 21% Friday to $27.87. Who could have imagined that this stock would fall below $30?

Not long ago, it seemed the company could do no wrong. Its BlackBerry device was a must-have for business and a status symbol for executives. RIM had the business world in its palm.

But the company and its stock has been on a devastating downward spiral, punctuated by disappointing quarterly earnings like the report we saw Thursday (Charley Blaine has the gory details here).

And now, even some of RIM's top investors are publicly bashing the company. 

Bargain-hunters return after one of the worst sell-offs in decades.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Jun 17, 2011 1:11PM

Investors have suffered a crisis of confidence over the past few weeks as all the negative factors I started discussing in my columns and blogs months ago -- the eurozone crisis, inflationary pressure, high gas prices and Japan's supply-chain problems -- replaced an air of confidence and optimism with fear and  distrust.

 

As a result, by some measures, stocks fell to their most oversold levels since 1999, as I discussed in my most recent blog post. And then they continued falling.

 

But now it appears that the turn I've been writing about is finally at hand as the economic fundamentals improve and bargain-hunters enter the fray. You could see this in Friday's report on leading economic indicators, which jumped more than expected, thanks to an increase in the yield curve (the subject of my previous column), consumer expectations and permits for new housing. And you can see it in the way bullish investors have initiated new uptrends in solid companies like United Technologies (UTX) and Kraft (KFT) by bidding shares up and over their 18-day moving averages.

 

This is just the start.

 

The consumer-review website is reportedly getting ready to file in August.

By Kim Peterson Jun 17, 2011 1:08PM
Now I've heard everything. The website Angie's List is preparing to file in August for an initial public offering, Bloomberg reports.

The website publishes consumer reviews about plumbers, roofers, mechanics and other service providers and charges users a membership fee. In the Phoenix market, for example, the fee is $39 for one year. The company also gets revenue from advertising.

Perhaps I shouldn't dismiss Angie's List at first glance. Perhaps the company has huge plans that warrant an IPO. We'll know more when it files its paperwork to go public. The company has picked Bank of America (BAC) to lead the IPO, Bloomberg reports.  

What is Pottermore, and what does it mean? Rumors abound of a new venture.

By Kim Peterson Jun 17, 2011 12:27PM
Harry Potter fans are abuzz about a new website, Pottermore.com, that hints at a new project from author J.K. Rowling. The website shows two owls on a pink background and links to a YouTube site counting down the days until the June 23 announcement.

What's next for Harry Potter? Rowling's people say it's definitely not a new book. An editor at the Harry Potter news site HPANA got a sneak preview of Pottermore and said it's "breathtaking in scope, detail and sheer beauty."

Check out this video report about the mysterious new site and what it means for Harry Potter fans.

Post continues below: 

Their stocks have held up surprisingly well and could lead the market's next leg higher. These 3 might be worth a nibble.

By MoneyShow.com Jun 17, 2011 12:23PM
By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com

While concerns over the economy are continuing to grow, there are few signs that they are impacting many of the restaurant stocks. From the May 2 high close on the S&P 500, it has since declined by 6.9% (through Thursday’s close) while the S&P Restaurant index was up 1.7%. That is a differential of 8.6% in just over six weeks.

Many of the individual restaurant stocks have done even better, and typically, those stocks that perform the best during a market correction will lead the market higher once it turns around.

On the other hand, the sectors for which the technical and relative performance analysis is negative have done even worse than the S&P 500.

The technical outlook for the materials sector and the Select Sector SPDR - Materials (XLB) was discussed on May 3 (see “Will the Materials Slump Continue?”), and since the May 2 close, it is down 9.1%, as is the Select Sector SPDR - Energy (XLE). This is 2.2% worse than the S&P 500’s performance over the same time period.

On the first oversold rally in the stock market, the materials and energy sectors may see more short covering, but once the market starts a sustainable new uptrend, groups like the restaurant stocks are likely to do the best.
 

The critics nuke Duke, and Pandora's out of the box.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Jun 17, 2011 11:31AM

By Rick Aristotle Munarriz

 

Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. Let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.

 

1. Underwriters do a little overwriting
Shares of Boingo Wireless (WIFI) surged 32% higher on Monday, after four analysts chimed in with bullish opinions.

 

Wait a minute. Weren't these the same four analysts that took the Wi-Fi hot-spot operator public at $13.50 just a month ago? Oh, they were.

 

Despite its profitability and slow yet determined growth, shares of Boingo Wireless were smacked down to $7.65 before Monday's orchestrated CPR session. There's nothing dumb about standing behind the poorly received stock that these four analysts helped take public, but why did Pacific Crest issue a price target of $13?

 

After some shaky years, the airline appears to be headed in a promising direction.

By TheStreet Staff Jun 17, 2011 11:14AM

Image: Airline (© Christie & Cole/Corbis)By Don Dion, TheStreet

 

This weekend I'll get to rub elbows with the one and only Warren Buffett when I head to Las Vegas to attend a NetJets-sponsored poker tournament.

 

So far, 2011 has proved an interesting and controversial year for Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) fractional jet ownership company, and there's a good chance the Oracle of Omaha will use the event to ease tensions and restore customer confidence in the company.

 

Since Berkshire initially acquired NetJets in 1998, the company has been a tricky investment. As Buffett noted in his 2010 Berkshire letter to shareholders, "Even though NetJets was consistently a runaway winner with customers, our financial results, since its acquisition in 1998, were a failure."

 

After much hype surrounding some big-name public offerings, Bankrate and others are falling short. Is the 2011 IPO scene flaming out? With video.

By InvestorPlace Jun 17, 2011 11:00AM

By Jeff Reeves, Editor, InvestorPlace.com


Bankrate (RATE) made its big debut on Wall Street on Friday morning, raising about $187.5 million in its IPO. The offering was priced at $15 a share.

 

But as with other IPOs lately, the initial price didn't hold. In early trading, Bankrate had slumped as low as $14.10 a share.

 

What makes Bankrate interesting, however, is that unlike other recent offerings, it didn't even get the hoopla of a big bounce right out of the gate. That bodes very ill for upcoming 2011 IPOs that could include Dunkin' Donuts, Groupon and Facebook.

 

Let's look back at some of the biggest recent offerings to show you what I mean.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages hover just below their highs with one hour remaining in the final session of the week.

Tomorrow, most global markets, including the U.S., will be closed for Good Friday, while Japan's Nikkei and China's Shanghai Composite will remain open. On Monday, the New York Stock Exchange will open at its regular time, while markets across Europe and Hong Kong's Hang Seng will remain closed for Easter Monday. Nasdaq +17.71 at 4103.94... NYSE Adv/Dec ... More


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