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Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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An advertisement by the lip balm maker triggered a social-media drama that was simply unnecessary.

By Kim Peterson Oct 27, 2011 4:01PM
The latest online scandal started, as many of those things do, with a woman's rear end. And ChapStick wishes it would all go away.

Yes, ChapStick. The lip-balm maker, owned by Pfizer (PFE), decided to run an advertisement prominently showing the behind of a woman searching for her ChapStick behind a sofa. "Where do lost ChapSticks go?" asked the ad.

It was a bizarre photo (you can see it here) but not really any big deal. We've seen far worse in other advertisements.  
Tags: PFE

Is the online-music darling destined to follow the blueprint made notorious by Netflix CEO Reed Hastings?

By Benzinga Oct 27, 2011 3:30PM

By Louis Bedigian, Benzinga Staff Writer


There has been a lot of love for Spotify this year. But you know what they say: if you love something, you have to set it free.


I'm starting to wonder if this applies to entertainment services. I look at what happened to Netflix (NFLX) and cringe. This was the company that took down Blockbuster!

 

The video game giant is getting whacked by a strong Japanese yen and by flagging sales of hardware and software.

By Kim Peterson Oct 27, 2011 2:45PM
What a blow for Mario.

Nintendo (NTDOY), the biggest video game company in the world, is set to post its first annual loss ever. The company had previously expected to make a profit of about 20 billion yen, or $264 million, for the year ending next March.

But on Thursday, Nintendo delivered the crushing news: Instead of a profit, the company could see a net loss of about 20 billion yen. That was a surprise to analysts, who had expected to see a profit of about 12.2 billion yen, Bloomberg reports

An against-the-odds deal to save the eurozone is yet another example of reality surprising to the upside. It's set to continue.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Oct 27, 2011 12:58PM

Stocks blasted higher Thursday like a lit Saturn V on the way to the Sea of Tranquility, thanks to a better-than-expected result from Wednesday's big eurozone summit in Brussels.


Policymakers hit all the targets: Bank recapitalizations to prepare for a Greek debt restructuring, leveraging the eurozone bailout fund to more than €1 trillion, and creating insurance funds needed to attract capital from private investors and emerging markets like China and Russia.

 

Flooding in Thailand has created near-term problems, but the hard disk drive maker remains a long-term buy.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 27, 2011 12:44PM
By Paul McWilliams, Next Inning

The flooding in Thailand has significantly impacted the hard disk drive (HDD) market and with it suppliers like Marvell Technology Group (MRVL).

The company is the worldwide market leader in the HDD controller market. And while shortages of HDD manufacturing capacity will likely drive HDD prices up and lessen the impact on HDD manufacturers, lower unit volume will clearly have a negative impact. 
Tags: MRVL

Bullish option plays are piling up for a pair of emerging market ETFs. Those who believe in a year-end rally can buy in on the next pullback.

By MoneyShow.com Oct 27, 2011 11:50AM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com


It has clearly been a rough year for emerging markets, and investor sentiment towards the emerging markets has dropped for most of the year. Inflationary pressures caused many countries including India and China to raise rates early in the year, while Brazil has lowered rates twice since August.


Fears surrounding another recession have outweighed inflation concerns in Brazil even though the current inflation rate is 7.3%. China has also been cutting rates, but the markets were encouraged by recent data showing the manufacturing sector in China was improving. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is projecting a 6.1% growth rate for the emerging markets in 2012, as compared to only 1.9% in the developed world.


A bet on the emerging markets is consistent with my view that the US economy is really stronger than most expect. Option traders appear to agree, as option volume in two key emerging-markets ETFs has surged.

 

Worries over US defense budget cuts has created a buying opportunity for long-term investors.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 27, 2011 10:21AM
By Benjamin Shepherd, Personal Finance

Northrop Grumman (NOC) trades at 1.3 times the company’s book value and 0.5 times sales -- a bargain for a company expected to grow  revenues at an average annual rate of 9% over the next few years.

The stock has pulled back by 15 percent this year because of a recently passed deficit-trimming measure that would cut $350 billion from planned national defense spending over the next 10 years. 
Tags: NOC

Some boozy investments can give your portfolio a buzz.

By InvestorPlace Oct 27, 2011 9:11AM
Image: Wineglass (© Stockbyte/Photolibrary)By Charles Sizemore, The Sizemore Investment Letter


Perhaps the stress of the 2011 "mini bear market" has my nerves a little frayed -- or perhaps it's the celebratory atmosphere here in Dallas on the potential eve of the Texas Rangers' first World Series championship getting the better of me -- but I find myself thinking a little too much about booze these days.


For an investor, this is not necessarily a bad thing. Alcoholic beverage stocks have had a good run, and most have handily beaten the S&P 500 this year.

 

Bearish investors positioned for complete failure of the EU summit blew it.

By Jim Cramer Oct 27, 2011 9:09AM

Image: Businessman reading newspaper © A. Chederros/ONOKY/Getty Imagesthe streetLet's use this higher opening off the Europe deal as a microcosm, an incident that explains much of what happens in the stock market Thursday.

 

First, a proposition. Let's say I was bearish going into the EU drama session last night, meaning that my book was net short, classically meaning that I would make money if the market went down and would expect to lose if it went higher.

 

Higher crude prices boost the oil producer's earnings, while Procter & Gamble's results meet estimates.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 27, 2011 8:45AM

By Andrea Tse, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Updated at 9:05 a.m. ET

 

Oil producer Exxon Mobil (XOM) reported third-quarter earnings of $2.13 a share, beating the average estimate by a penny. Profit rose 41% as higher prices for oil and natural gas compensated for lower production.


Procter & Gamble (PG) posted fiscal-first-quarter earnings of $1.03 a share, in line with estimates, as sales rose 9% to $21.92 billion. Full-year earnings from continuing operations are expected to rise as much as 10% to the range of $4.17 to $4.33 a share. Analysts expect fiscal-year earnings of $4.20 a share on revenue of $87.12 billion.

 

Despite a stellar quarter, the company saw its share price drop as investors await dividend news.

By Benzinga Oct 26, 2011 7:01PM
The old slogan for Ford (F) used to be, "Have you driven a Ford lately?"

For more drivers, the answer appears to be yes, judging by the automaker's third quarter report Wednesday.

Ford reported a profit of 46 cents per share on $33.1 billion in revenue, beating analyst expectations of 45 cents per share on $29.86 billion in revenue. The company also increased its estimate for fourth quarter production by about 22,000 units to 1.4 million.

 
Tags: F

Here are the real facts on foreign oil, the U.S. debt, and buying American.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Oct 26, 2011 4:37PM

By Morgan Housel

 

At a conference in Philadelphia earlier this month, a Wharton professor noted that one of the country's biggest economic problems is a tsunami of misinformation. You can't have a rational debate when facts are so easily supplanted by overreaching statements, broad generalizations, and misconceptions. And if you can't have a rational debate, how does anything important get done? As author William Feather once advised, "Beware of the person who can't be bothered by details." There seems to be no shortage of those people lately.

 

Here are three misconceptions that need to be put to rest.

 

Misconception: Most of what Americans spend their money on is made in China.

 

The fertilizer maker announced a slight miss, but rising prices are helping Yara ride a wave that investors like to see.

By Jim J. Jubak Oct 26, 2011 4:24PM
Companies such as Cummins (CMI) are reporting big positive earnings surprises for the third quarter -- 11 cents a share above consensus for Cummins, for example -- and then seeing shares get slaughtered after warning investors about weakness in the fourth quarter. (Cummins, a member of my Jubak’s Picks portfolio, fell 5.1% the day of its news.)

Norwegian fertilizer maker Yara International (YARIY) did just the opposite. The company announced a slight miss, with EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) coming in about 2% below consensus, warning investors about a weaker fourth quarter. But then it signaled a stronger fourth quarter.
 
Tags: CMIYARIY

Long-term performance is more about common sense. Hence the beauty of the Dogs of the Dow.

By MoneyShow.com Oct 26, 2011 3:11PM

By Jim Trippon, Global Profits Alert


There's a history of investor interest in the 30 stocks and their dividends that comprise the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU).


There's even an approach called "Dogs of the Dow," which Michael O'Higgins featured in his book "Beating The Dow." Its relative simplicity struck a chord with many investors.

 

While the post-earnings fallout at Amazon rivaled that of Netflix, the two companies are nothing alike.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 26, 2011 3:01PM

the streetBy Jeanine Poggi, TheStreet

 

Amazon (AMZN) is nothing like Netflix (NFLX).

 

Despite a similar after-hours massacre following its third-quarter earnings report and a blurry fourth-quarter outlook that could turn out to be a loss, Amazon's business isn't broken like Netflix's is.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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