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Should you buy on the market dip?
A collapse in the Japanese markets is weighing on US stocks. Is it an opportunity or a warning sign?

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HPQ a good short candidate? Not at the moment.

By Jim Van Meerten May 5, 2010 3:09PM
Here is a company I really have mixed feelings about. Just after a bad customer support experience with my HP computers and printers, I read a posting on Marketocracy that asked: "What's behind this dinosaur? Not much!.....To me HPQ looks like a great short opportunity."

First let me tell you about my bad experience. I decided to upgrade my computer so I went to Best Buy and purchased a new HP Pavilion Entertainment PC. When I got home I tried to connect it to my old and trusty HP LaserJet III but there was no place to plug in the printer's 25 pin cable so back to Best Buy to get a converter cable to connect to the USB port. I log on and try to print but nothing happens. I call HP customer support to get assistance connecting my HP computer to my HP printer. To me that sounds like a logical step but boy was I wrong. 

Stocks are plunging, but new numbers show that the US economy is still recovering.

By Jim J. Jubak May 5, 2010 2:59PM

Jim JubakYou'd never know it by looking at plunging U.S. stock prices, but the economic data this week have been solid. 


The numbers point to a US economic recovery that is at worst chugging along and that at best might even be picking up speed.


So, for example, factory orders for March showed a big 1.3% increase. The consensus among economists called for a 0.2% decline. The government also revised February's numbers to show a 1.3% increase instead of the earlier 0.6% gain.

 

It's getting harder and harder to find a high-quality pick these days.

By Kim Peterson May 5, 2010 2:46PM

Shredded cash © RubberBall/SuperStockIs now a good time to buy stocks? Are any out there worth the effort?

The pickings are getting slimmer. Jim Jubak says investors are looking to get out of a market beset with woes. He suggests looking for bargains among growth stocks, but adds that stocks aren't going higher on good news these days.

Mark Hulbert at MarketWatch says "there are precious few stocks that qualify as genuinely very high quality."

 

It's a common investing dilemma: how early is too early, and how late is too late?

By Jamie Dlugosch May 5, 2010 2:17PM

Coffee shops © CorbisWould you rather by an established company with little risk but a relatively high price; a small-cap newcomer with more risk but potentially more reward, or even an early stage privately held company that may soar or sink?

 

One of the hottest stocks over the past two years has been Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR). Shares have appreciated nearly fivefold since the start of 2009.

But that was then. Last week’s sell-off in Green Mountain demonstrates the challenges of buying into a story late instead of early. Shares of Green Mountain dropped some 11% after providing guidance for the third quarter that was weaker than expected.

 

Shares of Cummins have lost recent gains, thanks to the European debt crisis.

By Jim J. Jubak May 5, 2010 1:32PM

Jim JubakBack on April 20, I said that I'd like to add shares of Cummins (CMI) to Jubak's Picks. Well, the stock ran away from me -- I mean, really ran, before I could get in a buy.


Now, thanks to the European debt crisis, the shares have given up all that gain and a little bit more. And I'm adding Cummins to Jubak's Picks Wednesday.


As I wrote in my post, the U.S. economic recovery is on track for decent, if not spectacular, growth. In that environment, I want to own growth stories where the basic underlying positives of the U.S. economy get a rocket booster blast from pent-up demand that has built up during the Great Recession. (For more on that kind of growth stock, see this post.)

 
Tags: Jim Jubak

In its quest to topple fast food giant McDonald's, Burger King has a new trick -- $1 Icees.

By InvestorPlace May 5, 2010 9:08AM

burger king bkc mcdonalds mcdIn a war over fast food promotions, The King and Ronald McDonald continue to duke it out.


First it was the $1 double cheeseburger war, which irked some BK franchisees. Then, the fight over breakfast. Now it appears McDonald’s (MCD) and Burger King (BKC)have come to blows over summer drinks.

Many Mickey D’s locations are planning a summer drink promotion where customers can get any sized soft drinks or a 32-ounce sweet tea for just $1. Now the King has counter-punched, with a plan to sell medium-sized Icees in Coke flavor or Fanta Cherry flavor for just $1. The promotion starts May 24 and runs until June 20.

 

The bank's real battleground is still the SEC suit, which it may find difficult to settle.

By Jim Cramer May 5, 2010 7:43AM
Jim Cramer

Nothing worse than a leak of a Justice Department investigation. It can't be countered. It can't be softened. It can't be commented on. It's just out and out "there," to be had as a football for the media to play with.


Not only that, there is no way the Justice Department will ever come out and deny it, or even indicate when it started looking, or what it is looking at, if at all.

 

The simple truth from the beginning of this Goldman Sachs (GS) leak is that the government is rationally approaching the case. Does anyone believe that Justice wouldn't be looking into the situation? Does anyone believe Justice is ignoring the probe?

 

If you've been waiting to sell until later in May or June, rethink your timing.

By Jim J. Jubak May 4, 2010 4:22PM

Jim JubakDo you feel the psychology of this market changing? 


A few weeks ago, I think you could have accurately said that investors on the sidelines were waiting to get into what they saw as a continuing stock market rally. I think that was true as late as April 15 (when the Standard & Poor's 500 index was at 1212) or even April 23 (when the S&P 500 was at 1217).


But now, I think it's fair to say that many investors in the market are looking for a day to get out.

 
Tags: Jim Jubak

A newspaper analysis shows that some in Congress made bets against the economy through ETFs.

By Kim Peterson May 4, 2010 2:39PM
Washington, D.C. © Bilderbuch/Design Pics/CorbisSome members of Congress bet against the U.S. economy in recent years, placing money down in hopes that stocks and bonds would fall.

It's entirely within their right to make those bets, and smart investors were doing the same thing all around. Still, there's just something unsettling about a lawmaker shorting the economy.

The Wall Street Journal analyzed congressional disclosures and found that 13 members of Congress (or their spouses) made bearish bets in investment accounts in 2008 through exchange-traded funds, or ETFs. 

Vanguard jumps into the brokerage price war, removing the commissions on its 46 ETFs.

By Kim Peterson May 4, 2010 1:52PM
Stock strategy © Getty Images The only way Vanguard could make its 46 exchange-traded funds more attractive is to cover them in chocolate syrup and whipped cream.

The company's ETFs are already super cheap. Now, it's offering commission-free transactions on those funds. For all other ETFs and stocks, commissions will be between $2 and $7, reports ETF Trends.

Low fees have served Vanguard well. The company is now the third-largest ETF provider in the world, with an average ETF expense ratio of 0.52%, reports ETF Trends. 

The warehouse retailer is seeing strong sales and strong dividend growth.

By InvestorPlace May 4, 2010 11:57AM

By Jim Woods, Investorplace.com


costco cost stockCostco (COST) was a darling of investors during the economic downturn as the warehouse discounter offered cash-strapped consumers a deal and saw strong profits as a result. But with the worst of the global recession in the rear-view mirror, investors are wondering what’s in store for Costco stock.

 

Now that economic conditions are improving, will shoppers keep ringing Costco’s register? Chances are they will, if strong sales numbers recently are any indication. That means investors could still see some upside in COST shares.

 

If you’re on the fence about Costco, here are three reasons you should hold your shares or buy in:

 

Investors need to tread carefully amid Europe's growing debt crisis.

By TheStreet Staff May 4, 2010 10:06AM

TheStreeteuro  © Corbis By Don Dion, TheStreet

 

The debt crisis in Europe has damaged the reputation of the euro and opens the door for much greater losses if one of the larger economies, such as those of Spain or Italy, succumbs to a fate similar to Greece’s.

 

An announced bailout deal for Greece (in the form of bilateral loans) failed to spur an immediate euro rally, even after the German cabinet approved the deal.

Learn more about ETFs

Previous bailout announcements spurred rallies that eventually turned back into pumpkins, and it's likely that investors have finally learned their lesson. Unless the Germans pass the bailout, there will be no bailout.

 

A new study shows that lodging surcharges are on the rise, prompting fears of more nickel-and-diming.

By InvestorPlace May 4, 2010 10:01AM

hotel fees baggageCustomers have long been complaining about how most airlines nickel-and-dime them on everything from food to extra bags to seat assignments. Well brace yourself, weary travelers, because it now appears that hotels are getting in on the act by tacking on the fees.

 

A new study from New York University found that while total fees collected by U.S. hotels declined to $1.55 billion last year, they are on the rise in 2010 -- tracking toward $1.7 in annual surcharges. According to NYU staff, the dip last year was largely due to a faltering economy and as booking increase so will the add-ons.

 

The fees were initially started by high-end hotels in the late 1990s for access to spas and putting greens -- now they appear to be creeping across even moderately priced hotel chains.

 

Given the new consumer optimism, good luck to anyone who wants to short this sector.

By Jim Cramer May 4, 2010 7:37AM
Jim Cramer

How badly would I want to short retail, if I were at my old hedge fund?

 

Consider Nordstrom (JWN). I mean, what the heck? How can that stock be up this much on absolutely nothing? We have a story about how Sears (SHLD) basically doesn't have a real CEO, and the stock is up 20% in a month.

 

Every single show company I follow has had dramatic moves. Can Guess? (GES) and J. Crew (JCG) keep going up on nothing, or Gap (GPS), which seems to be galloping to $30? Isn't this supposed to be the weak quarter for Polo Ralph Lauren (RL)? How many times can Lew Frankfort, CEO of Coach (COH), say things are great? Terry Lundgren has been flogging the turn in Macy's (M) for 8 points now. Jones Apparel (JNY) has gone up fivefold on the fact that things aren't as bad as they were.

 

The music titan is pumping out hits, focusing on its debt and the first quarter is up 'significantly'

By TheWrap May 3, 2010 8:31PM

The future of EMI, a decades-old music titan in the throes of survival mode, will be forged in the weeks to come. And to quote the firm's most bankable property: It's getting better all the time.


If the London-based conglomerate can get over the hump of an overdue debt payment and convince investors to buy into its five-year restructuring plan, all the doomsday predictions about the world's fourth-largest music company -- fueled by a recent exodus of major talent, including Paul McCartney -- will seem like so much hand-wringing.


The difference: EMI artists are doing great right now, from Lady Antebellum to Slash, and the company's market share has increased while the competition has slipped.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks entered the weekend on a mixed note as the S&P 500 shed 0.1% while the Dow ended with a gain of 0.1%.

The major averages began the day on a lower note as nine of ten sectors saw losses of more than 0.5%.

The consumer staples sector was the lone exception as the group spent the entire day in positive territory thanks to the relative strength of Dow component Procter & Gamble (PG 81.89, +3.19). The second-largest staple stock advanced ... More


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