A stock market graph trending down © jmiks/Getty Images
Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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Shoppers are expecting discounts this holiday, but a weak dollar and leaner inventories will pressure retailers to keep prices high.

By Kim Peterson Oct 10, 2011 3:17PM
Deep discounts and doorbuster sales helped save last year's holiday season, and sales rose 5.2% from the year before.

It's going to be much harder for stores to pull off a repeat performance this year. The National Retail Federation thinks retailers will only see a 2.8% increase in holiday sales. That could translate into tough times for stocks like Gap (GPS), Macy's (M) and other retailers. 

Crude prices are holding up better than those of other commodities, but the industry's stocks are a bargain.

By Jim Cramer Oct 10, 2011 1:14PM
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When is oil going to crash already? Isn't that the most salient question out there?


The prices of oil stocks, whether of drillers, big oil companies or independents, suggest that there is going to be a collapse in oil that will be of cataclysmic proportions.


However, you have oil companies like ConocoPhillips (COP) yielding 4% despite its breakup plans. You have oil-service companies like Halliburton (HAL), which has a shortage of employees compared with the amount of business it has, trading where it was when oil was in a free fall going toward $30 in 2007.

 

Household earnings continued to drop even after the recession ended in 2009, a new study shows.

By Kim Peterson Oct 10, 2011 12:50PM
The recession ended in June 2009 -- at least that's what the experts say.

But for many Americans, it doesn't seem that way. Part of the reason is that incomes haven't improved since the recession ended. In fact, median household income dropped more during the "economic recovery" than during the recession.

A new study from two former Census Bureau officials shows that during the recession, from December 2007 through June 2009, incomes fell 3.2%. But in the two years of recovery, starting June 2009, incomes fell 6.7%. 

The biggest generic-drug maker in the world should start to benefit from the next cycle.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 10, 2011 12:41PM
By Geoffrey Seiler, Bullmarket.com

We are adding to our position in Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA), which is already a holding on our recommended buy list.

Canaccord Genuity just initiated coverage of Teva, and analyst Randall Stanicky placed a "buy" rating and $52 price target on the stock. We agree with his analysis and are making a second purchase of this beaten-down stock. 
Tags: TEVA

ETF investors will be closely following earnings, including banking, retail and technology sector reports.

By TheStreet Staff Oct 10, 2011 11:26AM

By Don Dion, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Here are five ETFs to watch this week.

 

1. SPDR KBW Banks ETF (KBE)

 

Macroeconomic issues facing the European Union, China and other regions will continue to command headlines and steer investor sentiment. Earnings will also be in the spotlight as companies across the market spectrum report their quarterly results.

 

Banking goliath JPMorgan (JPM) is one of the first companies to step up to the plate. It has been a rough road for JPM and the rest of the financial sector as confidence wanes and many begin to question global economic growth prospects.

 

While I would encourage cautious investors to avoid turning to ETFs linked to the financials at this time, KBE will be an exciting product to watch as earnings season heats up. The fund casts a wide net over the banking sector, exposing investors to Wall Street kings like JPMorgan and Bank of America (BAC) as well as smaller regional banks.

 

A key technical measure for these shares indicates risk may be high for new buying.

By MoneyShow.com Oct 10, 2011 10:49AM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com


The rally from last week’s lows has been fairly impressive, as many stocks and ETFs show gains of over 10% in just a few days. Typically, sharp gains like this are more characteristic of a rally against the major trend.


Stocks are higher in early-Monday trading on new plans to support the Eurozone banks. A strong close Monday with strong A/D numbers could complete the bottom formations in the Advance/Decline (A/D) lines that we have been watching. This would put the market in a position to rally into the end of the year.


If last week’s lows in the stock market do hold, then those stocks and industry groups that are acting stronger than the market should be favored. This makes the relative performance, or RS analysis, especially important.

 

The company backtracks on separating its DVD and streaming businesses. Unfortunately, it won't be so easy to undo the damage the company has done to itself.

By InvestorPlace Oct 10, 2011 9:25AM

Updated: 4:50 p.m. ET

 

By Jeff Reeves, InvestorPlace.com


Netflix (NFLX) critics have been very vocal since the company's Sept. 1 move that would have separated its streaming video from DVD rentals. And it has been one wild ride for NFLX in recent weeks.


First we learned that 1 million Netflix customers defected because of the changes. Then Netflix CEO Reed Hastings stumbled through an apology and the company tactlessly revealed users would have to suffer through two websites with two billing accounts if they wanted both streaming and DVD service. The backlash was big, and shares went from more than $300 in July to as low as $108 recently.

 

Companies with a proven ability to grow earnings should be attracting more interest, a fund specialist says.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 9, 2011 12:49PM
By Jack Bowers, Fidelity Monitor

It’s been 11.5 years since growth stock values topped out in a speculative frenzy. Most of today’s large-cap growth stocks are now at the opposite end of the valuation spectrum. Investor pessimism, along with big earnings gains, has made them cheap.

Today it is easy to find good growth stocks with P/E ratios at a fraction of their projected earnings growth rate. Some of them even sell at below-market multiples. 

The Utility Forecaster newsletter picks Aqua America and American Water Works for safety, yield and growth.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 8, 2011 11:27AM
by Roger Conrad, The Utility Forecaster

US water utilities entered and exited the 2008-09 market crash/credit crunch/recession with barely a scratch.

With fears of another recession running high, US water utilities are even better positioned on their current fundamentals. Here's a look at Aqua America (WTR) and American Water Works (AWK)

The market may be close to a bottom, and next week’s action will likely either confirm that or send investors running for the hills. Still, there should be attractive buys out there.

By MoneyShow.com Oct 7, 2011 6:40PM
By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com

Last Tuesday’s headline in The Wall Street Journal, “Market Nears Bear Territory,” was enough to spur further selling in an already weak market.

The S&P 500 and Dow Industrials both dropped well below the August lows before staging an impressive late-day reversal. For a change, it was encouraging news from the Eurozone that helped spur the rally, but there was also likely some serious short covering.

As I noted in late September, there seemed to be a consensus building that we either were definitely going back into recession mode or were already there. A consensus in the financial markets is not always wrong, but the high degree of negative sentiment suggested joining the “gloom and doom” camp might not be the right idea.
 

Reports say the bank has started lobbying Congress and federal regulators to keep its planned fee intact.

By Kim Peterson Oct 7, 2011 5:24PM
Bank of America (BAC) knows customers are furious over plans to charge debit card users a $5 monthly fee. So it's taking steps to make sure that fee doesn't get derailed.

The bank has launched a massive lobbying effort to support the fee, Fox Business reports. The bank is contacting members of Congress as well as the new Consumer Protection Bureau to explain the logic behind the fee.

It may take some convincing to keep the Consumer Protection Bureau off of its back. 
Tags: BAC

Investors aren't listening to the Oracle of Omaha.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Oct 7, 2011 3:29PM

By Alex Dumortier

 

What would a stock tip directly from the Warren Buffett be worth to you? Ten days ago, that's exactly what he gave me -- and all of us. How did I come about this valuable information? The same way you did: he announced it publicly. Despite this, investors appear steadfast about ignoring this opportunity. Are you willing to seize it?

 

The stock is Buffett's own company, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). My guess is that you're now thinking two things. No. 1, it's boring. No. 2, the opportunity has already vanished. The news is out that Buffett is willing to repurchase Berkshire shares, and it's already baked into the price.

 

Think again.

 

I can't argue with the first point: Berkshire is boring. What of it? Investors who find that quality objectionable need to ask themselves if they are in this game for excitement or to make money.

 

Dividend reinvestment advisor highlights four favorite ADRS: Novo Nordisk, ARM Holdings, America Movil and China Mobile.

By TheStockAdvisors Oct 7, 2011 2:20PM
By Chuck Carlson, The DRIP Investor

Because of the risks inherent with investing overseas, investors interested in dividend reinvestment programs need to be particular when venturing abroad.

To make it easier for you to identify quality ADRs, I have highlighted some of my favorite ADR investments, including ideas in healthcare, technology and telecom. 

Buying 100 shares back then was a fairly small investment that would have brought big returns.

By Kim Peterson Oct 7, 2011 1:14PM
Steve Jobs is clearly one of the most universally admired chief executives in history. But it wasn't always that way.

He didn't have the faith of investors back in 1997, when he returned to Apple Computer. The company was barely hanging on, and when Jobs was named interim chief executive in September, the stock price was around $21.81 (or $5.45 adjusted for splits).

What if you had believed in him back then? What if you had bought 100 shares and sold them on Aug. 24, 2011, the day Jobs resigned as CEO? 
Tags: AAPL

Central bankers around the world are responding to the growth slowdown with more stimulus. But the economy was already recovering.

By Anthony Mirhaydari Oct 7, 2011 12:44PM

Just when everyone was ready to leave the recovery for dead -- murdered by things like $4 gas and the loss of America's AAA credit rating -- it's starting to come back.

 

Recent economic data have been surprising analysts consistently to the upside. Friday's September jobs report was well above expectations, with the biggest jump the service sector since April. As a result, the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (shown below) is about to move into positive territory for the first time since stocks were setting highs back in May. All of this reflects what I've been saying for weeks: The growth slowdown was caused by a loss of confidence, not irreparable damage to real economic activity.

 

But policymakers, who always operate on a lag, have been scared into action. Politicians are hamstrung by budget austerity at home and overseas, forcing central banks to take action. And boy, are they taking action, setting the stage for another low-volatility stock market rally in the months to come as cheap money floods into system already bolstered by a stronger economy.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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