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Be wary of dire market forecasts

The most likely scenario is that the markets will begin to rise from here -- and that bounce is just beginning to take hold.

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Historical patterns suggest that now through the end of the year is the time.

By TheStockAdvisors Nov 8, 2011 1:28PM
By Kevin McElroy, Daily Profit

What's the best time to buy gold on a seasonality basis? Now. Over the past 40 years November and December accounted for almost half of the year's gains for gold.

And 2011 doesn't differ all that much from the long-term seasonal trends. We had the characteristic spike in May, followed by a substantial correction in September-October. 
Tags: GLDgold

New surveys show that shoppers plan to spend more money online this coming season -- and that's a positive for many retailers.

By Trefis Nov 8, 2011 1:08PM
Retailers may get a bit of cheer this holiday season: More revenue from online sales.

A survey by Shop.org shows that 68% of retailers expect online sales to grow at least 15% or more over last year's holiday season. This survey is in line with another survey by the National Retail Federation that found the average shopper plans to do approximately 36% of his or her shopping online this season, up from 32.7% last year.  

Lower consumer spending could explain the reduced number of diners using the company's online reservation system.

By Trefis Nov 8, 2011 1:00PM
OpenTable (OPEN) increased its North American customer base to 16,237 from 15,560 in the third quarter, but its profit dropped by more than 35%.

The online restaurant-reservations site announced its quarterly results last week. While the company's operating costs continued to grow briskly, the weak economic environment clearly led to lower consumer spending. That could explain the reduction in the number of diners using OpenTable's online reservation system.  
Tags: OPEN

One investment firm tracking liquidity and fund flows says the sidelines are the place to be right now.

By TheStreet Staff Nov 8, 2011 12:49PM

By Michael Baron, TheStreet

TheStreet

 

Stocks roared back in October, ostensibly because the situation in Europe has achieved some semblance of clarity, but anyone paying attention to last week's volatility knows sentiment can turn on a headline.

 

TrimTabs, an investment firm tracking liquidity and fund flows, decided a few weeks back to get on the sidelines. The firm is neutral on U.S. stocks, a position it defines as 0% long, and has even moved its model portfolio completely into cash.

 
Tags: BACMANFLX

Materials and industrial companies are expected to outpace the S&P 500’s gains by up to twofold next year.

By TheStreet Staff Nov 8, 2011 12:41PM

the streetBy Lindsey Bell, TheStreet

 

Almost three-quarters of S&P 500 ($INX) companies that have reported third-quarter results have beaten analysts' estimates. Still, Wall Street is trimming forecasts for next year.

 

S&P 500 companies are now expected to post almost 8% growth in 2012 earnings per share. But material and industrial stocks will be the driving force, generating growth of 12% to 16%, says Morgan Stanley (MS).

 

German equities stand to benefit most from an unlikely split in the region.

By MoneyShow.com Nov 8, 2011 12:35PM

By Tom Aspray, MoneyShow.com


Tuesday is likely to be another pivotal day in the Eurozone debt crisis as the markets will not only be watching the vote in Greece, but also Italy's key parliamentary vote in the afternoon.


The yields on Italian bonds hit a high of 6.76% on Monday but softened later on intervention by the European Central Bank. Of course, it is the spread between the Italian bonds and German bunds that the markets are really watching.

 

European debt woes and a changing regulatory environment are keeping management on pins and needles.

By MSN Money Partner Nov 8, 2011 12:14PM

By Halah Touryalai, Forbes staffForbes.com on MSN Money

 

Last month Goldman Sachs (GS) posted its second ever quarterly loss as a public company but that’s not management’s biggest concern.

 

The firm says Europe is its top focus right now for both risks and opportunities.

 
Tags: BACCGSJPM

A promotion centered around the popular US board game played a big part in the fast-food giant's October revenue boost.

By InvestorPlace Nov 8, 2011 12:07PM

By Kyle Woodley, InvestorPlace

 

Anyone with an office desk drawer full of old "Baltic Avenue" and other game pieces can attest to the lure of McDonald's (MCD) perennial Monopoly campaign. For almost a quarter of a century, consumers have been guzzling down large fountain drinks and swallowing Big Macs trying to match "Boardwalk" with one of their 12 "Park Place" pieces, with the vast majority failing to score the $1 million prize but content to win a few free small fries.

 

Apparently the craze surrounding Uncle Pennybags hasn't died down.

 

Despite the negative sentiment about housing, business at Pier 1, Home Depot and other home stores is picking up.

By Jim Cramer Nov 8, 2011 10:49AM

the streetIf homes are such a bad investment, if they are truly a wasting asset, it is rather surprising what people are doing to spruce them up. On Monday, Pier 1 Imports (PIR) and Home Depot (HD) got upgraded. Why not? People are shopping, and they are fixing up, and they are making their homes nicer.

 

Plus, it isn't isolated to those two. Tractor Supply (TSCO), which is a play on fixing your place up, has been an outstanding performer. Macy's (M), which we might think of it as an apparel store, has a huge housewares business.

 

The world's leading heavy-equipment maker is building profits.

By TheStockAdvisors Nov 8, 2011 10:39AM
By J. Royden Ward, Benjamin Graham Value Letter

Our Wise Owl model portfolio uses a system of analysis first developed by Benjamin Graham in 1946. The portfolio contains undervalued stocks of well-known, high-quality companies with steady earnings growth.

Each stock's attributes are quantified and measured for stock appreciation potential. Our latest buy based on this system is Caterpillar (CAT). 
Tags: CAT

Sell every stock in this sector now.

By InvestorPlace Nov 8, 2011 9:58AM

By Lawrence Meyers, InvestorPlace


There are these little things called secular trends that all investors must be aware of.


For example, there is a secular trend toward viewing entertainment on mobile devices and computers, which is one reason television viewership and the volume of movie admissions have dropped during the past 10 years.

 

The automaker reports a weaker-than-expected quarterly profit, while the online travel site tops earnings forecasts.

By TheStreet Staff Nov 8, 2011 8:50AM

TheStreetBy Joseph Woelfel, TheStreet

 

Updated at 9 a.m. ET

 

Toyota (TM) said its fiscal-second-quarter earnings fell 18.5% to 80.4 billion yen ($1 billion) as sales fell almost 5% because of parts shortages the company incurred after Japan's devastating earthquake and tsunami in March. Its operating profit fell to 75.4 billion yen, short of the 101.3 billion yen analysts had expected. The company didn't give a forecast for the full year because of recent flooding in Thailand, which has hurt production.

 

Priceline (PCLN) reported third-quarter results that beat Wall Street expectations. The online travel booking company posted a profit of $512.6 million, or $9.95 a share, excluding some items. Revenue rose 45% to $1.45 billion. The average analyst estimate was for a profit of $9.30 on revenue of $1.42 billion.

 

The largest mobile phone manufacturer in the world declared relatively strong third-quarter 2011 financial results, beating both the top-line and bottom-line expectations.

By Zacks.com Nov 8, 2011 1:27AM

Nokia (NOK), the largest mobile-phone manufacturer in the world, declared relatively strong third-quarter results, beating both top-line and bottom-line expectations.


This encouraging performance was primarily attributable to better-than-expected sales of basic mobile phones, mainly in emerging markets.

 

The auto parts company is set to go public next week, but will it raise the hundreds of millions of dollars it's targeting?

By Benzinga Nov 8, 2011 1:16AM

By Steven Anfield, Benzinga Staff Writer


Michigan automotive parts company Delphi Automotive is hoping to raise as much as $578 million in its initial public offering next week.


The company plans to offer 24.1 million shares at a price range of $22 to $24, according to Crain's Detroit Business.

 
Tags: GS

ETF investors will be closely following the European debt crisis and another week of earnings.

By TheStreet Staff Nov 7, 2011 4:12PM

By Don Dion, TheStreetTheStreet

 

Here are five ETFs to watch this week.

 

1. iShares MSCI EMU Index Fund (EZU)

 

The opening days of November have been wild for the European Union as the region continues to sort out its ongoing economic crisis.

 

Although it has long been a central focus for euro-crisis watchers, Greece dominated discussions over the last few days following reports that Prime Minister George Papandreou was calling for a referendum on the nation's bailout package. By Monday, Papandeou had agreed to step aside and allow a new unity government to be formed.

 

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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market ended the holiday-shortened week on a mixed note as the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.1%, while the S&P 500 added 0.1% with seven sectors posting gains.

Equity indices faced an uphill climb from the opening bell after disappointing quarterly results from Google (GOOG 536.10, -20.44) and IBM (IBM 190.04, -6.36) weighed on the early sentiment. Google reported earnings $0.15 below the Capital IQ consensus estimate on revenue of $15.42 ... More


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