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Materials and industrials look technically vulnerable, meaning investors should exercise caution and have tight stops in place.
Don't be seduced too easily into buying ETFs, ETNs or other exotic investment products.
By Greg Plechner, TheStreet
We've seen the cliche, a 40-year-old hitting a midlife crisis and trading in his reliable 2002 Toyota Camry for a faster sports car that will likely get him into trouble -- at home and on the road. While we can all relate to being lured by owning the trendiest hot-ticket item, sometimes it's best to avoid those temptations, including when it comes to choosing retirement investments.
When you are in your 40s, you're well into what is often viewed as the "accumulation phase" of retirement planning, the period when you are usually working and contributing regularly to your 401k and other retirement accounts to build up your retirement nest egg. You may be advised to buy a diverse mix of mutual funds at companies with low cost structures and consumer-friendly business practices.
Which you do, of course, until a newer and sometimes more exotic product hits the market, with the promise of better and bigger returns. Recently, ETFs and ETNs have become those vehicles. Proponents point to their tax efficiency and low expenses, but they can also be more complex and potentially riskier. Before you trade in your staid mutual funds, take a closer look at what you are buying.
Keep an eye on funds tracking silver, agriculture, construction, retail and the Dow.
By Don Dion, TheStreet
Here are five exchange-traded funds to watch this week.
As forecast in last week's "5 ETFs to watch," commodities have continued to behave in a volatile manner. The bullion-backed SLV's performance was particularly bipolar. During the early part of the week, SLV managed to pull off gains, but its strength was short-lived. By Friday, it had retreated to the previous week's lows.
Silver will continue to generate press in the week ahead as market watchers debate and discuss the longevity of the current commodities shakeup and look for ways to navigate it.
Although I continue to view precious metals as a promising long-term play, I urge investors to avoid being overly exposed to this asset class. By keeping exposure to materials like gold and silver small and concentrated, you can benefit from their long-term defensive nature while protecting against short-term volatility.
We've been fortunate to avoid a big sell-off in stocks. Stay conservative this week.
If you are not trading in this market, you are either stubborn or ignorant. For those die-hard buy-and-hold followers, it is probably a combination of the two.
For the rest of us interested in making money in a market rigged against the little guy, we have no choice but to be nimble. Thank goodness Wall Street created exchange-traded funds.
While corporate profits continue to impress, stocks have traded sideways over the past two weeks. Consider yourself lucky that we have not gone lower.
I expect that to change soon. As such, I would strongly consider an ultra-short ETF for your portfolio this week. My choice would be ProShares Ultra Short Technology (REW).
Recession-resistant shares like Merck and ConAgra are due for a rest. Look for them to hand over the lead as the 'roving bull market' trend continues.
The most standout performers are the companies that can be described only as extremely recession-resistant, whether it's tobaccos or the pharmas or the medical devices or the plethora of grain-buying food companies.
Meanwhile, techs, oils, industrials and banks are silently rolling over and causing some real underperformance.
In fact, if it weren't for the terrific performance in utilities, I would just say "Look out, double dip is here." I write "if it weren't for this," because in the Great Recession we used so little energy that utility stocks came totally unglued. Now stocks like Dominion (D) and FirstEnergy (FE) -- the latter always thought to be a complete dog -- are generating tech-in-its-heyday-like performance.
To save on its European labor costs, the fast-food icon will borrow the self-checkout model from retail. Will its US locations be next?
McDonald's (MCD) is trying to make fast food even faster.
The Financial Times reports that the world's largest fast-food chain plans to replace many of the cashiers at its 7,000 European restaurants with touch-screen terminals that allow customers to order and pay electronically.
The system is similar to what many consumers experience in supermarkets, retailers and gasoline stations that have opted for self-checkout to save on labor costs. McDonald's says the move is about making its European restaurants more convenient and efficient. It's also clearly about keeping down costs. If it succeeds, you can bet the trend will come soon to the U.S.
The odds are against stocks making a sustained comeback in the short term. Unless you’re an intra-day trader, the best advice is to hold on for the ride and make sure protective stops are in place.
A new grain forecast is bringing down farm-related stocks -- and creating a good buying opportunity.
The company wisely locked in prices for coffee before they hit a 34-year high. But what will happen next year?
The company has already locked in its coffee costs for the year, John Culver, the president of Starbucks Coffee International told Swiss newspaper Tages-Anzeiger. So as other food producers struggle with the rising costs of raw ingredients, Starbucks has kept a lid on costs of its most important material.
Culver said he thinks the cost of coffee will come down. "We think that these prices are not based on facts given there is no supply problem," he told the newspaper, according to Reuters. "Speculators are at work here."
With stocks and commodities sliding as the US dollar strengthens, here are 2 new short ideas to profit from the decline.
For months, the bulls have had it all their way. The anti-dollar "carry trade" -- fueled by a falling dollar -- helped push up risky assets across the board as hedge fund types crowded into popular trades like crude oil, silver and foreign stocks. It was all about momentum. And the gauge of sentiment was the undulations of the euro-dollar exchange rate. When it was rising, all was right in the world.
That's changing now as the U.S. dollar perks up against the euro in a big way. Why? Concerns over inflation, slowing economic growth and a dramatic bursting of the commodities bubble as speculators get squeezed out of crude oil and precious metals.
In my recent columns and blog posts, I've highlighted all of these concerns and have recommended targeted short positions against energy and emerging-market stocks. Today, I want to recommend a few more that are focused mainly on European equities, which are showing fresh signs of weakness as the euro drops hard.
PepsiCo and CSX are among the companies that have recently increased their payouts.
By Jonas Elmerraji, StockPickr
Dividend stocks had another strong week last week, with dozens of firms announcing dividend payouts or increases timed around their earnings releases for this quarter. While the market isn't currently reflecting the fundamental outperformance stocks are showing this earnings season, investors are turning to dividend-payers to get gains out of their portfolios.
With 2011 shaping up to be the biggest year for dividends since before the market crash of 2008, it makes sense to take a look at what dividend stocks are offering. That's because, contrary to popular belief, dividend payouts and capital gains aren't mutually exclusive.
On a total return basis, dividend stocks significantly outperform their non-payer peers as a whole. Over the last 36 years, dividend stocks outperformed the rest of the S&P 500 by 2.5% annually, and they outperformed nonpayers by nearly 8% every year, all while paying out cash to their shareholders, according to a study from NDR.
The retail heavyweights hope to offset struggling domestic sales with overseas growth.
By Jeanine Poggi, TheStreet
Two retail giants, struggling at home, hope to have better luck overseas.
Wal-Mart (WMT) and Gap (GPS) both announced expansion plans to their international business in the last 24 hours; Wal-Mart with the acquisition of a minority stake in a Chinese e-commerce company, and Gap with the announcement that it is moving its brand into Serbia and the Ukraine.
The discount retailer purchased a stake in China's Yihaodian, which sells groceries, consumer electronics, clothing and other items. The Chinese company was launched in July 2008.
Watch your step on the way down.
By Rick Aristotle Munarriz
You don't need to look too far to bump into pessimism.
Remember the recovery in the housing industry? We're still waiting on that one. Real-estate portal Zillow.com is reporting that home sale prices fell 3% during the first quarter, off by more than 8% over the past year. According to Zillow, real-estate prices have dipped for 57 consecutive months.
That's a nasty streak, unless you happen to be in the market for a new home without one to sell. It gets worse.
There are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.
A recent Bloomberg Poll shows that 68% of investors, analysts and traders have an unfavorable view of the potential presidential candidate. With video.
Donald Trump, the real estate developer-turned-reality-television star who promotes his business acumen as he ponders a U.S. presidential campaign, is a bust with global investors.
By 68% to 14%, the billionaire is viewed unfavorably by respondents in a Bloomberg Global Poll of investors, analysts and traders. In the U.S., where Trump is more widely known, his unfavorable rating climbs to 79%, while those viewing him favorably rises to 17%.
"The last thing this country needs is an uber-political, self-serving, egomaniacal media junkie whose all-sizzle-no-steak approach to life and politics only distracts us all from the real issues and problems of our country," said poll respondent Douglas Schoninger, 50, president of DJS Capital Management Inc. in New York.
Post continues after this video about the Bloomberg poll about Trump:
Do you check your phone even before getting out of bed? You're not alone, one study shows.
The phone is the first thing these people touch when they wake up, and the most common activity is checking their Facebook accounts. About 18% of Facebook users log in while their heads are still on the pillow, according to the study by Ericsson ConsumerLab.
Even right after rising from bed, about a quarter of U.S. smartphone users go on to the Internet, and a quarter check their email.
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[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market continued its strong start to the week with a broad-based Tuesday rally that sent the S&P 500 higher by 0.5%. Nine of ten sectors registered gains while the benchmark index extended its week-to-date advance to 1.4%.
Equities received an opening boost from a pair of economic data points that crossed the wires this morning. An in-line CPI report suggested inflationary pressures remain contained, while a better than expected Housing Starts report ... More
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