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The history of leading economic indicators shows the recovery is well on its way since the market lows.
Plenty of investors still believe the U.S. economy is still just one shock away from another crash. But a hard look at the data shows that point of view simply doesn't hold water.
Look at the latest bullish housing market data for March -- including stronger permits and sales. Or check out the host of stocks raising dividends now that they're cash-rich once more. The list goes on.
If you're still turning up your nose at talk of the recovery, there's probably little that can be done to change your mind. But if anything will convince even the bearish bear that things aren't so bad, it's a set of charts showing strength in nearly all of the major economic indicators. Take a look:
Long-term investors might want to stay with Potash, but the company could face a rough year in 2010.
For the first quarter of 2010, the company reported earnings of $1.47 a share and revenue of $1.71 billion. Both numbers beat Wall Street projections of $1.32 per share for earnings and $1.48 billion for revenue.
Clearly good news. But then the report gets confusing.
Reading between the lines, there are signals that a deal could happen.
That's the conclusion of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, which parses some of Goldman's recent statements and sees the company signaling for a deal.
Case in point: Arthur Levitt, a former SEC chairman who is now an adviser to Goldman. "This is a suit which I think should be settled promptly, not just for Goldman Sachs, not just for the industry, but for the economy as a whole," he told Bloomberg TV.
The carmaker's shares have fallen in recent days as some analysts question Ford's growth potential.
By Andrea Tse, TheStreet
The reaction has hardly surprised Ford equity analysts.
"Ford has had a strong run over past year, so it's not surprising that people have locked in profits," Standard & Poor's analyst Efraim Levy says. "The question is, what will you do for me next?" Craig-Hallum Capital analyst Steve Dyer says "it's natural that people would begin to question how much upside is left."
The Apple chief executive pens a long and public letter about the deficiencies of Adobe's Flash.
That happened Thursday, when Jobs released 1,671 words about the Flash software system from Adobe (ADBE). Adobe shares dropped a couple of percentage points in response but were recovering at midday, while Apple shares were up slightly.
The letter may have been a defensive move in part, since Apple has taken a lot of heat for banning Flash from iPhones and its new iPad tablet. Flash is so pervasive online -- it's been the go-to platform for videos, advertising and games -- that banning it was a pretty shocking step (and, in the short term at least, one that hurts the experience of Apple users).
Friday's GDP report will show the recession is over, but that the recovery is moderate and disappointing.
By Peter Morici, TheStreet
On Friday, the Commerce Department will report its first-quarter gross domestic product estimate. Economists are forecasting a 3.5% increase, further confirming the end of the recession and that the recovery is moderate and disappointing.
Unemployment will hang above 8% or 9% well into 2011, and most workers will continue to face a tough job market and declining living standards.
This recovery is decidedly anti-middle class. Wages won’t keep up with rising prices, health care premiums and taxes. A good deal of the gains, so far, are going to Wall Street and the medical and intellectual property industries.
The coffee giant is looking to keep sales momentum going with a focus on Frappuccinos and even new ice cream flavors.
Seattle coffee icon Starbucks (SBUX) has made a comeback in 2010 after consumers fled during the Great Recession. In order to keep the profits percolating, SBUX is looking to roll out a fresh new menu of Frappuccinos and iced coffee for the hot summer months.
Among the new options are nonfat milk and sugar-free toppings that will keep the calorie count down. Currently a grande Caramel Frappuccino (the flavor that made the cool drink such a success) has 380 calories. The light version will have 160.
But perhaps most interesting of all is Starbucks’ push to offer exotic new flavors, bottled drinks to go and even ice cream as a way to up-size its sales this summer.
The timing and execution of the sale were all wrong.
By Jim Cramer, TheStreet
Here's a stock of a company that just reported a good quarter. It had a lot of momentum, and it was distinguishing itself as an international company with really excellent growth and a reformed management.
Any elementary trader, however, would know that until there is clarity -- no matter what kind of clarity -- in financial regulation, banks were going to be tough to buy. Too much uncertainty. So why sell now, when things are most in limbo? Strike one.
Transocean shares, already meeting resistance, could see more problems after last week's rig disaster.
Transocean (RIG) is the owner of Deepwater Horizon, the drilling rig that caught fire last week and eventually sank in the Gulf of Mexico with the loss of 11 workers. Those workers are still missing but presumed dead. Oil continues to leak from the well 4,500 feet below the surface.
The U.S. Coast Guard is setting some of the huge spill on fire as a way to reduce the danger to the Louisiana coast and the Gulf of Mexico.
I by no means want to say that this human and ecological disaster should be measured only in dollars and cents. But let's face it: The cost of this tragedy is what will drive the price of Transocean shares in the short term.
As the recovery sends consumers elsewhere, WMT knows it needs metro locations to prop up profits
In last week's release of its 2009 annual report, Walmart (WMT) indicated that it might change direction and "develop new, innovative formats" to capitalize on opportunities in major metropolitan markets. Walmart has long been the go-to retailer in rural communities and the suburbs, but its sprawling Supercenter format has never really appealed to urban dwellers.
Well rather than try to find a way to shoehorn a 36-aisle retail monstrosity into midtown Manhattan, Walmart may be taking a very un-big-box approach to its retail locations: Go smaller. And there are three logical ways how.
Trina Solar has been on a wild ride, but here are 5 reasons to expect a surge in this stock.
It was partially the broader market that held back Trina, but also speculation over the viability of solar power as oil prices softened.
TSL nearly became a bear market statistic. But the company has fought back from less than $3 a share to its current $25 price and there are a lot of reasons to think that Trina Solar is making a comeback.
Hewlett-Packard is buying the company and plans to enter the smart-phone market.
Beleaguered Palm (PALM) finally has a new owner, and it's one few expected. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) is buying the company for $1.2 billion.
With Palm under its belt, HP plans to make a big run in the smart-phone market. That's a bit of a shock, considering the company isn't a player in the mobile-phone business. Palm shareholders will get $5.70 in cash for each share when the deal is sealed, most likely by the end of July.
The news was announced after the market closed, but in after-hours trading Palm shares were up 27% at one point to $5.86. HP shares were down slightly.
The iPad, nearly a month old now, is winning raves from mainstream users. But don't count Amazon out yet.
Tech critics had plenty to say about the iPad vs. Kindle war. Now, regular consumers are starting to get their hands on Apple's(AAPL) new device, and the mainstream is chiming in on the debate.
Eventually, we'll get enough solid sales data to see which way the money is flowing. I wouldn't count Amazon (AMZN) out yet.
James Stewart, a columnist for SmartMoney magazine, is not a tech head. He doesn't have an iPhone or an iPod Touch, and hadn't used touch-screen technology until he got his hands on an iPad two weeks ago.
But he's fallen in love.
It's big government vs. little plastic toys.
In an effort to battle child obesity, the Board of Supervisors in California's Santa Clara County voted to ban promotional toys used by McDonald's (MCD) to sell its iconic Happy Meals to young children.
Now I can see, say, the government going after bankers who nearly wrecked the financial system and regulators who surfed porn instead of watching said bankers.
But do we really need a crackdown on little plastic tchotchkes that come with burgers made by a very successful business that employs hundreds of thousands? Sure, too many Happy Meals aren't good for you. But unlike fancy financial products, what’s in them isn't a secret.
BAC stock has been weighed down by the Goldman Sachs scandal, but here are some reasons to buy BofA while its a bargain
By Jim Woods, Investorplace.com
- Check out 5 reasons to buy Goldman Sachs stock.
But negative news isn’t always a bad thing for investors, because it creates huge buying opportunities if you know where to look. And if you’re in the mood for bargain hunting in the financial sector, you may want to consider buying Bank of America (BAC) sooner rather than later. This financial stock looks to be doing just fine – and here are the top 5 reasons why:
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[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 settled lower by 0.8% after early strength turned into afternoon weakness.
Today's headline event came in the form of Ben Bernanke's testimony before the Joint Economic Committee. During his remarks, Chairman Bernanke said premature tightening of monetary policy could stall the pace of recovery. This followed weeks of conflicting remarks from FOMC members, which sparked speculation regarding possible changes to the Fed's policy course.
However, ... More
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