Stocks have rallied 177%, and while calling a top is the easiest thing to do, it might not be the most accurate, Cramer says.
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Keep close tabs on the ETFs tracking agribusiness and retail this week.
By Don Dion, TheStreet
Here are five ETFs to watch this week.
Throughout the second half of 2010, one of the most closely watched stories has been that of rapid food price increases. This week, investors will gain more insight into how the jump in agricultural commodity prices has affected the farming industry when equipment supplier Deere & Company (DE) reports its quarterly earnings performance Wednesday.
There are several funds ETF investors can consider when looking for exposure to the agriculture industry. MOO provided investors with access to the companies responsible for supplying farmers with the machinery and chemicals needed to produce adequate yields. Deere represents the largest position within MOO's portfolio, commanding more than 8% of the fund's assets.
The holiday season should bring considerable gains for stocks.
By Jamie Dlugosch, InvestorPlace.com
Exchange-traded funds have been popular all year, and the holiday season should be no different.
There are certain times during the year when I feel very comfortable being aggressive in the market. We are entering one of those periods in which stocks are likely to make considerable gains. Can you say Santa Claus rally?
This market will pay up for F5, Apple, Deckers, Salesforce.com, Chipotle, Amazon and Netflix.
Who can? FADS CAN! I am talking about this market's obsession with uber-growth stocks and how much it is willing to pay for them. I call them FADS CAN, as in "FADS CAN make you money." It's the acronym for F5 (FFIV), Apple (AAPL), Deckers (DECK), Salesforce.com (CRM), Chipotle (CMG), Amazon (AMZN) and Netflix (NFLX).
These are the stocks that go down hard on days like last Tuesday but snap back harder, as there's so much earnings momentum that analysts view any dip as a reason to talk about them and re-recommend them.
They don't all go up at once, but the action Friday was instructive of the power of FADS CAN. Take Chipotle. On Thursday, Raymond James (RJF) downgraded Chipotle on valuation. It was the only FADS CAN name that was down. Now take a look at it. Valuations are no good reason to downgrade fast-growing stocks -- at least that's always been my observation of what growth money does. Sure enough, this stock was the first in the green on Friday. They couldn't resist.
Examine the costs and benefits of stretching your IRA
By Chuck Epstein, InvestorPlace.com
Mutual funds information and IRA information is becoming a hotter commodity by the day.
Too many New Year’s resolutions never get realized, but if you want to increase your odds of attaining a more fruitful financial future for you and your heirs, you should consider a stretch IRA.
The tax laws governing Individual retirement Accounts (IRAs) are very specific, but by applying a different type of strategy you and your beneficiaries can reap some significant benefits. This strategy is called a “stretch” IRA and it can be done by almost anyone who owns an IRA.
Google is reportedly the latest company interested in grabbing Groupon -- and for good reason.
AllThingsD reports that Google is in discussions with Groupon about a deal -- at a price "well above" the $2 billion to $3 billion figure thrown around last month when Yahoo(YHOO) supposedly had an interest.
What makes Groupon so hot, any why would Google and Yahoo be interested? Too many reasons to count, but let's go over a few:
GM enjoys a tax-free holiday. American Airlines tells customers to drink up. Buffett gives thanks to Uncle Sam.
5. For GM, every day is a tax-free day
General Motors (GM) charged back onto the scene after being delisted by the NYSE a year and a half ago, with an initial public offering price that just kept going up and up. Its stock closed its first day of trading at $34.19.
Though some stations are missing, for $29.95 a month you can enjoy popular channels. Will Comcast follow suit?
For consumers who feel they are spending too much for cable television channels they don't use, Time Warner Cable (TWX) may have the perfect solution.
Time Warner will begin offering a new lower-priced television package called TV Essentials. The package will be offered Monday in New York City for $39.95 a month and in northern Ohio for $29.95 a month. The reduced package is aimed at lower-income customers who have dropped their cable service because of rising prices and extraneous channels.
Unfortunately, some key channels are missing.
Names like F5 and Salesforce.com are on a tear, and you could buy them at a discount as China's inflation plan slows the market.
But that didn't happen.
It is too bad because we were building up a legitimate head of steam. Now we could be back in macro-land unless the dollar stays down and oil goes higher, as the drumbeat is already on for Portugal now that Ireland looks "solved."
For a moment, though, let's bask in some things that have occurred, micro-wise, that do matter.
Part 4 of this year's list of recommended books looks at economics.
I originally wrote a list in 2008 and again last year. I intend to keep adding to and revising it every year. It contains seven sections: Selling, Think Like an Investor, Behavioral Investing, Economics, Stock Market History, Risk and Books for the Soul. Today's segment is Part 4. Read part 3 here. and expect Part 5 tomorrow. I hope you enjoy it.
Politicians, God rest their souls, always try to appeal to the lowest common denominator. They try to “protect” us from evildoers by insisting on minimum-wage laws or rent controls, or by threatening windfall taxes on oil companies. They paint themselves as heroes fighting for the little guy against the evil-doers. All they are doing, however, is feeding on the economic illiteracy of the average Joe.
Given this reality, the following books should be required reading in high schools and colleges:
While retail investors and newsletter writers become increasingly optimistic, options traders are preparing for a stock market decline.
The stock market has had a rough ride lately. After blasting higher in the wake of the Federal Reserve's latest money-printing operation, risky assets have stumbled on concerns over the fate of Ireland and the other troubled eurozone nations.
Also, concerns over fast-rising inflation in China has many worried that policymakers there will be forced to take drastic action -- with big interest rate increases and lending restrictions. This could quickly reverse the speculative fever that has pushed up Chinese stocks and real-estate prices.
But now, with the excitement surrounding the IPO of General Motors (GM) as well as word that Ireland is on track to accept a big bailout package, shares are flying higher. Will it last?
Buy these stocks before they spring higher
By Chris Johnson and Jon Lewis, InvestorPlace.com
The number of hot stocks that pulled back to their 50-day moving average was on the rise early this week, attracting our attention as potential "technical bounce" candidates. While support from a key moving average is important, it can be improved upon by incorporating some options data into the approach. Our historical analysis has shown that stocks tend to find support when they trade in close proximity to large amounts of put open interest. This support is often attributed to the mechanics involved with the puts (hedging) and the sentiment that is conveyed by the put activity at that price.
The model that results from combining these approaches uncovers companies that are trading close to their respective 50-day moving averages while being in close range of large put open interest. The outcome is a list of stocks that are ready to bounce back and likely take the lead the next rally.
The once-elusive McRib sandwich is now a pop-culture phenomenon, creating enough buzz to make competitors drool.
But that doesn't matter to McDonald's (MCD). Because whether you like it or hate it, you know what it is. People love to talk about the McRib.
It's the subject of televised news reports. Of newspaper articles. Of blog posts (ahem). It's a conversation staple on Facebook, and it even has its own account on Twitter.
The actor and other investors sued the global banking company for unauthorized purchases, but the claim was denied.
Ferrell and his wife, along with a business manager and a trust for actor Larry David, filed an arbitration claim against JPMorgan in 2008, The New York Times reports. They were upset that the bank took $18 million and put it into "unauthorized and unsuitable purchases of preferred securities."
Arbitrators would have none of it. In fact, they turned around and went after Ferrell's group.
Apple partner China Unicom will start selling its own smart phone later this year.
By James Rogers, TheStreet
Bloomberg reports that China Unicom will launch the UPhone, underlining the challenges Apple faces in the increasingly competitive Chinese phone market.
Despite the iPhone's phenomenal success in the U.S. market, Apple is up against a host of heavyweights in China, including smart phones from Lenovo Group and China Mobile, as well as Taiwanese giant HTC.
Government privatizations have a track record of success, and this one is so good you can buy it in the aftermarket.
Psst, you want a good idea? Buy from the federal government whenever it has a privatization up its sleeve.
We're all abuzz about General Motors (GM), of course, as we should be when faced with one of the world's biggest underwritings. But let's consider the other merchandise the government's thrown our way. First, even though we've seen a pullback in Citigroup (C), the government has given you an almost 30% return on the big underwriting it did to kick off the privatization of that bank.
But let's look further back in history. In 1979 the government provided a loan guarantee to Chrysler in return for stock warrants to buy 11.4 million shares of the automaker at $13 a share. With that guarantee, Chrysler, which sold at $7.50 at that time, was able to get a private loan.
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Like many companies this winter, the fast-food giant blamed a drop in same-store sales on the weather. But could its problems be bigger than a snowbank?
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[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 trades lower by 0.2% with one hour remaining in the trading day. Stocks slumped out of the gate amid disappointing trade data from China, but were able to erase about half of their losses thanks to the relative strength of financials (-0.1%), health care (+0.2%), and technology (-0.1%).
The benchmark index notched its low less than 90 minutes into the session and then returned to the middle of its trading range by 11:30 ET, where it continues trading at ... More
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