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Place your bets for the rest of 2014

Investors know what's working and what's not. Jim Cramer says these stocks could power higher through the end of the year.


The Japanese carmakers have halted production for several days.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 14, 2011 1:23PM

Caption: Vehicles are crushed by a collapsed wall at a carpark in Mito city in Ibaraki prefecture on March 11, 2011 after a massive earthquake rocked Japan
Credit: JIJI/PRESS/AFP/Getty ImagesUpdated: 4:52 p.m. ET


By Ted Reed, TheStreet


Shares of Toyota (TM) and Honda (HMC) were trading lower Monday over concerns about the impact of the 8.9-magnitude earthquake in Japan.


The country's automakers have shut down domestic production as the earthquake triggered supply chain interruptions and power outages and hindered the ability of employees to get to work.


Shares of Toyota closed at $81.73, down  4.6%. Shares of Honda fell 4% to $38.17.


The former bassist for Guns N' Roses spent 17 years learning about finance. Now he's starting a money management firm.

By Kim Peterson Mar 14, 2011 1:21PM
Credit: (©Matt Sayles/AP)
Caption: Duff McKaganDuff McKagan was a 30-year-old millionaire playing bass for Guns N' Roses. He was more interested in drugs and booze than how to handle his cash, but that all changed after his pancreas burst and he was stuck at home in recovery.

He found a file with six years' worth of the band's financials, and he started reading them, Fortune reports. It was like reading another language; he had no idea how much his band was making (or losing). And he wanted to know more.

Fast-forward 17 years. McKagan has learned so much about money that he's now starting his own wealth management firm with a focus on musicians. The goal, according to Fortune, is to "educate rockers about their finances instead of pandering or lying to them."

It's funny to think of a world-famous rocker taking a community college class, but that's exactly what McKagan did. He studied basic finance at Santa Monica Community College and enrolled in another community college in Seattle. He worked his way up to Seattle University's Albers School of Business, Fortune reports. 

Coach and Tiffany are among the retail stocks affected by the devastation.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 14, 2011 1:04PM

Image: Jewelry store © Baerbel Schmidt/Getty Images/Getty ImagesthestreetBy Jeanine Poggi, TheStreet


Japan's earthquake could shake U.S. retailers' growth plans for the lucrative market.


Luxury brands Coach (COH) and Tiffany (TIF), in particular, are taking a hit on Japan fears.


Wall Street Strategies analyst Brian Sozzi attributes these declines to the premium at which both stocks are valued relative to the overall retail sector and equities markets.


"Consequently, any swift decline in sales, despite muddling growth in the country for each, raises the risk to future earnings," he wrote in a note. "Both companies in my view have been managing their Japanese businesses to profitability rather than new unit growth."


It's not cheap, but it's worth it.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Mar 14, 2011 11:09AM

A couple of months ago, I recommended Lululemon Athletica to all my readers. Fool analyst Ilan Moscovitz -- who is also managing a real-money portfolio for The Motley Fool -- envisions great upside for this retailer, as well.


Rex Moore, Motley Fool Top Stocks Editor


The Dada portfolio has bought retail stocks in the past. We think there are some good opportunities in the consumer sector, but we're a bit worried about middle-tier consumer goods. Not only is the U.S. middle class in danger of being hollowed out by high unemployment and rising income inequality, but value-conscious consumers have also responded to the recession by saving on middle-tier goods and buying a small number of expensive items.


So when buying retailers, we like to focus on cheap stocks, strong operators, and/or high-end brands. Today's pick -- Lululemon Athletica (LULU) -- meets the latter two criteria in spades, though its stock is hardly cheap.


Japan's earthquake and tsunami and the crisis in the Middle East and North Africa will weigh heavily on several funds.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 14, 2011 11:06AM

By Don Dion, TheStreet


Here are five exchanged-traded funds to keep an eye on in the days ahead.


1. iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund (EWJ)


Japan will be closely watched as the nation takes initial steps to rebuild after Friday's devastating earthquake and tsunami.


The Japanese marketplace had proven to be an attractive destination in recent months as internationally-minded investors opt for exposure to developed economies. According to the February flow report released by the National Stock Exchange, EWJ saw the second largest inflows among the entire ETF universe.


In the coming days, EWJ will be volatile. However, as political and economic tensions continue weighing on the emerging world, this fund may be one to keep on the radar.


Rebuilding will run down the stricken nation's financial wealth to replace lost physical assets.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 14, 2011 10:45AM

Image: Japan (© Stockbyte/SuperStock)By Peter Morici, TheStreet


The toll in human misery wrought by the tsunami and earthquakes in Japan tests the imagination of economists, but the effects on Japan's GDP and wealth are a different matter.


GDP, which measures goods and services produced, will immediately dive in Japan and stay lower through the second and into the third quarters of 2011. Then it will surge as construction and spending on capital equipment to rebuild drive up growth.


Overall, however, Japan will be poorer for this disaster. Lost infrastructure, factories and the like will be replaced, but wealth is the sum of what citizens and governments own -- including physical assets like those just noted and financial wealth such as securities and cash. Rebuilding will run down Japan's financial wealth to replace lost physical assets.


Let's try to make some money in a market likely to move lower.

By Jamie Dlugosch Mar 14, 2011 9:41AM

The absolute-return approach is perfect for this sort of market. Stocks are having trouble gaining momentum and are susceptible to declines, as was the case last week.


I’ve spent a lot of time analyzing individual companies over the past few weeks. What I found should be troubling for any bull: Most stocks are fully priced or overpriced, based on fundamental valuation metrics.


Forget about the headline causes for stocks to sell off. We are going lower because most stocks have gotten a bit ahead of themselves from and earnings standpoint. The negative headlines only add downward pressure.


In such an environment, a balance of longs and shorts is the appropriate course of action for any ETF trader. I’m increasing my exposure to the short side of the market with the inclusion of the ProShares Ultra Short Technology ETF (REW).

Tags: etf

The disaster in Japan likely means the end of nuclear energy, in the US and abroad, and a greater reliance on natural gas.

By Jim Cramer Mar 14, 2011 8:58AM

jim cramerthestreetWith the nuclear-powered reactors in Japan still smoldering, it's not easy to know what to do. It is easier to pretend to know what to do or to take a blind stab. Or just to cash out. As easy as it was 25 years ago when Chernobyl exploded.


When that happened, the world panicked. All sorts of disaster scenarios existed, in part because of the amazing lack of information coming out of the Soviet Union and the radically escalated levels of radiation showing up in Sweden, which triggered the first word of the accident.


The lack of knowledge directly affected subsequent trading. Food and restaurant stocks were hit especially hard because people thought Chernobyl was uncontainable and no one would be able to eat anything but canned food until the radiation cloud dispersed. Yes, it was that scary.


This time around we know more about the event, but, again, because of radiation fears and the ongoing nature of the tragedy, snap judgments will be as wrong as they were back then. In 1986, I tried to keep calm, but my investors didn't and many went into cash.


Spain's economic growth is on the rise, and the debt markets have decided to give the country a pass.

By Jim J. Jubak Mar 11, 2011 4:49PM
Jim JubakThe debt markets are saying that Spain will make it through the euro crisis without a bailout or a default.

What? Even though Moody’s downgraded Spanish debt yesterday?

Yep, that was a non-event. It’s not so much that the markets disagree with Moody’s move, as that this downgrade has been in the works -- and baked into the market -- for weeks. The weakness in Eurozone debt yesterday and today is a vote that nothing significant will emerge from the latest round of talks on solving the euro debt crisis.

At the same time, the debt markets are also saying Portugal will need a rescue (34% chance) and that there’s a 60% chance of a Greek default. The markets give Ireland a 40% chance of default.

These reads all come from the market for credit-default swaps. Credit-default swaps give the buyer protection (as long as the guy on the other end of the deal doesn’t go bust) against default of a country’s bonds for five years -- for a price. The higher the price, the greater the odds -- in the market’s opinion -- a country will default within five years.

The tablet goes on sale today, and analysts expect it to sell faster than the original.

By Kim Peterson Mar 11, 2011 2:48PM
Credit: (© 2011 Apple)
Caption: ipad 2One analyst predicts Apple (AAPL) will sell 600,000 of its new iPad 2 tablets this weekend. The iPad 2 is already for sale on Apple's website and hits stores later today at 5 p.m. local time.

The lines are growing outside of Apple stores. One woman grabbed the first spot in line at Apple's flagship store in New York City, and after 41 hours of waiting sold her spot for $900, Mashable reports. She plans to buy Lady Gaga concert tickets with the money.

Apple has been through this before. It sold 300,000 of its first iPad in 24 hours, and the device went on to become the fastest-selling technology gadget in history, from a revenue standpoint, Bloomberg reports. Analyst Brian Marshall of Gleacher & Co. expects 600,000 iPad 2s to be sold this weekend. If his prediction proves true, the iPad 2 would smash the record set by its predecessor. 

Funds linked to the world's most prevalent industrial metal can often predict mood shifts.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 11, 2011 1:15PM

Image: Stock charts in crystal ball © Fredrik Skold/Getty ImagesBy Gary Gordon, TheStreet


The worldwide bull market for stocks turned two years old on March 9, 2011. And so far, there have been two meaningful corrections -- one in 2009 and one in 2010.


Some in the media have suggested that the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) might not experience any significant pullback, like the way U.S. stocks behaved in 1995. Others believe that stock assets will get knocked for a major headache, but eventually stake a claim to new heights.


There is a third possibility. Commodity price inflation, real estate struggles, Middle East uncertainty, eurozone debt, rising interest rates and U.S. deficit woes collectively undermine faith in the toddling bull market. After all, they don't call it the "terrible twos" for nothing!


If you were expecting Japan's disastrous temblor to rock US markets, consider what some economics professors discovered 20 years ago.

By MSNMoney partner Mar 11, 2011 1:11PM

Stock market data © Photodisc/Getty ImagesBy Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

The U.S. stock market appears to be largely shrugging off news this morning of the most powerful earthquake to hit Japan in more than 100 years.

That surprises many observers, especially those old timers who remember a nightmare scenario that haunted many in the early 1980s. That's when the Japanese economy was riding high and Tokyo real estate was the most expensive in the world.

Analysts worried about what would happen if a major earthquake hit Japan, triggering huge claims against insurance companies, which in turn would have to liquidate major portions of their stock and bond holdings in the United States. Cover stories in some financial magazines were devoted to the stock market crash that would result. Still, from a different perspective, the market's reaction Friday morning does not come as a particular surprise.


Toyota, Sony and other Japanese ADRs trading on U.S. exchanges fall in the aftermath of Friday's earthquake.

By TheStreet Staff Mar 11, 2011 1:07PM

TheStreetCaption: Vehicles are crushed by a collapsed wall at a carpark in Mito city in Ibaraki prefecture on March 11, 2011 after a massive earthquake rocked Japan
Credit: JIJI/PRESS/AFP/Getty ImagesBy Robert Holmes, TheStreet


Toyota (TM), Sony (SNE) and other Japanese American depositary receipts, or ADRs, were sinking Friday in the aftermath of one of the largest earthquakes in Japan's history.


The offshore earthquake hit Japan Friday afternoon with a magnitude of 8.9 and triggered a tsunami. Video footage showed tsunami waves that swept over towns, fields, and even airports. Effects of the tsunami were felt along the coast of Hawaii hours later.


Asian stock exchanges dropped in reaction, with the Nikkei tumbling 1.7% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 1.5%.


The Oracle of Omaha is expecting a decade dividend double.

By Motley Fool Pick of the Day Mar 11, 2011 12:48PM

Credit: (© Jason Reed/Reuters file)
Caption: Warren BuffettBy Motley Fool contributor Chris Baines.


In his latest investor letter, Warren Buffett revealed an important clue regarding what's in store for Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) largest holding, Coca-Cola (KO).


"In 2011," he wrote, "we [Berkshire Hathaway] will almost certainly receive $376 million from Coke, up $24 million from last year. Within 10 years, I would expect that $376 million to double."


Say what, Buffett? You expect Coke's dividend to double in a decade's time? My math reveals that Coke would have to grow its dividend by at least 7% per year for that to happen. This is interesting, since Wall Street rarely expects a 7%-plus growth rate from a mature consumer staple like Coke.


Rising oil prices could create a short-term problem for the miner. There are long-term production issues as well.

By Jim J. Jubak Mar 11, 2011 12:31PM
Jim JubakIt clearly hasn’t been enough.

On Feb. 24, Thompson Creek Metals (TC) reported fourth-quarter and full-year results that showed record production of molybdenum in 2010, as well as a fourth-quarter revenue increase of 48%.

Net income, adjusted to exclude the accounting loss from outstanding stock warrants (incurred when the company
switched to U.S.-style GAAP accounting in 2010), increased in the quarter by 43%.

Thompson Creek shares closed at $13.58 that day -- and it’s been pretty much downhill ever since. On March 9, shares closed at $12.28.

Two problems, one short term and one long term, explain that trajectory, I think.


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[BRIEFING.COM] The headlines generally favored Tuesday being another good day for the stock market.  Instead, it was just a mixed day with modest point changes on either side of the unchanged mark for the major indices.

For the most part, the stock market was a sideshow.  The main trading events were seen in the commodity and Treasury markets, both of which saw some decent-sized losses within their respective complex.

Dollar strength was at the heart of the weakness in ... More


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