Groupon rebounds but still faces questions

The daily-deal company's surprisingly good earnings report doesn't erase some big concerns.

By Jonathan Berr Aug 9, 2013 9:44AM
Few companies have transformed themselves from Wall Street zero to hero as quickly as Groupon (GRPN).

 

Earlier this year, the daily-deal site was floundering under the leadership of co-founder Andrew Mason, whose tenure as CEO, as Time magazine noted, was "pockmarked by accounting gaffes, sophomoric stunts and a whopping 77% decline in the company’s share price." Some pundits even wondered whether Groupon would survive.

But these skeptics have been silenced, at least for now. Groupon recently posted a smaller-than-expected net loss and named Eric Lefkofsky, another co-founder, as permanent CEO. Investors cheered the news and sent shares of Groupon soaring more than 22% on Thursday to close at $10.64.

 

The Chicago-based company has proven to be more resilient than many expected as it benefits from its growing mobile business and its expansion outside the U.S.


Groupon employees stand in front of the company logo at the company's Chicago office, on Sept. 22, 2011 (© Charles Rex Arbogast/AP)Mobile is an area of keen interest for investors, and the fact that more than 50 million people have downloaded Groupon’s apps globally speaks volumes about progress in that area. Equally impressive is the statistic that half of transactions in North America were completed by mobile devices in June, up from 30% a year earlier.

 

Interest in Groupon's core product isn't fading either. More than 41 million people have purchased a Groupon in the past 12 months, a 13% year-over-year gain. About 18.3 million of these customers are in North America, with the remaining 23.5 million coming from international markets. 

 

Although chairman Ted Leonsis has said the company is "confident that Eric is the right leader for this stage of Groupon’s evolution," there are plenty of skeptics. Bloomberg News noted caustically that Lefkofsky has a "history of failed ventures."


Lefkofsky, who owns 17% of Groupon’s common stock, certainly has plenty of financial incentives to turn the company around. Whether he can pull it off, however, remains to be seen.

 

That's why investors should take a pass on Groupon for now. Not only are the shares super-risky given the company's rocky history, but they're extremely expensive as well. They trade at a price-to-earnings multiple of 76.3 based on this year's estimated earnings, more expensive than Google (GOOG) and Facebook (FB), which trade on that basis at 20.6 and 54.6, respectively.

 

Although you can find plenty of deals on Groupon, its stock isn’t one of them.

 

Jonathan Berr does not own shares of the listed stocks. Follow him on Twitter @jdberr.
3Comments
Aug 9, 2013 10:54AM
avatar

Whatever happened to S&H green stamps?

Aug 9, 2013 1:24PM
avatar
This isn't a REAL vehicle for a publicly traded stock and should be junked immediately. It's at-best an all administrative and virtual distraction from Reality without merit. It's like Yelp. If the only thing that motivates you to go somewhere is a deep discount coupon or a recommendation hosted by the same people who make the product... then you should sign your paycheck over to the rest of us and we can give you an allowance when you clean your plate and your room. Show me a portal or app that does something that I can't do using my own intelligence in a few extra nano-seconds. The "Tech Wreck" is destroying us and giving your investment capital to paper and button pushing morons will sooner than later I GUARANTEE IT... leave you broke and clueless.
Aug 9, 2013 12:27PM
avatar
I wish the would fail. Small business owners will rejoice when they do and hopefully take Yelp along with them.
Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

114
114 rated 1
278
278 rated 2
474
474 rated 3
641
641 rated 4
639
639 rated 5
663
663 rated 6
640
640 rated 7
499
499 rated 8
284
284 rated 9
122
122 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
COPCONOCOPHILLIPS9
TAT&T Inc9
VZVERIZON COMMUNICATIONS9
KOGKODIAK OIL & GAS Corp9
CVXCHEVRON CORPORATION8
More

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.