Hit $1,000-a-day drug has insurers panicking
Sales of the hepatitis C treatment Sovaldi are soaring, and insurance companies could see a double-digit cut to profits as a result.
The drug, called Sovaldi, is the first in a new generation of hepatitis C therapies that promise to cure more patients than older therapies. It could ring up $5 billion in U.S. sales this year if current prescription patterns hold. Some analysts say the figure might reach $9 billion.
By comparison, AbbVie's (ABBV) Humira, a treatment for rheumatoid arthritis, was the biggest-selling drug last year with $10.7 billion in world-wide sales.
Such heavy sales for Sovaldi, so soon after the drug's approval just last December, threaten the bottom lines of many insurers, analysts say. Several insurers could see their earnings per share hit by double-digit percentages this year, according Wells Fargo Securities analyst Peter Costa. He figures that hepatitis C treatments will cost the 10 largest publicly traded insurers $798 million more than they did in 2013.
Sovaldi carries a list price of $84,000 for a 12-week course of treatment. The cost has spurred pushback among some payers and public officials, who say the price is too high for a drug with such a broad potential market.
Some 3.2 million people in the U.S. are believed to carry hepatitis C -- many of whom contracted it through intravenous drug use. Chronic infections that go untreated kill 15,000 Americans each year, and are a leading reason for liver transplants in the U.S., according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Molina Healthcare (MOH) -- which Wells Fargo says is most exposed among insurers because of its large business managing Medicaid for states -- is trying to reserve the drug for the sickest patients and is asking the states to take on more of the cost.
Pharmacy-benefits manager Express Scripts (ESRX) is checking with doctors on whether some patients could wait for treatment until rival drugs reach the market and help to push the price down -- a first for the company.
And in March, three congressional Democrats asked Gilead to justify Sovaldi's cost; Gilead said its executives met Monday with congressional staffers to address their concerns.
Gilead says doctors and patients seeking Sovaldi have gotten "tremendous access" to the drug through their health plans, despite the concerns some insurers have voiced about the price, because the drug works so well.
Critics "have focused on the per-pill cost or per-bottle cost, but that is really not relevant here. It's how much it costs to cure your patient," said Gregg Alton, Gilead's executive vice president of corporate and medical affairs.
By that measure, he said, Sovaldi's price is comparable to older therapies that don't cure as many patients, and is less expensive than liver transplants costing $175,000 or more.
Sovaldi is an especially difficult target for insurers because it is highly effective and has as of yet no rivals.
Sovaldi promises to cure 90 percent of its targeted patients, who would likely develop liver cancer or require liver transplants if untreated.
Absent new drugs that give them leverage in price negotiations, insurers have few tools to control spending. They can require doctors to prove that a patient truly needs the drug and impose high out-of-pocket charges on patients. But it is difficult for payers to deny coverage of a drug that a doctor says will help a patient.
"There's nothing they can do" until more hepatitis C treatments get approved, said Rhonda Greenapple, a consultant who advises pharmaceutical companies on gaining drug reimbursement.
For Sovaldi, "there's an enormous price tag," but the drug is too effective to try to restrict access, said Leslie Fish, vice president of clinical programs and pharmacy services at Fallon Health, in Worcester, Mass. Instead, she said, Fallon wants to make sure its spending isn't wasted, so it is working with doctors to make sure members given prescriptions don't skip out on treatment.
During Sovaldi's first 12 weeks on sale, 33,672 prescriptions were filled in the U.S., more than three times the number for Incivek, a hepatitis C drug that was approved in 2011 and previously was one of the biggest drug launches, according to ISI Group analyst Mark Schoenebaum. Incivek costs $68,000 for a 12-week course but has a lower cure rate, according to Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), which makes Incivek.
About 12 percent of the hepatitis C patients in the U.S. are on Medicaid, the government health-insurance program for the poor, according to actuarial consulting firm Milliman Inc.
States are exploring ways to contain the cost to Medicaid programs, but they have "fairly limited" options at this point because federal law requires they cover every approved drug, said Matt Salo, executive director of the National Association of Medicaid Directors.
Molina would take the biggest hit among insurers this year, with earnings declining 18 percent if the drug has $6 billion in sales, according Wells Fargo. Molina, which covers 2.1 million Medicaid beneficiaries in 11 states, has been among the most vocal critics of Sovaldi's cost. It has asked state Medicaid directors to either pay for the drug directly or reimburse Molina for its cost.
"If was a much smaller amount, we could absorb" Sovaldi's cost, said CEO Mario Molina. "But it's not." Molina said Molina Healthcare didn't plan for Sovaldi to cost so much and be so widely used.
Steve Miller, chief medical officer at Express Scripts, said it has talked with the pharmaceutical companies that are working on rival drugs about potential pricing.
Meantime, Express Scripts is asking a number of doctors like Mauricio Lisker-Melman whether some of their hepatitis C patients can wait until the rival drugs reach the market.
Lisker-Melman, director of the hepatology program at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, said it is trying to distinguish between patients who need treatment right away because of the progression of their infections, and patients who could wait nine months or longer for the new regimens in development.
Nevertheless, the program hasn't faced pushback from health plans after prescribing Sovaldi to more than 100 patients. "The patients we tried to treat," he said, "we were able to treat."
More from The Wall Street Journal
A doctor schedules an MRI for my back. Cost.....$1,400
I schedule an MRI for my back. Cost.....$375.00
Yeah, our healthcare system is just fine.
Sickness is all about selling meds, not about getting well or curing a disease. Never forget that.
Gilead Offers Egypt New Hepatitis C Drug at 99 Percent Discount
CAIRO/LONDON (Reuters) - Gilead Sciences, facing mounting criticism over the high price of its new hepatitis C pill Sovaldi, has offered to supply the medicine to Egypt at a 99% discount to the U.S. price.
While the drug will still cost $900 for a 12-week course of treatment, that is a fraction of the $84,000 charged for a course of treatment in the United States.
The high price tag in America prompted questions from U.S. lawmakers on Friday, after U.S. health insurers said they were seeking help from state health officials to foot the bill.
Gilead said it was "pleased to have finalized an agreement" for the introduction of Sovaldi in Egypt, which has the highest prevalence rate of hepatitis C in the world.
"We believe Sovaldi could have a major impact on public health in Egypt by significantly increasing the number of people who can be cured of hepatitis C," Gregg Alton, head of corporate and medical affairs at Gilead, said in an emailed statement.
Egyptian health minister Adel El-Adawi said Cairo had struck a deal with U.S.-based Gilead for the government to buy Sovaldi for $300 for a one-month box, according to a recent report on the state news agency MENA.
That would imply a cost of $900 if Sovaldi is used as part of a 12-week drug regimen, although the cost would be higher if it was used for 24 weeks, which is also an option based on different drug combinations.
El-Adawi said Gilead's offer would apply to Sovaldi supplies used in government clinics, adding that access programs would start in the second half of 2014, following completion of registration procedures in Egypt.
Have you noticed that there has not been a Cure for anything sense Polio .... ????
We really need some civic compromise between citizens, insurance companies, and pharmaceutical companies. Can I get a 95% discount if I promise not to sue if they find side effects down the road?
many of whom contracted it through intravenous drug use
and why am i paying for this through higher premiums
Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
These hot movers could rise by double digits in coming months.
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.