Lions Gate's entertaining prospects

From Mad Men to Hunger Games, this company is developing successful media properties.

By TheStockAdvisors Aug 29, 2013 10:55AM

Arrow Up (© Photodisc/SuperStock)

By Mike Cintolo, Cabot Top Ten Trader


Our latest Editor's Choice stock is Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF), a good long-term growth story. It has some very hot properties and is making all the right moves.


Lions Gate continues to thrive in competition with larger movie and TV studios via a couple of clever strategies.


First, the company makes a passel of low-budget horror and thriller films (like the Saw series) on the cheap, then pulls out all the stops for its major franchises like the Hunger Games trilogy. "Hunger Games: Catching Fire" is due out in just a few months.


The second strategy is co-production of TV shows with other studios and networks. The big title right now is "Orange is the New Black," which is the latest streaming-only series from Netflix (NFLX).


The company also co-produces "Mad Men" with AMC Networks (AMCX), "Nashville" with Walt Disney (DIS) and ABC, Anger Management with FX and 21st Century Fox (FOXA) and "Nurse Jackie" with Showtime (CBS).


All of these shows provide steady income, augmenting the rental revenue flow from the company's extensive library of films and TV shows.


With "Hunger Games: Catching Fire" on the horizon, investors are signing on to get a piece of the pie.


The company's revenue growth, which was 0% in 2012 and generally in the single digits for many years, hit 71% in 2013, an eye-catching turnaround that has continued this year; first quarter revenue growth was 22% and second quarter was 21%.


Technically, LGF the stock graduated out of single digit prices in early 2012, busting past $10 in January and hitting $14 in February. The stock consolidated for many months, and was trading at $16 when it began another big move in December 2012.


The stock has doubled to more than $32 in 2013, and has spent the last five weeks trading first under resistance at $33 and now over support at $33. The rising 25-day moving average has just caught up with the stock, which may provide some lift.


We think LGF looks like a reasonable buy (price-to-earnings ratio is just 15) on any weakness. Volatility isn't huge, but you should use a stop at $29 to give it room to move.



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1Comment
Aug 29, 2013 2:06PM
avatar

Had this stock @ 5.25. It stayed around 5.50-6 for so long that I got frustrated and finally sold it around 6.50. Made something but patience would have been well rewarded.

 

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