Marc Faber predicts 20% to 30% drop in stocks
'We're not exactly in a uniformly strong market,' says the notably pessimistic newsletter publisher.
Permabear Marc Faber said Monday he expects stocks to drop 20 percent 30 percent by October.
"Don't forget many stocks are already down 10 percent. The home builders are down roughly 15 percent. Airlines have just dropped around 10 percent," he said on CNBC's "Halftime Report."
Faber, publisher of the "Gloom, Boom & Doom Report," also noted that several large-cap stocks were down by double-digit percentages.
"So, we're not exactly in a uniformly strong market," he said. "The Russell 2000 ($TOMX), which represents 2,000 companies, is down 2 percent for the year. And big deal, the S&P is up 6 percent, whereas the Philippines, Indonesia, India, Thailand, Vietnam are all up between 15 percent and 25 percent."
Earlier this month, Faber said the market is setting up for a big decline that could be as bad as the crash of 1987. But he stopped short of predicting what would set it off.
While Faber's worst-case scenarios often make headlines, he has also been criticized for making dire predictions that didn't bear out.
After President Barack Obama's re-election in 2012, Faber joked that investors "should buy themselves a machine gun" to protect their assets. Since then, the S&P is up 45 percent.
Faber defended his record.
"Over my career, somewhere, somehow I must've made some right calls," he said. "Otherwise, I wouldn't be in business."
Faber claimed that over the past 12 years, his Barron's stock picks on average have been up 22.7 percent annually. Faber also said that the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF, which he owns, is up 42 percent this year.
Overall, higher stock prices, he added, were the result of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and M&A activity.
"And the asset purchases by the Fed have done little for Main Street, for the average family in the United States, for the average or median household. But it's lifted some asset prices, including luxury property prices, and particularly stocks and bonds," he said.
"And in the stock market this year -- maybe you find this healthy -- corporations are very liquid, but they don't build capacity. They don't spend on capital equipment. What they do is to buy other companies because their currency, their shares, are a good way to buy other companies. And that has driven the companies. Not so much individual buying. There has been very little individual buying."
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That won't change the Fact that Global Debt has soared over 40% since the Great Recession. What caused the Great Recession, too much Debt and Leverage. Eventually the Chickens will come home to Roost, they always do. When they do, just who's going to Bail out Whom?
He will be right some day,
You can no longer believe anything the government says.
Look at this mornings consumer confidence 90+ %
That is out right lie.
How could this be possible when more than 30% OF AMERICANS
DEBT IS IN COLLECTIONS.
As long as some one still buys our monthly auctions and the feds keep borrowing the party will go on.
There just is no other game in town. at some point the world will wake up and see that the US
can no way ever honor the paper it is printing every month.
When that happens we will simply screw the world and default on our debt.
It will happen no other way out.
The question is WHEN, how much higher can the market go.
IN the end it will crash not 20 30% but 80 90%.
I believe your text was written mainly for the "Faint of Heart"..
and is well intended..
There are those who have invested most if not all of their saving in the DOW
and a reduction of 30% or 40% would decrease that saving considerably,
effecting their retirements or the chance to retire early.
But to suggest an investment in GOLD to those same people was ill advised..
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