As market falls, get your defenses ready
Stock indexes might not be in correction territory just yet, but they're getting closer. Now's the time to consider what moves to make.
The stock market is getting whacked. The question now for many investors is what to do about it.
The first thing to do is to understand what's going on -- in part because simply saying the stock market is getting whacked doesn't tell the whole picture.
So let's sketch that in and then decide whether to sell, sell a little, do nothing or buy.
First, the Dow Jones industrials fell 143 points on Friday to 16,027. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 17 points to 1,816 --and the Nasdaq Composite Index slid 54 points to just under 4,000.
In addition, the Nasdaq-100 Index tumbled 41 points to 3,447. The Russell 2000 Index tumbled 15 points to 1,113, and the Dow Jones Transportation Average gave up 69 points to 7,362.
For the week, the Dow lost 2.4 percent, with the S&P 500 off 2.7 percent and the Nasdaq down 3.1 percent. The Nasdaq-100 tumbled 2.6 percent. The Russell was down 3.1 percent and the Dow transports 2.8 percent.
The real damage is visible if you look at overall declines -- since these indexes hit either all-time highs or multi-year highs in the last few weeks. Dow and S&P 500 are down 3.6 percent and 4.3 percent. The Dow transports are down five percent. The Russell 2000 is off 8.3 percent. The Nasdaq has lost 8.5 percent, and the Nasdaq-100 is down a whopping 12.1 percent.
The index losses don't mean the overall market is in a correction yet; a correction being popularly defined as a decline of 10 percent or more from a recent high.
- Benzinga: Biotechs struggling to find a bottom
The Nasdaq and Russell 2000 indexes very nearly are, however, and the Nasdaq-100 definitely is. Twitter (TWTR) is down 46 percent since its Dec. 26 peak of $74.73. Netflix (NFLX) is down 28.7 percent since hitting an all-time high of $458 on March 6. Amazon.com (AMZN) has dropped 23.6 percent since peaking at $408.06 on Jan. 22.
Watching the momentum stocks
Biotechnology stocks, meanwhile, are getting slaughtered. Gilead Sciences (GILD) is down 22 percent. Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO), which has been working on a drug to treat pancreatic cancer, is off 59 percent since peaking on Jan. 24.
The damage is being suffered most by momentum stocks: the stocks that screamed for attention as they posted huge gains in 2013 and into this year. Computerized trading tools have decided the stocks were overbought, which they were, and will drive the prices lower until they get too low.
But keep this in mind: Thirteen of the 30 Dow stocks are still ahead on the year, led by Merck (MRK) and Caterpillar (CAT), both up about 11.7 percent. Goldman Sachs (GS), Visa (V) and aerospace giant Boeing (BA) are the laggards -- down 13.8 percent, 11.7 percent and 10.6 percent, respectively. More than 230 S&P 500 stocks are still ahead on the year.
Time to pay attention
So what should you do? If you've been playing the hot stocks and made a bunch of money, it's probably time to sell at least some of your stake. If you haven't thought about what will trigger a sell, now's the time. A 10 percent decline from, say, Friday's close is probably appropriate. That way you've limited your downside. If the stock doesn’t hit your trigger but recovers, then you're in the clear.
If you've just bought in, decide what price is appropriate to limit your losses.
But if you're a mutual fund or exchange-traded fund investor, selling in a panic is probably the wrong thing do. The blow-off in stocks has been nasty, but it is possible the selling has been extreme. Momentum measures suggests a bottom is starting to form. It may take a while to emerge, however. And even if a bottom is formed, that doesn't mean those stocks are going to shoot higher.
The market is selling off after a fabulous run-up since March 2009. There's been too much froth generated by a hot market for initial public offerings. But a successful IPO does not mean a successful stock. Meanwhile, there are worries about China, Japan and Russia and Ukraine. Bond yields are falling because of an undefined unease about the domestic and global economies.
Spring is often an uncomfortable time for the stock market. Therefore, it will pay to pay attention.
More from Benzinga
Ukraine is Bankrupt, let Europe fight for them and or fund them. We need to take care of America First. The sooner the better.
NEW YORK- U.S. homebuilder sentiment edged up in April but remained mostly dour on lingering concerns about stiff credit conditions for buyers and tight supply of building lots and labor, the National Association of Home Builders said on Tuesday. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market index rose to 47 in April from a downward revised 46 in March, the group said in a statement. Economists polled by Reuters had predicted the index would rebound to 50 in April."
We need to stop giving "Economists" credibility. here, do your own research. Pick a sprawl town in your area, type it into Zillow and click on Cheapest. See the builder properties cascade before you ALL under the header: FORECLOSURE. Our economy hasn't had a legitimate pulse for 7 YEARS now. When does the Kool Aid stop?
Well either they are or aren't. We do know for FACT that gasoline prices are soaring Again in spite of the FACT that Consumption has gone down over the last few Years while Production is doing the exact opposite. Leave it to Big Oil to never let an opportunity to gouge Consumers go to waste. So don't expect any Pipeline in America to help consumers. Big Oil will always manipulate supply to wash away any benefits of increased Production.
We have a Global Economy and Global Pollution. The Global FEDS are printing to infinity and the average Joe/Sue has their heads stuck in the sand, totally ignorant to what's actually going on. The Same Bought and paid for politicians will get reelected while we will Never learn from the mistakes of the Past.
Those that caused the Great Recession will again benefits the most from the current Bull Run and feel the least amount of pain once it all implodes. This cycle of Boom and Busts are getting bigger and our ability to fix them has only lessen. Uncle Ben left America's Future in the Worst Shape in Modern History and no amount of QE can fix that now, more fake money will only make matters worse.
The first thing you need to do is look at your time horizon. Do you need this money now or do you have many years until retirement. If you need the money now and you are worried about loosing to much money, then you most likely should not have been taking that much risk. It is time to reallocate your investment portfolio.
If you have many years until retirement, then hold onto your investments and trust in your overall investment plan. Was the investment solid when you bought it and is it still solid today? If yes, then keep it. If no, then question how you went about picking your investments to begin with. A solid investment will go up and down in value, but over time its value will increase.
Remember you are investing for "Direction" not "Perfection".
Gotta love the headline: "As market falls, get your defenses ready"
I "got my defenses ready" over a month ago when I exited the markets on March 10th and went into into a guaranteed interest account. When the markets look to be turning, I'll get back in, but right now, I'm still making money while the market is falling. The only thing I regret is that I don't have a way to short the markets with a 401K.
Oh, and one more thing, as I alluded to on another thread a few days ago, "making money" may well turn out to be a very subjective term. The dollar will actually have to be worth something for that statement to have any validity to it.
Get our warships out of the Balck Sea now! Quit pushing the Russians. Do we want Russian warships sitting off Malibu? Let them handle this Ukraine thing as they see fit. If our incompetent leaders start a war with these guys, it won't just take place the usual 10,000 miles from here.
How dumb do you have to be to write stock market "advice"? Benzinga is doing his best to set the dumb-o-meter score really high.
"If you haven't thought about what will trigger a sell, now's the time. A 10 percent decline from, say, Friday's close is probably appropriate. That way you've limited your downside. If the stock doesn’t hit your trigger but recovers, then you're in the clear."
Two kindergarten points to be made about that: First, if you like a stock well enough to hold it at, say, $100, why wouldn't you love it at $90? And second, how fabulous is that advice if your stock goes down 10.1% and then you sell it and it recovers? Since you apparently liked it before at $100, are you going to double down on losing twice by following Benzinga's advice a second time? That is, buy it at 100 and wait for it to go back down to 90?
If you're wasting your time reading Benzinga, then here's the best stock market advice you'll find near his musings: Buy and hold stocks. Period. Don't sell until you need the money.
You saw it here first...
Isn't this what some of have been saying? The market is an over inflated balloon thanks to Federal Reserve meddling, investors are poised for some harsh realities.
The question is, when will Americans learn that free markets work best when we stop trying to manipulate outcomes.
IT IS ALL BLOWING UP IN THEIR FACES
This is going to drag down the market a lot folks.
Say's who, that report was by a suspect source reported by a person with a clear Political agenda.
"Russia docked one of their destroyers in Cuba more than 2 months ago"
No, they docked a Old Spy ship which is about as old as most Cars Cubans currently own. It wasn't on permanent patrol as are the US/Europe plans in the Dead Sea.
So Here's the Real Problem and Russia is only doing what we would do if the same things where happening in our Backyard.
"The deployment of the four destroyers, known as the European Phased Adaptive Approach, is a centerpiece of the European missile defense shield, which will also include interceptor batteries in Poland and Romania, radar in Turkey and a command center at Ramstein in Germany, a US Air Force base."
So as Euro-Zone and our Government talk out of both sides of their mouth about aggression and taunting, we are building a Defense Shield to reduce Russia's own ability to assure their survival. Military might has always been the Key for Economic survival since the beginning of Humans. Today, that holds even far more weight. Yet some folks behave as if it isn't so when clearly, that has always been the case.
As I stated before, if this keeps up, the Markets will be the least of our Worries. All this is doing, putting China on alert to Ramp up it's Defense spending and Capabilities. The World is becoming less safe, not more. Between the corrupt Global Feds, Pollution, and idiots politicians letting their Ego's get the best of them, I don't know which fools will sink us first.
Well say it ain't so, Charley....But we may have been living on borrowed time or fiat dollars..??
Also seems that "margin accounts" are at all-time highs or something comparable to 2007-2008.
That does not bode well for long term, blended or diversified investors...
Once again we pay the price, for investing gone wild by a few speculators or manipulation.
Do we stay the course and ride it out, for a known recovery that should follow...?
Or do we book some decent profits on a few hi-fliers, only to buy back on a correction..?
A thousand questions, only a dozen answers..imo.
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'We're not exactly in a uniformly strong market,' says the notably pessimistic newsletter publisher.
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