Retailers in the earnings spotlight this week
Wall Street will pay close attention to reports from Wal-Mart, Macy's and Kohl's as the holiday shopping season gets underway.
By Nelson Hem
Here is a preview of what earnings to expect for the week.
While Cisco Systems (CSCO), Dish Network (DISH) and Viacom (VIAB) are expected to post earnings growth when they report quarterly results, the focus really will be on retailers like Wal-Mart (WMT), Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS) as the holiday shopping season gets underway.
Last week, the retail earnings season kicked off when CVS Caremark (CVS) posted better-than-expected earnings and raised its guidance, and Office Depot (ODP) and OfficeMax each said earnings declined more than expected in their final reports before they merged.
Below is a quick look at what analysts expect from some of this week's most prominent reports from retailers.
Analysts expect the world's largest retailer to say that its earnings per share (EPS) grew more than 4 percent year-over-year to $1.13 in the fiscal third quarter. Also, revenues for the quarter are estimated to be more than two percent higher to total $116.75 billion.
Note that Wal-Mart just missed consensus EPS estimates in the previous two quarters. Furthermore, the estimate for the third quarter has slipped by a penny in the past 60 days. Wal-Mart is scheduled to share its results Thursday morning before the opening bell.
In its report early Wednesday, the venerable department store operator is expected to post third-quarter earnings that were more than 7 percent higher than in the year-ago period, to 39 cents per share. Note that the consensus EPS estimate was 42 cents just 60 days ago, indicating a decline in analysts' sentiment.
Revenues for the quarter are predicted to have grown about two percent year-over-year to $6.2 billion. Looking ahead, revenues for the current quarter are so far expected to have declined marginally, while they are essentially flat for the full fiscal year.
The fiscal third-quarter forecast for America's largest department store chain calls for EPS of 86 cents and for revenues to total $4.55 billion. That compares to a profit of 91 cents per share and $4.49 billion in sales in the year-ago period. Analysts seem certain, as their consensus EPS estimate has not changed in the past 60 days.
For the current quarter, which includes most of the holiday shopping season, sequential and year-over-year growth in EPS is expected, but revenues are predicted to be lower than a year ago. Look for the company to share its results Thursday before the markets open.
Third-quarter earnings from one of the largest upscale retailers in the United States are forecast to come to 66 cents per share in Thursday's report. That would be down about 7 percent from in the year-ago period. Nordstrom (JWN) topped consensus EPS estimates by more than 5 percent in the previous quarter.
The company also is expected to say that revenues totaled $2.87 billion in the third quarter, which would be higher than a year ago by more than two percent. So far, a smaller revenue increase and a marginal decline in earnings are forecast for the current quarter as well.
Dick's Sporting Goods
One of the largest sporting goods retailers in the world, Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) is expected to report that for its fiscal third quarter it had earnings of 39 cents per share and $1.37 billion in revenue. In the same period of the previous year, it reported 40 cents in per-share earnings on revenue of $1.31 billion.
Note that the company only topped EPS expectations in one of the past four quarters.
But the consensus estimate for the most recent quarter has ticked up by a penny over the past 60 days. So far, modest growth of both EPS and revenue is forecast for the current quarter.
The following week, quarterly reports are expected from many more retailers, including Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), Best Buy (BBY), Dollar Tree (DLTR), GameStop (GME), Home Depot (HD), J.C. Penney (JCP) and Target (TGT).
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