Market ends the week on an upbeat note

A weekly analysis of how the market really did -- without all the buzz.

By Jim Van Meerten Dec 5, 2009 1:22PM
Each week, I try to step back from all the daily news and hype and determine how the market really performed. After I look at the real state of the market, I make my investing strategy for the next week. Will I be buying, selling or just sitting on the side lines?
 
I use BarChart to find my data.

Value Line Index: An index of 1,700 of the larger exchange-traded stocks. Much broader coverage than just the S&P 500 or Dow 30. The index had positive price appreciation for the week:
  • The Index was up 3.31% for the week
  • BarChart technical indicators were 9 buys, 3 holds and 1 sell - Overall rating of 64% buy
  • Short-term indicators - 80% buy
  • Mid-term indicators - 75% buy
  • Long-term indicators - 64% buy

BarChart market momentum: How many stocks closed above the daily moving average for various periods (about 6,000 stocks)? Better than 50% of the stocks closed above their DMA for all 3 periods:

  • 20 DMA -- 66.85% above
  • 50 DMA -- 62.46% above
  • 100 DMA -- 71.78% above

Ratio of stocks hitting new highs to stocks hitting new lows for various periods -- above 1.00 positive, 1.00 neutral, below .99 negative -- ratio positive for all 3 periods:

  • 20 day ratio 1537/571 = 3.01
  • 65 day ratio 728/223 = 3.26
  • 100 day ratio 664/318 = 2.09

Summary: The market had positive weekly price appreciation, the majority of the stocks closed above their daily moving averages and the ratio of stocks hitting new highs to stocks hitting new lows shows the market displayed strength to the upside,

 

Investment Strategy: Of course I'll trim out any stocks that can't maintain their price above their 50 DMA, and I'll feel confident to make new purchases that meet my screening criteria.

 

Wall Street Survivor score board: The Top Stock columnists that recommend stocks place those stocks in a model portfolio on Wall Street Survivor for a little friendly competition. Results month to date are:

  • S&P 500 MTD up .02%
  • 7 of the 8 participants beat the S&P 500
  • I'm in 1st place with a return of 3.56%

Disclosure: I do not hold positions in any of my Top Stock recommendations at the time of publication.

 

Jim Van Meerten is an investor who writes on financial matters here and on FinancialTides. Please leave a comment below or email FinancialTides@gmail.com

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