What if Twitter is a fad?
Could Twitter go the way of the hula hoop
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) have each formed a partnership with micro- blogging company Twitter. The search engines at the firms will survey the real time “tweets” , which are small text messages of only a few words, from Twitter’s millions of users. There is some important information to be gathered in all that “real time” communication, or at least Microsoft and Google think so.
Access to Twitter’s tens of millions of users may give insights to marketers who want to know how people use their brands, to news organizations who want to know what people will watch or read, or the government which may want to spy on people plotting by using Twitter as their means of communications.
Twitter forecasts that it will eventually have one billion users. That does not make the company a success. It will only bring in $4 million in revenue this year.
There is a chance that Twitter is simply a fad like the hula hoop. In 1958, Wham-O, the big hula hoop company, sold 100 million of the products worldwide. Fairly soon after that, the only place to find a hula hoop was at a garage sale.
Even if Twitter keeps most of its customers there is no reason to be sure that the people who use the service are communicating anything important to one another. Micro-blogging and texting are often ways for the bored to spend their idle time chatting with their friends. But, Microsoft and Google may find some information in those mindless exchanges.
The real risk to the money being invested in Twitter and the effort that search companies are making to mine Twitter data is that “there is no there there”. Just three years ago,
MySpace was the next important trend in internet communication. Advertisers would be able to use the behavior of its members to gather information and target their goods and services. Today, its owner, News Corp (NYSE:NWS) has it on life support. Twitter’s future is as just as risky.
Top Stocks blogger Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.
MSN is a division of Microsoft
Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.
These hot movers could rise by double digits in coming months.
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.