Domino's delivers -- for shareholders

Will the company's shares remain as tasty as its pizza?

By Jonathan Berr Feb 28, 2012 12:06PM

Image Source/PhotolibraryShares of Domino's Pizza (DPZ) skyrocketed more than 11% in early trading Tuesday after the pizza delivery chain posted better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings.

Net income at the Ann Arbor, Mich. company rose 27.9% to $30.9 million, or 52 cents a share, versus $24.2 million, or 40 cents a share, in the year earlier period. Revenue rose 4.5% to $501.7 million. Wall Street analysts expected earnings of 49 cents on sales of $514.1 million.

The results were impressive across the board. U.S. same-store sales grew 6.8% during the fourth quarter, while sales at international stores opened at least a year rose 4.7%. This comparable sales growth indicates that Domino's efforts to improve the quality of its food have paid off, and it came at the expense of rival Papa John's International (PZZA), which gave a disappointing 2012 earnings outlook late last year.

Shares of Domino's have nearly doubled over the past year as the chain successfully navigated an uncertain economy and the highest cheese prices in 25 years. Papa John's shares rose about 26% during the same time. Both companies will benefit from an expected decline in the price of milk and from rising consumer confidence.

Giving its long range outlook, Domino's now expects international same-store sales to rise 3% to 6%, ahead of a previous forecast of a 3%-5% increase. Sales at U.S. stores opened at least a year are projected to rise 1% to 3%, unchanged from an earlier estimate. The good news, though, is largely factored into the stocks of Domino's and Papa John's.

The average one-year price target on Domino's is $35.10, below the $37.31 where it recently traded. Papa John's stock is expected to gain about 6% during the next 52 weeks, rising to $39.23. Domino's shares are pricey, though, trading at a trailing multiple of 21.22, near their five-year high. Papa John's multiple is 16.62.

Fans of both companies may experience financial indigestion if they try to gobble up their shares.

Freelance writer Jonathan Berr prefers the taste of Papa John's pizza. Sorry Domino's. He doesn't own either stock.

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

125
125 rated 1
272
272 rated 2
424
424 rated 3
589
589 rated 4
697
697 rated 5
589
589 rated 6
666
666 rated 7
435
435 rated 8
260
260 rated 9
144
144 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
AMTDTD Ameritrade Holding Corp10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.