Setting the table for dividends
Sysco raises its dividend and aptly handles the downturn in the food-supply business.
The yield isn't terribly exciting, I'll admit, at 3.5% but it is still a bit better than you can get on a 10-year Treasury note right now. And I think the total return -- that's dividends plus capital appreciation -- has the potential to top 25% in 12 months. (This buy also helps diversify this portfolio.)
The company recently raised its quarterly dividend -- just a penny, to be sure -- to 25 cents, but I think that's a sign that Sysco sees better sales ahead with an end to the recession, if not a return to robust economic growth. (Sysco's cost cutting and its leading market share potentially make it one of the lean, mean earnings machines I described in strategy #3 of this post.)
How has Sysco weathered the recession? In good shape, I'd say.
Sysco has been relatively successful in negotiating the slowdown in its core restaurant food-supply business. Total company sales in the fiscal year that ended in June fell just 1.8%.
The company has made a big effort in recent years to streamline its distribution system and increase productivity, and that paid off -- even in the recession -- with operating margins increasing slightly in fiscal 2009 and again in the quarter that ended September 2009.
I think a slower-than-expected economic recovery in 2010 will actually work to the company's long-term advantage.
Sysco operates in a very fragmented industry. The company is the largest food service distributor in the United States, but Sysco has just 15% of what is estimated as a $200 billion to $300 billion market. Its largest competitor, U.S. Foodservice, has a 10% share, and the number three company controls just 3%.
Sysco has doubled its cash position to $850 million over the last year, and the company is in good shape to acquire smaller competitors if they falter in a slow-growth recovery. The company has made 150 acquisitions in its 40-year history.
At the time of this writing, Jim Jubak didn't own or control shares of any company mentioned in this post.
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4 analysts downgrade the stock the day after a disappointing quarterly report.
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