Are unions or trains hurting Yellow Roadway?
Conspiracy theories aside, management is to blame for the slide toward bankruptcy. Yellow Roadway creditors deserve to get paid no matter what.
The struggle to avoid bankruptcy continues for YRC Worldwide (YRCW). The consolidated freight company announced today that it had once again extended the deadline for approval of a debt-for-equity swap.
Without approval, which would give debt-holders up to 95% of the equity in the company, the unionized trucking company will likely be headed toward bankruptcy.
The company has extended the deadline for the swap multiple times but is still short of the already-reduced approval rate necessary to free operating capital from banks.
Most interesting in the latest development is Teamster complaints against banks and hedge funds that it says are deliberately blocking the swap in order to profit from a credit default swap trade. Such a trade would be profitable if the company fails.
The unions are clearly appealing to public opinion, saying it's un-American to profit from the demise of such a fine working-class company.
The banks and hedge funds would argue that the demise of the company falls squarely on the shoulders of the unions. With a cost structure that is higher because of union obligations, YRCW can't compete.
In reality, YRCW's problems are the same as those that befell many companies and individuals during this economic crisis. Its debt level was simply too great.
During the recession, sales plummeted and the company had little margin for error. Not even cuts agreed to by the union could save the company from its current fate.
Simply put, debt-holders must be paid. If not, something has to give.
To criticize speculators for making investments based on an expected outcome is about as foolish as blaming the unions for this mess.
Much of the blame should fall on the shoulders of those managing the company. The decision to expand using debt was ultimately a failed strategy.
There is a more subtle problem at work here. Many at Yellow are complaining that competitors are lowering prices in an effort to destroy the financially strapped company.
That conspiracy theory fails to hold water. For starters, basic economics suggest that companies will act in their best economic interest when making pricing decisions. It is unlikely for any company to leave money on the table, even if can hurt a competitor by lowering prices.
Instead, one reason prices in the industry are suffering is because of competition from the rail industry. Trains have become the real competitive threat to the trucking industry.
There is a very good reason why Warren Buffett agreed to acquire Burlington Northern in early November. It is cheaper and more energy efficient to ship goods by train than by truck. (In fact, long-term trends are pointing to a surge in the railroad sector. Read "5 Reasons You Should Be Buying Railroad Stocks Now" for more on my view of this sector.
As gas prices increase, such a dynamic will further hurt the trucking industry. It is not the unions that killed trucks. It is the trains doing the most damage.
Related Articles:
MORE ON MSN MONEY
DATA PROVIDERS
Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
LATEST POSTS
With so many regulatory, market and other risks to manage, the banking giant has more downside than upside potential.
FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS
- How to sell covered calls - Fidelity Investments
- Savvy year-end tax moves to consider now - Fidelity Investments
- Seven ways to prepare for tax changes
- Five reasons an annual review is crucial - Fidelity Investments
- Take a look at mid caps now - Fidelity Investments
- State of the sector: Health care - Fidelity Investments
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
ABOUT
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.
