The next battleground in the coffee wars

India's tea-drinking culture will make it challenging for Starbucks and Dunkin' Donuts to break into the beverage market.

By Trefis Mar 5, 2012 1:03PM
Image: India (© Donald Edwards/age fotostock)Barely two weeks after Starbucks (SBUX) announced plans to partner with Tata Beverages to open its first outlet in India, Dunkin' Donuts revealed that it will also open its first outlet in the country by June, setting the stage for a heated battle in the coming years. 

Dunkin' Donuts is owned by Dunkin' Brands (DNKN). Apart from Starbucks, Dunkin' Brands also competes with McDonald's (MCD), Krispy Kreme, Dairy Queen and Cold Stone Creamery to name a few.

Dunkin' Donuts has partnered with Jubilant Foodworks, and plans to open 80 to 100 outlets in the next five years in India. Jubilant Foodworks also operates Domino's Pizzas in India.


Dunkin Brands Dunkin Donuts Intl Total Number of Outlets

In the U.S., Starbucks can charge customers a premium as it is perceived to offer superior coffee. However, India traditionally has a tea-drinking culture that may not appreciate paying more for a "superior" cup of coffee. This means that Dunkin' Donuts will have an edge over Starbucks in terms of pricing. Besides, the two companies will also have to deal with other well-established players, such as Britain's Costa Coffee, and local companies, like Cafe Coffee Day and Barista.


Coffeehouses need to adapt to Indian menus

The typical Indian customer sees a beverage as an accompaniment to food. The idea of spending money for a stand-alone drink is a new concept, although it is slowly gaining followers. Many Indian customers prefer to spend money on value, and food is something they perceive to have greater value than a beverage. Hence, in our view, the coffeehouses will need to provide an extensive menu suited to local tastes in order to succeed.


And just as in the West, coffeehouses in India will have to compete against the ubiquitous McDonald's and Yum! Brands (YUM) outlets. Restaurants like McDonald's and Pizza Hut, with their extensive offerings in both food and beverages, provide a more holistic meal experience. A couple of months ago, McDonald's also revealed its plan to double the number of restaurants in India to 500 by 2014. As tempting as the market may seem, it is not going to be easy for new entrants.


We estimate a $29 price for Dunkin' Brands, which is in line with the market price.

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

131
131 rated 1
262
262 rated 2
442
442 rated 3
601
601 rated 4
718
718 rated 5
587
587 rated 6
610
610 rated 7
456
456 rated 8
279
279 rated 9
124
124 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
CSCOCisco Systems Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.