Top picks 2012: Lennar
After 5 straight profitable quarters, analysts see earnings for this homebuilder leaping next year.
This post is one in a series in which more than 50 newsletter advisors share their Top Stock Picks for 2012. By Michael Cintolo, Cabot Market Letter
Throughout market history, three-quarters of all big winners have been growth stocks -- those with big sales and earnings, huge profit margins and a unique and potentially revolutionary new product and service.
But the other quarter of big winners have been turnaround stories, as earnings rocket higher following a tough year or two or three.
Today, I think homebuilding (and other housing-related) stocks are in the midst of a big turnaround, and Lennar (LEN) could ride that wave to big gains in 2012.
The company, of course, has been a terrible performer for five years as the housing bust dragged on.
But, impressively, Lennar has notched five straight profitable quarters despite the horrid conditions, has recently been topping estimates and has cut costs to the bone. Analysts see earnings leaping 59% next year.
We're already seeing some pickup in broad industry statistics like housing starts, which are literally coming off 50-year lows.
That's a key point -- no one (including me) is calling for a new housing boom, but if activity simply moves up to average levels, it would imply a near-doubling in demand!
With all the weak hands out and major signs of accumulation since the stock's October low, I think Lennar should do very well in the year ahead.
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a free daily review of the favorite stock ideas of the nation's top financial newsletter advisors.
MORE ON MSN MONEY
DATA PROVIDERS
Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
LATEST POSTS
All hail the bull market, which ended the week with a big rally. But it also is starting to look a little like 1987, which suffered an epic blow-out.
FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS
- How to sell covered calls - Fidelity Investments
- Savvy year-end tax moves to consider now - Fidelity Investments
- Seven ways to prepare for tax changes
- Five reasons an annual review is crucial - Fidelity Investments
- Take a look at mid caps now - Fidelity Investments
- State of the sector: Health care - Fidelity Investments
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
ABOUT
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.

